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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trends

Trends

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  • George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #45

    "Trends"

    Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 9.26.30 AM.png

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG George K

      @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

      New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

      Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #46

      @George-K said in Trends:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

      New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

      Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

      RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

      The Brad

      George KG JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

        @George-K said in Trends:

        @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

        New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

        Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

        RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #47

        @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

        RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

        Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

          @George-K said in Trends:

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

          New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

          Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

          RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

          JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #48

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

          @George-K said in Trends:

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

          New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

          Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

          RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

          Latest Trafalgar has him up by one (and trending).

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          1 Reply Last reply
          • George KG George K

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

            RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

            Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #49

            @George-K said in Trends:

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

            RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

            Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

            54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting… Could the Republicans pickup 6 seats in Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Montana, West Virginia, Virginia, Wisconsin, and Michigan?

            The Brad

            CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              @George-K said in Trends:

              @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

              RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

              Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

              54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting… Could the Republicans pickup 6 seats in Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Montana, West Virginia, Virginia, Wisconsin, and Michigan?

              CopperC Offline
              CopperC Offline
              Copper
              wrote on last edited by
              #50

              @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

              54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting

              If 2024 doesn't go to the dem, I expect Ms. Harris will overturn the election.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • MikM Offline
                MikM Offline
                Mik
                wrote on last edited by
                #51

                The Dems will drop Harris like a hot rock. She was a loser to start with. No, 2024 might well be someone like Tim Ryan who has wanted leadership forever. It won’t be anyone in the Biden orbit.

                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #52

                  True dat.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • MikM Mik

                    The Dems will drop Harris like a hot rock. She was a loser to start with. No, 2024 might well be someone like Tim Ryan who has wanted leadership forever. It won’t be anyone in the Biden orbit.

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #53

                    @Mik said in Trends:

                    someone like Tim Ryan

                    If Ryan loses, are his aspirations halted?

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #54

                      I think they take a huge hit.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Offline
                        MikM Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #55

                        Yep. He could run to get back in the House, but his presidential ambitions, which I think are very real, will be toast for now.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #56

                          E9C0C999-2825-4999-B645-D3E9A8484D31.png

                          Should it hit 55-45 in favor of the Republicans, I will be curious to see if it says Dead Heat or Slightly Favored…

                          The Brad

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #57

                            I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Horace

                              I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins Dad
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #58

                              @Horace said in Trends:

                              I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                              Strictly is a bit debatable.

                              The Brad

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #59

                                B0D232E5-4D28-46BC-AA44-5B473C08185D.png

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #60

                                  422AC103-784C-4BC4-8FD5-28B374A41D9F.png

                                  The Brad

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #61

                                    The only things I can think of is a rounding difference or editorial disputes…

                                    The Brad

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • HoraceH Offline
                                      HoraceH Offline
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #62

                                      Rounding would be my guess, but that indicates they are not careful with their code. They need to round before comparing to their defined ranges. Then there is no discrepancy between the number you see and the number used to get the category. I write scientific software and I know these things from painful experience.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • HoraceH Horace

                                        Rounding would be my guess, but that indicates they are not careful with their code. They need to round before comparing to their defined ranges. Then there is no discrepancy between the number you see and the number used to get the category. I write scientific software and I know these things from painful experience.

                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #63

                                        @Horace I’m no expert but I doubt it’s rounding. These are Monte Carlo analyses after all. I’m guessing editorial disputes about what to do about the margin of error.

                                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                        -Cormac McCarthy

                                        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                          @Horace I’m no expert but I doubt it’s rounding. These are Monte Carlo analyses after all. I’m guessing editorial disputes about what to do about the margin of error.

                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #64

                                          @jon-nyc said in Trends:

                                          @Horace I’m no expert but I doubt it’s rounding. These are Monte Carlo analyses after all. I’m guessing editorial disputes about what to do about the margin of error.

                                          They have a fresh discussion every time about what 54.95% means? The italics seem to indicate a formalized category. I looked on the website but didn’t find definitions for the italicized terms.

                                          Education is extremely important.

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