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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trends

Trends

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  • JollyJ Jolly

    Nailbiter here...

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221011_LA_PPP.pdf

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #43

    @Jolly that poll only had two genders as choice.

    C'mon, man person!

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #44

      My bet? Senate either stays at 50/50 with Kamala giving Dems majority status or Republicans win at 53 seats.

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #45

        "Trends"

        Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 9.26.30 AM.png

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • George KG George K

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

          New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

          Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #46

          @George-K said in Trends:

          @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

          New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

          Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

          RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

          The Brad

          George KG JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

            @George-K said in Trends:

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

            New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

            Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

            RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #47

            @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

            RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

            Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              @George-K said in Trends:

              @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

              New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

              Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

              RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

              JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #48

              @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

              @George-K said in Trends:

              @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

              New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.

              Screenshot 2022-10-28 at 10.44.08 AM.png

              RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

              Latest Trafalgar has him up by one (and trending).

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              1 Reply Last reply
              • George KG George K

                @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

                RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

                Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #49

                @George-K said in Trends:

                @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

                RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

                Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

                54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting… Could the Republicans pickup 6 seats in Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Montana, West Virginia, Virginia, Wisconsin, and Michigan?

                The Brad

                CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                  @George-K said in Trends:

                  @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

                  RCP just moved NH into a Republican pickup…

                  Screenshot 2022-11-01 at 5.45.06 PM.png

                  54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting… Could the Republicans pickup 6 seats in Arizona, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Montana, West Virginia, Virginia, Wisconsin, and Michigan?

                  CopperC Offline
                  CopperC Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #50

                  @LuFins-Dad said in Trends:

                  54 seats makes 2024 look very interesting

                  If 2024 doesn't go to the dem, I expect Ms. Harris will overturn the election.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • MikM Offline
                    MikM Offline
                    Mik
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #51

                    The Dems will drop Harris like a hot rock. She was a loser to start with. No, 2024 might well be someone like Tim Ryan who has wanted leadership forever. It won’t be anyone in the Biden orbit.

                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #52

                      True dat.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Mik

                        The Dems will drop Harris like a hot rock. She was a loser to start with. No, 2024 might well be someone like Tim Ryan who has wanted leadership forever. It won’t be anyone in the Biden orbit.

                        George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #53

                        @Mik said in Trends:

                        someone like Tim Ryan

                        If Ryan loses, are his aspirations halted?

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #54

                          I think they take a huge hit.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #55

                            Yep. He could run to get back in the House, but his presidential ambitions, which I think are very real, will be toast for now.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins Dad
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #56

                              E9C0C999-2825-4999-B645-D3E9A8484D31.png

                              Should it hit 55-45 in favor of the Republicans, I will be curious to see if it says Dead Heat or Slightly Favored…

                              The Brad

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Offline
                                HoraceH Offline
                                Horace
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #57

                                I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                                Education is extremely important.

                                LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Horace

                                  I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #58

                                  @Horace said in Trends:

                                  I'm assuming the italics indicate the word is strictly defined as a certain range of percentages.

                                  Strictly is a bit debatable.

                                  The Brad

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #59

                                    B0D232E5-4D28-46BC-AA44-5B473C08185D.png

                                    The Brad

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #60

                                      422AC103-784C-4BC4-8FD5-28B374A41D9F.png

                                      The Brad

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins Dad
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #61

                                        The only things I can think of is a rounding difference or editorial disputes…

                                        The Brad

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • HoraceH Offline
                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #62

                                          Rounding would be my guess, but that indicates they are not careful with their code. They need to round before comparing to their defined ranges. Then there is no discrepancy between the number you see and the number used to get the category. I write scientific software and I know these things from painful experience.

                                          Education is extremely important.

                                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
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