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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #112

    Check Rasmussen...

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Jolly

      Check Rasmussen...

      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #113

      @Jolly said in It’s starting:

      Check Rasmussen...

      NYT Sienna is a better poll.

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        @89th said in It’s starting:

        Yup, she's the NotDon-NotJoe candidate.

        Ugh there is a better nickname in there but I'm too tired

        The “I promise not to turn 80 in the White House” candidate.

        A policy position I can support.

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #114

        @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

        The “I promise not to turn 80 in the White House” candidate.

        A policy position I can support...

        ...now.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • taiwan_girlT Offline
          taiwan_girlT Offline
          taiwan_girl
          wrote on last edited by
          #115

          Should people be voting for policy, or the persons personality? (and I know that it is impossible to separate I guess)

          We had this discussion earlier about it Presdient Trump was not running and there was another candidate (I think we spoke of Gov. DeSantis) who had the exact same policy positions, would he be doing as well? I think that the agreement was that probably not.

          I read a quote from a CEO who said something like, "The only decisions I should be making are those that ONLY I can make". I understand it to mean that he did not want to make low level, medium level or even high level decisions. He has faith in his EVP's, SVP's, etc. to make those. Only the super high level decisions are the ones he should be involved with.

          I think that presidents often get too involved in decisions that others can (and probably should) make.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #116

            IMG_0237.png

            Only non-witches get due process.

            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
            1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote on last edited by
              #117

              It’s going to look like a DNA strand over the next monthZ

              The Brad

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #118

                I agree. Also, as Nate points out, the gap is easy to misinterpret. These are probabilities of EC victories, not gaps in polling. 55-45 is closer than it seems. Neck and neck almost.

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #119

                  IMG_0275.jpeg

                  Only non-witches get due process.

                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                  LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #120

                    @jon-nyc I meant to ask, where is he putting the odds of a 269 split?

                    The Brad

                    jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      IMG_0275.jpeg

                      LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins Dad
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #121

                      @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                      IMG_0275.jpeg

                      It’s not going to be a complete helix. My guess is you’ll see the each turn get smaller.

                      The Brad

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                        @jon-nyc I meant to ask, where is he putting the odds of a 269 split?

                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #122

                        @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                        @jon-nyc I meant to ask, where is he putting the odds of a 269 split?

                        0.2%

                        IMG_0277.jpeg

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #123

                          That’s dropped since Biden dropped out. I seem to recall it being as high as 4-5%

                          The Brad

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #124

                            The fat man’s fall continues.

                            IMG_0287.png

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #125

                              EC tie probability up to 0.3.

                              IMG_0288.jpeg

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #126

                                Trump’s favorability rating - 10pts underwater.

                                Harris’ is +0.3

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on last edited by LuFins Dad
                                  #127

                                  As you pointed out yourself, 53-46) in probability is a tossup.

                                  The Brad

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #128

                                    Give the Word Salad Queen time.

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                      Aqua Letifer
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #129

                                      I wish we could stop pretending that this is an election to decide on the best candidate for the country and start admitting that whoever's going to win is arbitrarily ahead in the polls on that particular day. It's not like anyone in the country whose financial future is tied to a particular candidate actually likes any of these people.

                                      Please love yourself.

                                      taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                        Trump’s favorability rating - 10pts underwater.

                                        Harris’ is +0.3

                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #130

                                        @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                                        Trump’s favorability rating - 10pts underwater.

                                        Harris’ is +0.3

                                        She's had 90%+ favorable publicity from every major broadcast media and every cable media, with the exception of FOX, for her entire candidacy. Trump has been 95% negative.

                                        She ought to be better than than that.

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                                          I wish we could stop pretending that this is an election to decide on the best candidate for the country and start admitting that whoever's going to win is arbitrarily ahead in the polls on that particular day. It's not like anyone in the country whose financial future is tied to a particular candidate actually likes any of these people.

                                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                                          taiwan_girl
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #131

                                          @Aqua-Letifer said in It’s starting:

                                          I wish we could stop pretending that this is an election to decide on the best candidate for the country and start admitting that whoever's going to win is arbitrarily ahead in the polls on that particular day.

                                          Aqua says the truth.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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