Skip to content
  • Categories
  • Recent
  • Tags
  • Popular
  • Users
  • Groups
Skins
  • Light
  • Cerulean
  • Cosmo
  • Flatly
  • Journal
  • Litera
  • Lumen
  • Lux
  • Materia
  • Minty
  • Morph
  • Pulse
  • Sandstone
  • Simplex
  • Sketchy
  • Spacelab
  • United
  • Yeti
  • Zephyr
  • Dark
  • Cyborg
  • Darkly
  • Quartz
  • Slate
  • Solar
  • Superhero
  • Vapor

  • Default (No Skin)
  • No Skin
Collapse

The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
448 Posts 24 Posters 28.8k Views
  • Oldest to Newest
  • Newest to Oldest
  • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • L Offline
    L Offline
    Loki
    wrote on last edited by
    #87

    I m seeing the senate stays GOP? Is that consensus?

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #88

      What the NYT is saying about its GA shift:

      (the 3 states it is referring to are GA, FL, NC. All night they were predicting Trump all 3, now they've switched GA)

      Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.34.38 AM.png

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Where are you seeing that?

        If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

        Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

        KlausK Offline
        KlausK Offline
        Klaus
        wrote on last edited by
        #89

        Now it's 70%.

        81614e90-13a2-427a-b144-65b025bbda2f-image.png

        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

        Where are you seeing that?

        If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

        Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
          #90

          Oh, that's not a probability, it's a vote count.

          The reporting of results happens by precinct (mini-district). So it's hard to tell what it means unless you know which districts have reported their results.

          Imagine 3% reporting in Pennsylvania. Is it from a rural area in the middle of the state? Or from a black neighborhood in Philly? The two will give you lopsided opposite answers.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
            #91

            Some of the more professional news organizations have detailed information about each district and how it is expected to vote, based on demographics, polling, and voting history.

            Armed with that info, they can make intelligent guesses about how the whole state is trending based on how the actual results of a few districts compare to their expectations.

            Thats how these states get 'called' early, and how those 'probability needles' work.

            Only non-witches get due process.

            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #92

              Ok I’m going to bed.

              I think the NYT Georgia thing is just a hiccup.

              But still this is anyone’s race. Quite a bit closer than I was expecting and hoping for.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #93

                Nate is saying Biden looking good in NE02.

                Michigan and Wisconsin make him president

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                  Aqua LetiferA Offline
                  Aqua Letifer
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #94

                  BC56D9E9-2644-4A07-A9E7-901AA847B1D6.jpeg

                  Please love yourself.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • KlausK Offline
                    KlausK Offline
                    Klaus
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #95

                    So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                    Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                    • KlausK Klaus

                      So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                      Aqua Letifer
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #96

                      @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                      So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                      I'm still up.

                      Please love yourself.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • X Offline
                        X Offline
                        xenon
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #97

                        I’m cheating by being on the west coast

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • KlausK Offline
                          KlausK Offline
                          Klaus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #98

                          Here's one thing I don't understand.

                          Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                          The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                          RichR Aqua LetiferA 89th8 3 Replies Last reply
                          • KlausK Klaus

                            Here's one thing I don't understand.

                            Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                            The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                            RichR Offline
                            RichR Offline
                            Rich
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #99

                            @Klaus

                            Yeah, those were the days.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • KlausK Klaus

                              Here's one thing I don't understand.

                              Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                              The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                              Aqua LetiferA Offline
                              Aqua LetiferA Offline
                              Aqua Letifer
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #100

                              @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                              The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                              Candidates can gum up the works by demanding a recount.

                              Please love yourself.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • bachophileB Offline
                                bachophileB Offline
                                bachophile
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #101

                                I’ve been up since 5 am

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • KlausK Klaus

                                  Here's one thing I don't understand.

                                  Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                                  The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                                  89th8 Offline
                                  89th8 Offline
                                  89th
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #102

                                  @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                                  Here's one thing I don't understand.

                                  Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                                  The prime example is Gore in 2000. After he called to concede to Bush, and later Florida returned to “too close to call”, at that point it made Gore look like a whining loser as opposed to if he had not conceded, the resulting county by county recount would’ve looked more objective. Ultimately Bush won because the courts told Gore’s team basically to stop cherry picking which (dem leaning) counties to recount.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • 89th8 Offline
                                    89th8 Offline
                                    89th
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #103

                                    Have to admit, I woke up this morning and the race is closer than I expected! Still don’t see Trump winning though. Odds don’t look good to get to 270 and there’s going to be a trickle in of mail in votes that will favor Biden overall.

                                    JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • 89th8 Offline
                                      89th8 Offline
                                      89th
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #104

                                      Oh, it’s nice to see the senate/house is likely not a blue wave. That’s a nice surprise if it holds.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • KlausK Offline
                                        KlausK Offline
                                        Klaus
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #105

                                        It would be nice if somebody could tell Trump to either present evidence for all his vague insinuations of election fraud, or to STFU about it.

                                        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • 89th8 89th

                                          Have to admit, I woke up this morning and the race is closer than I expected! Still don’t see Trump winning though. Odds don’t look good to get to 270 and there’s going to be a trickle in of mail in votes that will favor Biden overall.

                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by Jolly
                                          #106

                                          @89th said in Calling the States:

                                          Have to admit, I woke up this morning and the race is closer than I expected! Still don’t see Trump winning though. Odds don’t look good to get to 270 and there’s going to be a trickle in of mail in votes that will favor Biden overall.

                                          Yep, your Biden landslide prediction stunk..

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                          89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                                          Reply
                                          • Reply as topic
                                          Log in to reply
                                          • Oldest to Newest
                                          • Newest to Oldest
                                          • Most Votes


                                          • Login

                                          • Don't have an account? Register

                                          • Login or register to search.
                                          • First post
                                            Last post
                                          0
                                          • Categories
                                          • Recent
                                          • Tags
                                          • Popular
                                          • Users
                                          • Groups