Skip to content
  • Categories
  • Recent
  • Tags
  • Popular
  • Users
  • Groups
Skins
  • Light
  • Cerulean
  • Cosmo
  • Flatly
  • Journal
  • Litera
  • Lumen
  • Lux
  • Materia
  • Minty
  • Morph
  • Pulse
  • Sandstone
  • Simplex
  • Sketchy
  • Spacelab
  • United
  • Yeti
  • Zephyr
  • Dark
  • Cyborg
  • Darkly
  • Quartz
  • Slate
  • Solar
  • Superhero
  • Vapor

  • Default (No Skin)
  • No Skin
Collapse

The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
448 Posts 24 Posters 28.8k Views
  • Oldest to Newest
  • Newest to Oldest
  • Most Votes
Reply
  • Reply as topic
Log in to reply
This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #82

    Where are you seeing that?

    If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

    Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    KlausK 1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #83

      Minesoooota.

      Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.30.31 AM.png

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      1 Reply Last reply
      • LarryL Offline
        LarryL Offline
        Larry
        wrote on last edited by
        #84

        This isn't the first time Philadelphia has tried to steal an election.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #85

          Shocking thing - neither Trump nor Biden have tweeted much of anything tonight.

          A few retweets and Biden said something about staying in line if you're in line and the polls close.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          L 1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            Shocking thing - neither Trump nor Biden have tweeted much of anything tonight.

            A few retweets and Biden said something about staying in line if you're in line and the polls close.

            L Offline
            L Offline
            Loki
            wrote on last edited by
            #86

            @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

            Shocking thing - neither Trump nor Biden have tweeted much of anything tonight.

            A few retweets and Biden said something about staying in line if you're in line and the polls close.

            More shocking about Trump. Can’t believe he was muzzled.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • L Offline
              L Offline
              Loki
              wrote on last edited by
              #87

              I m seeing the senate stays GOP? Is that consensus?

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                #88

                What the NYT is saying about its GA shift:

                (the 3 states it is referring to are GA, FL, NC. All night they were predicting Trump all 3, now they've switched GA)

                Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.34.38 AM.png

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  Where are you seeing that?

                  If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

                  Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

                  KlausK Offline
                  KlausK Offline
                  Klaus
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #89

                  Now it's 70%.

                  81614e90-13a2-427a-b144-65b025bbda2f-image.png

                  @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                  Where are you seeing that?

                  If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

                  Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                    #90

                    Oh, that's not a probability, it's a vote count.

                    The reporting of results happens by precinct (mini-district). So it's hard to tell what it means unless you know which districts have reported their results.

                    Imagine 3% reporting in Pennsylvania. Is it from a rural area in the middle of the state? Or from a black neighborhood in Philly? The two will give you lopsided opposite answers.

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                      #91

                      Some of the more professional news organizations have detailed information about each district and how it is expected to vote, based on demographics, polling, and voting history.

                      Armed with that info, they can make intelligent guesses about how the whole state is trending based on how the actual results of a few districts compare to their expectations.

                      Thats how these states get 'called' early, and how those 'probability needles' work.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #92

                        Ok I’m going to bed.

                        I think the NYT Georgia thing is just a hiccup.

                        But still this is anyone’s race. Quite a bit closer than I was expecting and hoping for.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #93

                          Nate is saying Biden looking good in NE02.

                          Michigan and Wisconsin make him president

                          Only non-witches get due process.

                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                            Aqua LetiferA Offline
                            Aqua Letifer
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #94

                            BC56D9E9-2644-4A07-A9E7-901AA847B1D6.jpeg

                            Please love yourself.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • KlausK Offline
                              KlausK Offline
                              Klaus
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #95

                              So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                              Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                              • KlausK Klaus

                                So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                                Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                Aqua Letifer
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #96

                                @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                                So, all of TNCR (except me) went to bed? Unbelievable!

                                I'm still up.

                                Please love yourself.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • X Offline
                                  X Offline
                                  xenon
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #97

                                  I’m cheating by being on the west coast

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • KlausK Offline
                                    KlausK Offline
                                    Klaus
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #98

                                    Here's one thing I don't understand.

                                    Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                                    The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                                    RichR Aqua LetiferA 89th8 3 Replies Last reply
                                    • KlausK Klaus

                                      Here's one thing I don't understand.

                                      Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                                      The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                                      RichR Online
                                      RichR Online
                                      Rich
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #99

                                      @Klaus

                                      Yeah, those were the days.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • KlausK Klaus

                                        Here's one thing I don't understand.

                                        Why is it important to "claim victory"? Why is it important whether a party "concedes"?

                                        The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                        Aqua Letifer
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #100

                                        @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                                        The official results will come in sooner or later, and then it doesn't matter what anyone claimed or conceded, no?

                                        Candidates can gum up the works by demanding a recount.

                                        Please love yourself.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • bachophileB Offline
                                          bachophileB Offline
                                          bachophile
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #101

                                          I’ve been up since 5 am

                                          1 Reply Last reply
                                          Reply
                                          • Reply as topic
                                          Log in to reply
                                          • Oldest to Newest
                                          • Newest to Oldest
                                          • Most Votes


                                          • Login

                                          • Don't have an account? Register

                                          • Login or register to search.
                                          • First post
                                            Last post
                                          0
                                          • Categories
                                          • Recent
                                          • Tags
                                          • Popular
                                          • Users
                                          • Groups