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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.

The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.

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  • J Offline
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    jon-nyc
    wrote 21 days ago last edited by jon-nyc 6 Apr 2025, 22:35
    #67

    What’s your over/under on when Trump publicly rebukes Elon?

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

    J 1 Reply Last reply 21 days ago
    • 8 Offline
      8 Offline
      89th
      wrote 21 days ago last edited by
      #68

      Talking about bankruptcy around Trump is..........brave, lol.

      • Golden Nugget Atlantic City
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      • Paradox Hotel Vancouver
      • Plaza Hotel
      • TD Trump Deutschland
      • Trump Entertainment Resorts
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      • Trump magazines
      • Trump Mortgage
      • Trump Ocean Resort Baja Mexico
      • Trump Plaza Hotel and Casino
      • Trump Productions
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      • Trump World's Fair
      1 Reply Last reply
      • J Offline
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        jon-nyc
        wrote 21 days ago last edited by
        #69

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        A 1 Reply Last reply 21 days ago
        • J jon-nyc
          21 days ago

          What’s your over/under on when Trump publicly rebukes Elon?

          J Offline
          J Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote 21 days ago last edited by jon-nyc 6 Apr 2025, 22:35
          #70

          @jon-nyc said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

          What’s your over/under on when Trump publicly rebukes Elon?

          Mine is Friday.

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • J jon-nyc
            21 days ago

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            Axtremus
            wrote 21 days ago last edited by
            #71

            @jon-nyc said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

            Rand is trying to have his cake and eat it too.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Offline
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              jon-nyc
              wrote 21 days ago last edited by
              #72

              Yeah most of the debt increase comes from the TCJA extension and he’d vote for that standalone.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              L 1 Reply Last reply 21 days ago
              • J Offline
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                jon-nyc
                wrote 21 days ago last edited by
                #73

                I’m changing my over/under on the Trump rebuke to tomorrow with a twist - 10% chance Trump comes out on his side.

                IMG_5683.jpeg
                IMG_5684.jpeg

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                J 1 Reply Last reply 20 days ago
                • J jon-nyc
                  22 days ago

                  @taiwan_girl said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                  @Axtremus Who benefits from having that in the bill? Some group obviously lobby to get it included.

                  That’s probably the most sensible thing in the bill. You want the California legislature to govern AI?

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                  Axtremus
                  wrote 21 days ago last edited by
                  #74

                  @jon-nyc said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                  @taiwan_girl said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                  @Axtremus Who benefits from having that in the bill? Some group obviously lobby to get it included.

                  That’s probably the most sensible thing in the bill. You want the California legislature to govern AI?

                  Op-Ed by Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, an AI technology company:

                  https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/opinion/anthropic-ceo-regulate-transparency.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Mk8.GCbk.gEk4FB4DnAhU

                  ... a 10-year moratorium is far too blunt an instrument. A.I. is advancing too head-spinningly fast. I believe that these systems could change the world, fundamentally, within two years; in 10 years, all bets are off. Without a clear plan for a federal response, a moratorium would give us the worst of both worlds — no ability for states to act, and no national policy as a backstop.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J jon-nyc
                    21 days ago

                    Yeah most of the debt increase comes from the TCJA extension and he’d vote for that standalone.

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                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote 21 days ago last edited by
                    #75

                    @jon-nyc said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                    Yeah most of the debt increase comes from the TCJA extension and he’d vote for that standalone.

                    Considering how poorly the CBO projected the 2017 TCJA, why should we trust their numbers this time?

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • J jon-nyc
                      21 days ago

                      I’m changing my over/under on the Trump rebuke to tomorrow with a twist - 10% chance Trump comes out on his side.

                      IMG_5683.jpeg
                      IMG_5684.jpeg

                      J Offline
                      J Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote 20 days ago last edited by
                      #76

                      @jon-nyc said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                      I’m changing my over/under on the Trump rebuke to tomorrow …

                      https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-president-administration-news-06-05-25#cmbjkbhvx00053b6s86gyygp9

                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                      -Cormac McCarthy

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                        taiwan_girl
                        wrote 20 days ago last edited by
                        #77

                        I’ve helped Elon a lot,” Trump said.

                        How so?

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                          jon-nyc
                          wrote 14 days ago last edited by
                          #78

                          Bessent in Congress today:

                          “50% of Americans are financially insecure. Do you think any of them are gonna suffer from the cuts in Medicaid, SNAP, and ACA?” - Moore

                          “I believe they will be better off.” - Bessent

                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                          -Cormac McCarthy

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                            Horace
                            wrote 14 days ago last edited by
                            #79

                            So he thinks the net effect of the bill will be to make them better off.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • J Offline
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                              jon-nyc
                              wrote 9 days ago last edited by
                              #80

                              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                              -Cormac McCarthy

                              1 Reply Last reply
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                                Axtremus
                                wrote 6 days ago last edited by
                                #81

                                https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/06/19/gop-budget-misleading-regressive/

                                IMG_7641.jpeg

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                                  Axtremus
                                  wrote 3 days ago last edited by
                                  #82

                                  https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/22/senate-tax-bill-jct-score-00417131

                                  Senate GOP slashes megabill's tax costs with new accounting method

                                  The "new accounting method" basically do not account for extensions of the 2017 tax cuts as a "cost."

                                  So instead of $3.8 Trillion, using the "new accounting method," the Senate GOP's version of the bill is now said to cost only $440 Billion.

                                  They would still need to raise the debt ceiling by $5 Trillion (or suspend it altogether), but with this new accounting method they say the bill will cost only $440 Billion.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
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                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote 3 days ago last edited by
                                    #83

                                    Extending the Trump Tax Cuts from 2017 may or may not promote more growth than the CBO projects, but expiring the tax cuts kills any possibility for growth, and frankly renders the $5 fucking Trillion debt limit extension irrelevant.

                                    The Brad

                                    A 1 Reply Last reply 3 days ago
                                    • L LuFins Dad
                                      3 days ago

                                      Extending the Trump Tax Cuts from 2017 may or may not promote more growth than the CBO projects, but expiring the tax cuts kills any possibility for growth, and frankly renders the $5 fucking Trillion debt limit extension irrelevant.

                                      A Offline
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                                      Axtremus
                                      wrote 3 days ago last edited by
                                      #84

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in The Big Beautiful Bill needs its own thread.:

                                      Extending the Trump Tax Cuts from 2017 may or may not promote more growth than the CBO projects, but expiring the tax cuts kills any possibility for growth, and frankly renders the $5 fucking Trillion debt limit extension irrelevant.

                                      It seems you have given up on the argument that says reducing the national deficit/debt can itself be pro growth.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                        taiwan_girl
                                        wrote 3 days ago last edited by
                                        #85

                                        Several provisions in the Senate GOP’s version of President Donald Trump’s "big, beautiful bill" have run afoul of Senate rules and must be stripped if Republicans want to pass the package without the help of Democrats.

                                        The bill is undergoing what’s called a "Byrd Bath," when the parliamentarian meticulously combs through each section of the mammoth bill to determine whether policies comport with the Senate’s Byrd Rule.

                                        The point of the budget reconciliation process is to skirt the Senate filibuster and pass a massive, partisan legislative package. But if provisions are left in that fail the test, Senate Republicans will have to meet the typical 60-vote threshold. Provisions that don’t pass muster can still be appealed, however.

                                        and

                                        Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough scrutinized three chunks of the megabill from the Senate Banking, Environment and Public Works and Armed Services committees and found numerous policies that failed to meet the Byrd Rule’s requirements.

                                        Among those was a provision that would have eliminated funding for a target of the GOP’s since its inception in 2008, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which would have effectively eliminated the agency. Doing so also would have slashed $6.4 billion in spending.

                                        https://www.foxnews.com/politics/several-provisions-fail-pass-muster-senate-rules-big-beautiful-bill

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                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote 3 days ago last edited by jon-nyc
                                          #86

                                          Somehow I doubt the bond markets will be fooled by this one. And guys like Rand Paul aren’t going to pretend it’s true either.

                                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                          -Cormac McCarthy

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                                          5 Jun 2025, 16:55


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