It’s starting

[jon-nyc]

@Horace said in It’s starting:

It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.

Moot question in this particular case - this is a state charge.

[jon-nyc]

I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.

But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?

[Jolly]

@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.

But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?

I can.

TDS is a strong emotion.

[jon-nyc]

@Jolly said in It’s starting:

TDS is a strong emotion.

And a useful diversionary tool.

[LuFins Dad]

Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

[jon-nyc]

Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

[Jolly]

@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

Yeah, he updated the models 15 minutes after I posted. I think it’s Kamala 50, Trump 47, and a 3% chance of a split?

[jon-nyc]

That would put the electoral count in the blue.

Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

That would put the electoral count in the blue.

Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

[Horace]

That checks out. Trump is marginal, and also an error.

[jon-nyc]

I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

[Doctor Phibes]

@Jolly said in It’s starting:

With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

[Doctor Phibes]

This post is deleted!

[Mik]

@Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:

@Jolly said in It’s starting:

With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

You should see Michigan.

[Doctor Phibes]

@Mik said in It’s starting:

You should see Michigan.

The comparison between Michigan and its neighbour Ontario makes me question whether 'An armed society is a polite society' isn't over-stating things a little.

[Axtremus]

@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

Nate wins!

[Doctor Phibes]

@Jolly said in It’s starting:

With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

Have you ever visited Rhode Island?

Refusing to sleep with blood relatives when there's an R in the month doesn't make one an elite.

[89th]

@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

That's important to remember. Anytime I see headlines about models showing Kamala winning, I get flashbacks of the other cackling gal in 2016...

[LuFins Dad]

And Joe was between 4-7 points ahead before 2020.