It’s starting
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The first poll post-debate showed Kamala got the win, but Trump improved his position by .5% https://nypost.com/2024/09/11/us-news/kamala-harris-opens-up-narrow-lead-over-donald-trump-post-philadelphia-debate/
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lol
Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.
@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
lol
Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.
Maybe now that Trump will be sentenced for his felony conviction a few weeks after the election? If he was sent to prison in late September, I bet Vance's odds would've gone up.
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It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.
@Horace said in It’s starting:
It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.
Moot question in this particular case - this is a state charge.
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I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?I can.
TDS is a strong emotion.
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@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?I can.
TDS is a strong emotion.
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Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
The Brad
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Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
“Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”
Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton
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@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.
Yeah, he updated the models 15 minutes after I posted. I think it’s Kamala 50, Trump 47, and a 3% chance of a split?
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That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
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That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.The Brad
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@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
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@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
This post is deleted! -
@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
@Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:
@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
You should see Michigan.
