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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #74

    Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

      Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

      alt text

      JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #75

      @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

      Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

      alt text

      With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on last edited by
        #76

        @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

        Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

        Yeah, he updated the models 15 minutes after I posted. I think it’s Kamala 50, Trump 47, and a 3% chance of a split?

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #77

          That would put the electoral count in the blue.

          Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            That would put the electoral count in the blue.

            Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #78

            @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

            That would put the electoral count in the blue.

            Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

            PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
            margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

            The Brad

            89th8 1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Online
              HoraceH Online
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #79

              That checks out. Trump is marginal, and also an error.

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #80

                I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                IMG_0187.jpeg

                Only non-witches get due process.

                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Jolly

                  @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                  Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

                  alt text

                  With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #81

                  @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                  With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                  There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                  Doctor PhibesD MikM 2 Replies Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                    With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                    There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                    Doctor Phibes
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #82
                    This post is deleted!
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                      @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                      With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                      There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                      MikM Offline
                      MikM Offline
                      Mik
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #83

                      @Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:

                      @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                      With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                      There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                      You should see Michigan.

                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Mik

                        @Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:

                        @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                        With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                        There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                        You should see Michigan.

                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #84

                        @Mik said in It’s starting:

                        You should see Michigan.

                        The comparison between Michigan and its neighbour Ontario makes me question whether 'An armed society is a polite society' isn't over-stating things a little.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                          IMG_0187.jpeg

                          AxtremusA Away
                          AxtremusA Away
                          Axtremus
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #85

                          @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                          I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                          Nate wins!

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Jolly

                            @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                            Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

                            alt text

                            With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                            Doctor PhibesD Offline
                            Doctor PhibesD Offline
                            Doctor Phibes
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #86

                            @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                            With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                            Have you ever visited Rhode Island? 😀

                            Refusing to sleep with blood relatives when there's an R in the month doesn't make one an elite.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                              @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                              That would put the electoral count in the blue.

                              Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

                              PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
                              margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

                              89th8 Offline
                              89th8 Offline
                              89th
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #87

                              @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                              Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

                              That's important to remember. Anytime I see headlines about models showing Kamala winning, I get flashbacks of the other cackling gal in 2016...

                              d6ad6c02-ae86-41aa-98f3-be2ca40026ea-image.png

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #88

                                And Joe was between 4-7 points ahead before 2020.

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by Jolly
                                  #89

                                  speaking of Hillary...

                                  On the 2.17 Bongino podcast, he talks about line-of-sight sniper threats and about the three ring Secret Service security zones. He said that it has long been known about the Iranians and their wish to assassinate a President or high-ranking, high-profile, American official. So, while he was in the protection details, they worried about this stuff all the time.

                                  One such worry was a Hillary speaking engagement. Too much glass, too many elevated positions with line-of-sight to the podium. Then one agent had a bright idea...It was winter! The Secret Service bought every can of fake, canned snow they could get their hands on and coated every piece of glass until you couldn't see through it.

                                  Problem solved.

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                    #90

                                    Looks kinda like a Haitian jaw, clamping down on a tabby.

                                    IMG_0214.png

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Offline
                                      MikM Offline
                                      Mik
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #91

                                      If you look at it the other way it’s a cat eating escargot.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Jolly

                                        Kinda expected that.

                                        I think you see them tighten back up, if she continues to stay in her basement.

                                        BTW, notice the behavior of the two candidates? After the debate, Trump left for the spin room and talked awhile. Kamala-lama-ding-dong went directly to her limo and left.

                                        George KG Offline
                                        George KG Offline
                                        George K
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #92

                                        @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                                        if she continues to stay in her basement.

                                        image.jpeg

                                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • 89th8 Offline
                                          89th8 Offline
                                          89th
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #93

                                          Strategery? Trump and Vance have had a few blunders, so maybe it's a wise strategy to let the enemy defeat itself?

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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