The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

[jon-nyc]

I hope they gamed it out well and have a plan for what they’ll do if a Russian or Chinese naval vessel tries to escort a tanker out.

[Mik]

Seems counterproductive. Might be better to just take Kharg and starve their economy.

[AndyD]

I'd do exactly what he's doing and blow Kharg out of the water. And destroy every Iranian coastal landing area for miles.
It's costing a billion a day, what's a few more missiles.

[Renauda]

@jon-nyc said:

I hope they gamed it out well and have a plan for what they’ll do if a Russian or Chinese naval vessel tries to escort a tanker out.

I was thinking the same.

[jon-nyc]

So the Navy announced a blockade of Iranian ports but specifically disavowed Trump’s stated intention of blockading the strait as a whole.

This is better that’s for sure.

[Axtremus]

First, Putin's Russia benefits from higher oil prices and relaxed sanctions on Russian oil, now China's renewable energy business gets a boost.

The commies are winning.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/business/energy-environment/china-energy-battery-grid.html?unlocked_article_code=1.alA.rW-a.Z3d9kgOfzttP

Now the war with Iran has laid bare the risks of reliance on Middle Eastern oil and gas. Countries are realizing that all paths to renewable power run through China and its exporters.

Even if a cease-fire between the United States and Iran helps ease disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the shock has already grabbed the attention of governments worldwide. Faced with energy shortages, they are accelerating efforts to upgrade their power grids, bringing them to the doorstep of Chinese companies eager to supply them.

[jon-nyc]

Confrontation is set.

[89th]

Exactly how would the US blockade work? I mean in actual terms. Shooting torpedoes at any boat that tries to cross the red rover red rover line?

[jon-nyc]

I think they instruct them to stop and return with the implied threat of violence if they don’t. I think the next step is boarding the vessel if it’s commercial.

[AndyD]

Whatever worked for Venezuela.
Certainly stay at a reasonably safe distance but where you can respond to intelligence quickly. The seas to the south of the Strait.

[Tom-K]

@Axtremus said:

Now the war with Iran has laid bare the risks of reliance on Middle Eastern oil and gas. Countries are realizing that all paths to renewable power run through China and its exporters.

Even if a cease-fire between the United States and Iran helps ease disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the shock has already grabbed the attention of governments worldwide. Faced with energy shortages, they are accelerating efforts to upgrade their power grids, bringing them to the doorstep of Chinese companies eager to supply them.

So what? China runs out of oil on June 8th. Ryan McBeth--a good analysis.

Link to video

Bottom line is this war (except for a few dollars at the pump) isn't hurting me at all. Maybe higher prices for delivery of some things later on--but I'm not seeing a personal downside from the whole thing. And--some stocks are up and some are down. Overall I see a bit of a loss but that's a random occurrence anyway.

[jon-nyc]

[jon-nyc]

Hahahahahahahaha

[jon-nyc]

Before you know it he’ll be negotiating Obama’s old JCPOA back into existence.

[89th]

You wonder how much this frustrates those who have dedicated their lives to middle east strategy, war games, policies, only to have Trump one day while eating a Big Mac say with a stuffed mouth "Hey, why don't we just bomb them and then send vulgar tweets with bluff threats?"

[taiwan_girl]

@89th He really lacks a long term vision on so many things. Or maybe he thinks he does but is not able to make the necessary connections and potential consequences. Or maybe a combination of the above.

But, long term vision for a politician is not easy, whether it is President Trump or somebody else They rarely look past the next election.

[bachophile]

So S&P back to pre war levels. Will the bull market bounce back?

[jon-nyc]

I’m not complaining

[jon-nyc]

S&P hit a new high today.

[bachophile]

im not complaining either

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/15/business/stocks-record-iran-war.html

“The market is trading assuming we have seen the worst of the conflict,” said Stefano Pascale, an equity analyst at Barclays."