rt.live
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:41 last edited by
It‘s concerning that many states have seen staedy decline of R0 for weeks, then their R0s rise again. You’d think that as more people become better aware of and better educated about COVID-19, that more people will observe social distancing and practice better hygiene and that should keep suppressing R0s.
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:56 last edited by
What is the goal?
How do you measure performance against it?
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:10 last edited by
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:11 last edited by
What is the goal?
Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.
How do you measure performance against it?
You measure R0.
That seems to be a goal that could take somewhat longer than flatten the curve.
Do you have any idea how long that might take? My guess is that it could takes years. I assume you would abandon the social separation and stay at home policies long before that.
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"These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading."
wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:18 last edited byOf course there is volatility around the estimates by state but it has consistently trended down to about 1 in the US as whole. So what is the issue?
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:35 last edited by
@Aqua-Letifer said in rt.live:
What is the goal?
It's not what you think it is or want it to be.
What do I think it is?
What do I want it to be?
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 03:39 last edited by Axtremus
If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way.
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If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way.
wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 10:59 last edited byIf the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 valies trending the wrong way.
I saw that yesterday. It seems like a sudden change, too. Things were looking much more favorable a day or two ago.. I wonder what happened
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 18:15 last edited by
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 19:49 last edited by
I built a Lunar Lander Game like that, written in 6502 assembler on the Commodore 64.
I uploaded it to the Q-Link game site. Q-Link aka Quantum Link. Steve Case became CEO of Quantum Link then it was renamed to AOL.
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 19:55 last edited by jon-nyc
He rang the bell at the top of the dot-com era, selling AOL to the idiots at TW who didn’t realize its best days we’re behind it.
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 20:02 last edited by
Switching AOL from a proprietary network to the internet seems like such an obvious thing to do from our current time. I remember it as kind of a bold move back then.
Of course it helped lead to the end of AOL dominance, still it let the company die a slower death.
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 20:06 last edited by jon-nyc
It did, and I remember how big a deal it was for them at the time.
The clowns at TW didn’t have a mental model of how AOL fit with ‘the internet’ and they bought a dying property thinking they were investing in the future.
I remember people were pissed at Steve Case after it fell apart. But he was a genius. He sold high.
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wrote on 27 Apr 2020, 10:13 last edited by
Seems like RT.live made a big model update yesterday which has improved some numbers too.
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wrote on 27 Apr 2020, 21:36 last edited by
Seems like RT.live made a big model update yesterday which has improved some numbers too.
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wrote on 27 Apr 2020, 21:58 last edited by
Let's hope the new numbers are accurate - that would be great news.
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wrote on 28 May 2020, 11:45 last edited by
About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.
As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.
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About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.
As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.
wrote on 28 May 2020, 11:55 last edited by -
About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.
As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.
wrote on 28 May 2020, 11:56 last edited byAbout a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.
As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.
I've noticed that trend as well.
Do you think it has anything to do with "re-opening," or is it a factor of having more positives because of testing?
