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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
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  3. rt.live

rt.live

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #9

    It‘s concerning that many states have seen staedy decline of R0 for weeks, then their R0s rise again. You’d think that as more people become better aware of and better educated about COVID-19, that more people will observe social distancing and practice better hygiene and that should keep suppressing R0s.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • CopperC Offline
      CopperC Offline
      Copper
      wrote on last edited by
      #10

      What is the goal?

      How do you measure performance against it?

      AxtremusA Aqua LetiferA 2 Replies Last reply
      • CopperC Copper

        What is the goal?

        How do you measure performance against it?

        AxtremusA Offline
        AxtremusA Offline
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by
        #11

        @Copper said in rt.live:

        What is the goal?

        Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

        How do you measure performance against it?

        You measure R0.

        CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
        • CopperC Copper

          What is the goal?

          How do you measure performance against it?

          Aqua LetiferA Offline
          Aqua LetiferA Offline
          Aqua Letifer
          wrote on last edited by
          #12

          @Copper said in rt.live:

          What is the goal?

          It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

          Please love yourself.

          CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
          • AxtremusA Axtremus

            @Copper said in rt.live:

            What is the goal?

            Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

            How do you measure performance against it?

            You measure R0.

            CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #13

            @Axtremus said in rt.live:

            @Copper said in rt.live:

            What is the goal?

            Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

            How do you measure performance against it?

            You measure R0.

            That seems to be a goal that could take somewhat longer than flatten the curve.

            Do you have any idea how long that might take? My guess is that it could takes years. I assume you would abandon the social separation and stay at home policies long before that.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • George KG George K

              https://rt.live

              "These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading."

              L Offline
              L Offline
              Loki
              wrote on last edited by
              #14

              Of course there is volatility around the estimates by state but it has consistently trended down to about 1 in the US as whole. So what is the issue?

              1 Reply Last reply
              • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                @Copper said in rt.live:

                What is the goal?

                It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

                CopperC Offline
                CopperC Offline
                Copper
                wrote on last edited by
                #15

                @Aqua-Letifer said in rt.live:

                @Copper said in rt.live:

                What is the goal?

                It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

                What do I think it is?

                What do I want it to be?

                1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Offline
                  AxtremusA Offline
                  Axtremus
                  wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                  #16

                  If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way. 😞

                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                  • AxtremusA Axtremus

                    If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way. 😞

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #17

                    @Axtremus said in rt.live:

                    If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 valies trending the wrong way. 😞

                    I saw that yesterday. It seems like a sudden change, too. Things were looking much more favorable a day or two ago.. I wonder what happened

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • CopperC Offline
                        CopperC Offline
                        Copper
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        I built a Lunar Lander Game like that, written in 6502 assembler on the Commodore 64.

                        I uploaded it to the Q-Link game site. Q-Link aka Quantum Link. Steve Case became CEO of Quantum Link then it was renamed to AOL.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                          #20

                          He rang the bell at the top of the dot-com era, selling AOL to the idiots at TW who didn’t realize its best days we’re behind it.

                          Only non-witches get due process.

                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            Switching AOL from a proprietary network to the internet seems like such an obvious thing to do from our current time. I remember it as kind of a bold move back then.

                            Of course it helped lead to the end of AOL dominance, still it let the company die a slower death.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                              #22

                              It did, and I remember how big a deal it was for them at the time.

                              The clowns at TW didn’t have a mental model of how AOL fit with ‘the internet’ and they bought a dying property thinking they were investing in the future.

                              I remember people were pissed at Steve Case after it fell apart. But he was a genius. He sold high.

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • 89th8 Offline
                                89th8 Offline
                                89th
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #23

                                Seems like RT.live made a big model update yesterday which has improved some numbers too.

                                George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                                • 89th8 89th

                                  Seems like RT.live made a big model update yesterday which has improved some numbers too.

                                  George KG Offline
                                  George KG Offline
                                  George K
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  @89th said in rt.live:

                                  Seems like RT.live made a big model update yesterday which has improved some numbers too.

                                  https://rt.live

                                  Screen-Shot-2020-04-27-at-4-36-33-PM.png

                                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                    Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                    Doctor Phibes
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #25

                                    Let's hope the new numbers are accurate - that would be great news.

                                    I was only joking

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • AxtremusA Offline
                                      AxtremusA Offline
                                      Axtremus
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #26

                                      About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.

                                      As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.

                                      L George KG 2 Replies Last reply
                                      • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                        About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.

                                        As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Loki
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #27

                                        @Axtremus said in rt.live:

                                        About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.

                                        As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.

                                        Is the goal to keep the R value below 1? It’s going to spread as we open up. Do you want to keep the country in lockdown?

                                        CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                          About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.

                                          As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.

                                          George KG Offline
                                          George KG Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #28

                                          @Axtremus said in rt.live:

                                          About a week~10 days ago, we got down to only two states having R values above 1.

                                          As of this morning, there are nine states with R values above 1.

                                          I've noticed that trend as well.

                                          Do you think it has anything to do with "re-opening," or is it a factor of having more positives because of testing?

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                          L 1 Reply Last reply
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