rt.live

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in rt.live:

I suspect the dark and light shaded areas are 50% and 95% confidence intervals?

I'd guess it is.

The fascinating charts are when you click on "Last week," "2 weeks ago" etc.

[jon-nyc]

I need to compare these to the Tibco estimates and then understand the difference in calculations.

Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.

[George K]

@jon-nyc said in rt.live:

Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.

Yeah, I noticed that too.

[jon-nyc]

[Axtremus]

@brenda you‘re in Minnesota. What do you think of the COVID-19 situation in Minnesota? Do you think the various state-imposed social distancing measures such as school closures, “non-essential” business closures, prohibition of large social gatherings, etc. are too much, just right, or not enough? Any of the state‘s COVID-19 policies you would like to change if you were made supreme leader of Minnesota?

[Mik]

R is on the rise in Ohio and they are demonstrating outside the state house to open it up. Foolish.

[Axtremus]

It‘s concerning that many states have seen staedy decline of R0 for weeks, then their R0s rise again. You’d think that as more people become better aware of and better educated about COVID-19, that more people will observe social distancing and practice better hygiene and that should keep suppressing R0s.

[Copper]

What is the goal?

How do you measure performance against it?

[Axtremus]

@Copper said in rt.live:

What is the goal?

Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

How do you measure performance against it?

You measure R0.

[Aqua Letifer]

@Copper said in rt.live:

What is the goal?

It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

[Copper]

@Axtremus said in rt.live:

@Copper said in rt.live:

What is the goal?

Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

How do you measure performance against it?

You measure R0.

That seems to be a goal that could take somewhat longer than flatten the curve.

Do you have any idea how long that might take? My guess is that it could takes years. I assume you would abandon the social separation and stay at home policies long before that.

[Loki]

Of course there is volatility around the estimates by state but it has consistently trended down to about 1 in the US as whole. So what is the issue?

[Copper]

@Aqua-Letifer said in rt.live:

@Copper said in rt.live:

What is the goal?

It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

What do I think it is?

What do I want it to be?

[Axtremus]

If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way.

[George K]

@Axtremus said in rt.live:

If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 valies trending the wrong way.

I saw that yesterday. It seems like a sudden change, too. Things were looking much more favorable a day or two ago.. I wonder what happened

[jon-nyc]

[Copper]

I built a Lunar Lander Game like that, written in 6502 assembler on the Commodore 64.

I uploaded it to the Q-Link game site. Q-Link aka Quantum Link. Steve Case became CEO of Quantum Link then it was renamed to AOL.

[jon-nyc]

He rang the bell at the top of the dot-com era, selling AOL to the idiots at TW who didn’t realize its best days we’re behind it.

[Copper]

Switching AOL from a proprietary network to the internet seems like such an obvious thing to do from our current time. I remember it as kind of a bold move back then.

Of course it helped lead to the end of AOL dominance, still it let the company die a slower death.

[jon-nyc]

It did, and I remember how big a deal it was for them at the time.

The clowns at TW didn’t have a mental model of how AOL fit with ‘the internet’ and they bought a dying property thinking they were investing in the future.

I remember people were pissed at Steve Case after it fell apart. But he was a genius. He sold high.