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The New Coffee Room

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  2. General Discussion
  3. What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?

What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?

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  • bachophileB Offline
    bachophileB Offline
    bachophile
    wrote on last edited by bachophile
    #4

    Yea. I figure two years tops

    But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.

    But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.

    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #5

      The name on the placard doesn’t change much of anything.

      The bigger question is how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

      The Brad

      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

        The name on the placard doesn’t change much of anything.

        The bigger question is how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #6

        @LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

        how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

        And we can thank Bush and Obama for that.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • 89th8 Offline
          89th8 Offline
          89th
          wrote on last edited by
          #7

          Is say 90%

          1 Reply Last reply
          • bachophileB bachophile

            Yea. I figure two years tops

            But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.

            But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.

            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote on last edited by
            #8

            @bachophile said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

            Yea. I figure two years tops

            But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.

            But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.

            In four years, he'll be even older than Biden is now. We could have two presidents not survive their term.

            God, imagine what DJT would be like if he started going senile.

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #9

              Based on life expectancy calculators I'd say its north of 85%.

              He has a 75% chance of living to 86 which would get him through two terms.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              1 Reply Last reply
              • AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #10

                Uncle Joe is 77 now, living in a nation with male life expectancy of 78.5 years.
                But that's before you take into account Uncle Joe's socioeconomic status.
                If you look at US male in the top quartile by economic income, a category in which Uncle Joe easily qualifies, the life expectancy there is over 87 years.
                Uncle Joe will likely outlives his first term.

                Heck, Jimmy Carter is 96 and he is still around.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Loki
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #11

                  We learned that we are truly a divided country. We learned that a progressive agenda won’t fly. That is all that matters.

                  The fact that Trump came so close given 4 years of carpet bombing tells you the GOP is still very very relevant.

                  The Senate holds and picks up seats in 2 years.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #12

                    Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                    You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                    That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    AxtremusA bachophileB 2 Replies Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                      You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                      That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                      AxtremusA Offline
                      AxtremusA Offline
                      Axtremus
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #13

                      @jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                      You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                      That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                      Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Offline
                        MikM Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #14

                        I think chances are he will make it.

                        But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Offline
                          MikM Offline
                          Mik
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #15

                          The interesting thing will be how Biden treats Harris. She is exceedingly ambitious, so I suspect he will relegate her to funerals, etc. A long, long arms length.

                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #16

                            The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                            The Brad

                            JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Mik

                              I think chances are he will make it.

                              But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.

                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #17

                              @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                              and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                              Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                                You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                                That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                                bachophileB Offline
                                bachophileB Offline
                                bachophile
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #18

                                @jon-nyc yes the life expectancy is long, but being alive doesn’t translate into being fit enough to handle the most demanding job on the planet.

                                I’m amazed that he kept up a full scale campaign.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                  and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                                  Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                                  MikM Offline
                                  MikM Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #19

                                  @jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                  @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                  and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                                  Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                                  Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                    The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #20

                                    @LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                    The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                                    Feed, water and turn.

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • CopperC Offline
                                      CopperC Offline
                                      Copper
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #21

                                      He'll get decent healthcare.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #22

                                        DE9F8B53-CC9C-4073-AFFC-E25CDF720F6C.jpeg

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #23

                                          Anybody want to chip in to get Joe a 4 year supply of Prevagen?

                                          The Brad

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