What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?
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Uncle Joe is 77 now, living in a nation with male life expectancy of 78.5 years.
But that's before you take into account Uncle Joe's socioeconomic status.
If you look at US male in the top quartile by economic income, a category in which Uncle Joe easily qualifies, the life expectancy there is over 87 years.
Uncle Joe will likely outlives his first term.Heck, Jimmy Carter is 96 and he is still around.
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We learned that we are truly a divided country. We learned that a progressive agenda won’t fly. That is all that matters.
The fact that Trump came so close given 4 years of carpet bombing tells you the GOP is still very very relevant.
The Senate holds and picks up seats in 2 years.
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
"You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
-Cormac McCarthy -
Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.
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I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
The Brad
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I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
"You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
-Cormac McCarthy -
Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
@jon-nyc yes the life expectancy is long, but being alive doesn’t translate into being fit enough to handle the most demanding job on the planet.
I’m amazed that he kept up a full scale campaign.
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@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.
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The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
@LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
Feed, water and turn.
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Anybody want to chip in to get Joe a 4 year supply of Prevagen?
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according to th 22nd amendment, if Harris succeeds Biden during this term, and she is prez for two years, she can only be elected for one more term. If she succeeds him in the third year, she can be prez theoretically for up to ten years. Interesting.
