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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?

What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?

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  • LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    The name on the placard doesn’t change much of anything.

    The bigger question is how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

    The Brad

    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

      The name on the placard doesn’t change much of anything.

      The bigger question is how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

      George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #6

      @LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

      how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...

      And we can thank Bush and Obama for that.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • 89th8 Offline
        89th8 Offline
        89th
        wrote on last edited by
        #7

        Is say 90%

        1 Reply Last reply
        • bachophileB bachophile

          Yea. I figure two years tops

          But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.

          But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.

          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #8

          @bachophile said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

          Yea. I figure two years tops

          But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.

          But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.

          In four years, he'll be even older than Biden is now. We could have two presidents not survive their term.

          God, imagine what DJT would be like if he started going senile.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #9

            Based on life expectancy calculators I'd say its north of 85%.

            He has a 75% chance of living to 86 which would get him through two terms.

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

            1 Reply Last reply
            • AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #10

              Uncle Joe is 77 now, living in a nation with male life expectancy of 78.5 years.
              But that's before you take into account Uncle Joe's socioeconomic status.
              If you look at US male in the top quartile by economic income, a category in which Uncle Joe easily qualifies, the life expectancy there is over 87 years.
              Uncle Joe will likely outlives his first term.

              Heck, Jimmy Carter is 96 and he is still around.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • L Offline
                L Offline
                Loki
                wrote on last edited by
                #11

                We learned that we are truly a divided country. We learned that a progressive agenda won’t fly. That is all that matters.

                The fact that Trump came so close given 4 years of carpet bombing tells you the GOP is still very very relevant.

                The Senate holds and picks up seats in 2 years.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #12

                  Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                  You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                  That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  AxtremusA bachophileB 2 Replies Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                    You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                    That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                    AxtremusA Offline
                    AxtremusA Offline
                    Axtremus
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #13

                    @jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                    You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                    That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                    Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • MikM Away
                      MikM Away
                      Mik
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #14

                      I think chances are he will make it.

                      But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.

                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Away
                        MikM Away
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #15

                        The interesting thing will be how Biden treats Harris. She is exceedingly ambitious, so I suspect he will relegate her to funerals, etc. A long, long arms length.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins DadL Offline
                          LuFins Dad
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #16

                          The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                          The Brad

                          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Mik

                            I think chances are he will make it.

                            But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.

                            jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #17

                            @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                            and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                            Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                            -Cormac McCarthy

                            MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.

                              You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.

                              That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.

                              bachophileB Offline
                              bachophileB Offline
                              bachophile
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #18

                              @jon-nyc yes the life expectancy is long, but being alive doesn’t translate into being fit enough to handle the most demanding job on the planet.

                              I’m amazed that he kept up a full scale campaign.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                                Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                                MikM Away
                                MikM Away
                                Mik
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #19

                                @jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                @Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.

                                Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.

                                Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.

                                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                  The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #20

                                  @LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:

                                  The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.

                                  Feed, water and turn.

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • CopperC Offline
                                    CopperC Offline
                                    Copper
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #21

                                    He'll get decent healthcare.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ Online
                                      jon-nycJ Online
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #22

                                      DE9F8B53-CC9C-4073-AFFC-E25CDF720F6C.jpeg

                                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                      -Cormac McCarthy

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins Dad
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #23

                                        Anybody want to chip in to get Joe a 4 year supply of Prevagen?

                                        The Brad

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • bachophileB Offline
                                          bachophileB Offline
                                          bachophile
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #24

                                          according to th 22nd amendment, if Harris succeeds Biden during this term, and she is prez for two years, she can only be elected for one more term. If she succeeds him in the third year, she can be prez theoretically for up to ten years. Interesting.

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