What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
If you don't take it, it can only good happen.
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.
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I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
"You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell
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The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
The Brad
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I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
@jon-nyc yes the life expectancy is long, but being alive doesn’t translate into being fit enough to handle the most demanding job on the planet.
I’m amazed that he kept up a full scale campaign.
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@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.
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The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
@LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
Feed, water and turn.
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Anybody want to chip in to get Joe a 4 year supply of Prevagen?
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according to th 22nd amendment, if Harris succeeds Biden during this term, and she is prez for two years, she can only be elected for one more term. If she succeeds him in the third year, she can be prez theoretically for up to ten years. Interesting.
