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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Understanding US election polls

Understanding US election polls

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  • LarryL Offline
    LarryL Offline
    Larry
    wrote on last edited by
    #45

    Link to video

    1 Reply Last reply
    • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

      @LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:

      @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:

      @89th , I still don’t like his chances that much but would be willing to put up a 4 pack of that 120 Minute...

      Jesus, what a lightweight. I will put up 240 bottles of Budweiser. The loser has to drink it.

      The 4 pack of 120 Minute probably costs more than 10 cases of Budweiser...

      Is that stuff actually drinkable? The only beer I've had anywhere near that strong was barley wine, and it was pretty disgusting. There's also a long story associated with it which for legal reasons I can't go into here.

      89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote on last edited by
      #46

      @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:

      @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

      @LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:

      @89th , I still don’t like his chances that much but would be willing to put up a 4 pack of that 120 Minute...

      Jesus, what a lightweight. I will put up 240 bottles of Budweiser. The loser has to drink it.

      The 4 pack of 120 Minute probably costs more than 10 cases of Budweiser...

      Is that stuff actually drinkable? The only beer I've had anywhere near that strong was barley wine, and it was pretty disgusting. There's also a long story associated with it which for legal reasons I can't go into here.

      Yes, for being 15-20% ABV, it doesn't taste that alcoholic. The hops smell/taste is very potent, but it's great if you love IPAs like I do.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • X Offline
        X Offline
        xenon
        wrote on last edited by xenon
        #47

        There are so many potential reasons why turnout will be different this year:

        • Young people are all cooped up and might actually see voting as "something to do"

        • Backlash to wokeness

        • COVID suppresses in-person senior vote

        • etc.

        Turnout is harder to model than sentiment - so I'm not going to be surprised with any outcome here.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • CopperC Offline
          CopperC Offline
          Copper
          wrote on last edited by
          #48

          I'll be surprised if Mr. Biden gets even one vote.

          I guess it's possible.

          But I just can't understand why anyone would do that.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote on last edited by
            #49

            Biden is a monster, an old white man who's passed on his privilege to his younger white son. It's everything wrong with America, but I guess some people just love their unfair advantages so much, that they'd vote for Biden. I guess they don't care about the disadvantaged. It's their own souls at peril. I have nothing to do with it. They are the ones who will burn in eternal hell. It's really sad because I care about them, and people I care about, I would prefer not to burn in eternal hell. I hope they take my advice and vote for Trump. The stakes for their eternal souls are pretty high. Hugs.

            Education is extremely important.

            taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
            • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

              @89th said in Understanding US election polls:

              The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.

              God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.

              ? Offline
              ? Offline
              A Former User
              wrote on last edited by
              #50

              @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

              @89th said in Understanding US election polls:

              The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.

              God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.

              It will be a blowout popular and electoral. The silent majority are not closet Trumpsters. They are regular people who haven't drank his koolaid and are just plain tired of him and his need to be the water cooler topic each and every day.

              LarryL 1 Reply Last reply
              • ? A Former User

                @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

                @89th said in Understanding US election polls:

                The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.

                God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.

                It will be a blowout popular and electoral. The silent majority are not closet Trumpsters. They are regular people who haven't drank his koolaid and are just plain tired of him and his need to be the water cooler topic each and every day.

                LarryL Offline
                LarryL Offline
                Larry
                wrote on last edited by Larry
                #51

                @nobodyssock said in Understanding US election polls:

                @Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:

                @89th said in Understanding US election polls:

                The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.

                God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.

                It will be a blowout popular and electoral. The silent majority are not closet Trumpsters. They are regular people who haven't drank his koolaid and are just plain tired of him and his need to be the water cooler topic each and every day.

                Yeah.... thats why Trump rallies ha e 20,000 people and a biden rally has 20 show up, with 12 of those being news media....

                Fucking moron..

                1 Reply Last reply
                • 89th8 Offline
                  89th8 Offline
                  89th
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #52

                  Do you think that’s based on popularity or safety?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LarryL Offline
                    LarryL Offline
                    Larry
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #53

                    Youre kidding, right?

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • 89th8 Offline
                      89th8 Offline
                      89th
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #54

                      If you think Trump has 20,000 people and Biden has 8 is a reflection of popularity, then I think you're going to be sadly surprised next week.

                      LarryL 1 Reply Last reply
                      • LarryL Offline
                        LarryL Offline
                        Larry
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #55

                        No, i think YOU will.

                        BWAAAAAAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAA

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Horace

                          Biden is a monster, an old white man who's passed on his privilege to his younger white son. It's everything wrong with America, but I guess some people just love their unfair advantages so much, that they'd vote for Biden. I guess they don't care about the disadvantaged. It's their own souls at peril. I have nothing to do with it. They are the ones who will burn in eternal hell. It's really sad because I care about them, and people I care about, I would prefer not to burn in eternal hell. I hope they take my advice and vote for Trump. The stakes for their eternal souls are pretty high. Hugs.

                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #56

                          @Horace said in Understanding US election polls:

                          ..... is a monster, an old white man who's passed on his privilege to his younger white son.

                          Are you talking about President Trump or Vice President Biden? :-). 555

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • 89th8 89th

                            If you think Trump has 20,000 people and Biden has 8 is a reflection of popularity, then I think you're going to be sadly surprised next week.

                            LarryL Offline
                            LarryL Offline
                            Larry
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #57

                            @89th said in Understanding US election polls:

                            If you think Trump has 20,000 people and Biden has 8 is a reflection of popularity, then I think you're going to be sadly surprised next week.

                            Link to video

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