Understanding US election polls
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@LuFins-Dad deal. In fact, I’ll buy you 4 of those 4 packs and you only have to buy 1. Want to give you the odds!
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@LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:
Anecdotally speaking, I don’t now a single person that voted for Trump in 16 that won’t be voting for him this time.
All the Mullen voters I know broke for Kanye.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:
@Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:
@LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:
@89th , I still don’t like his chances that much but would be willing to put up a 4 pack of that 120 Minute...
Jesus, what a lightweight. I will put up 240 bottles of Budweiser. The loser has to drink it.
The 4 pack of 120 Minute probably costs more than 10 cases of Budweiser...
Is that stuff actually drinkable? The only beer I've had anywhere near that strong was barley wine, and it was pretty disgusting. There's also a long story associated with it which for legal reasons I can't go into here.
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@Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:
@LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:
@Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:
@LuFins-Dad said in Understanding US election polls:
@89th , I still don’t like his chances that much but would be willing to put up a 4 pack of that 120 Minute...
Jesus, what a lightweight. I will put up 240 bottles of Budweiser. The loser has to drink it.
The 4 pack of 120 Minute probably costs more than 10 cases of Budweiser...
Is that stuff actually drinkable? The only beer I've had anywhere near that strong was barley wine, and it was pretty disgusting. There's also a long story associated with it which for legal reasons I can't go into here.
Yes, for being 15-20% ABV, it doesn't taste that alcoholic. The hops smell/taste is very potent, but it's great if you love IPAs like I do.
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There are so many potential reasons why turnout will be different this year:
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Young people are all cooped up and might actually see voting as "something to do"
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Backlash to wokeness
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COVID suppresses in-person senior vote
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etc.
Turnout is harder to model than sentiment - so I'm not going to be surprised with any outcome here.
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Biden is a monster, an old white man who's passed on his privilege to his younger white son. It's everything wrong with America, but I guess some people just love their unfair advantages so much, that they'd vote for Biden. I guess they don't care about the disadvantaged. It's their own souls at peril. I have nothing to do with it. They are the ones who will burn in eternal hell. It's really sad because I care about them, and people I care about, I would prefer not to burn in eternal hell. I hope they take my advice and vote for Trump. The stakes for their eternal souls are pretty high. Hugs.
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@Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:
@89th said in Understanding US election polls:
The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.
God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.
It will be a blowout popular and electoral. The silent majority are not closet Trumpsters. They are regular people who haven't drank his koolaid and are just plain tired of him and his need to be the water cooler topic each and every day.
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@nobodyssock said in Understanding US election polls:
@Doctor-Phibes said in Understanding US election polls:
@89th said in Understanding US election polls:
The good news I think Biden will have such strong leads that it will minimize any waffling and delaying by Trump to concede defeat within a week or so after Nov 3.
God I hope so, but I lack your confidence.
It will be a blowout popular and electoral. The silent majority are not closet Trumpsters. They are regular people who haven't drank his koolaid and are just plain tired of him and his need to be the water cooler topic each and every day.
Yeah.... thats why Trump rallies ha e 20,000 people and a biden rally has 20 show up, with 12 of those being news media....
Fucking moron..
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@Horace said in Understanding US election polls:
..... is a monster, an old white man who's passed on his privilege to his younger white son.
Are you talking about President Trump or Vice President Biden? :-). 555
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@89th said in Understanding US election polls:
If you think Trump has 20,000 people and Biden has 8 is a reflection of popularity, then I think you're going to be sadly surprised next week.