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The New Coffee Room

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  3. The impact of AI on jobs

The impact of AI on jobs

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  • HoraceH Horace

    @jon-nyc said in The impact of AI on jobs:

    Anthropic CEO: AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white collar jobs and spike unemployment to 10-20% within the next five years... Governments and companies need to stop sugar-coating what they know is coming

    I'm sure that guy has better intuitions than I do. My hope is that with better AI will come more opportunities for humans to operate that AI, bringing something human to the table that AIs still can't replicate. Maybe I should discount that hope. It was only ever a faint hope. I've never suffered from any illusions about the magical nature of the human mind.

    AxtremusA Away
    AxtremusA Away
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #27

    @Horace said in The impact of AI on jobs:

    My hope is that with better AI will come more opportunities for humans to operate that AI, bringing something human to the table that AIs still can't replicate. Maybe I should discount that hope. ...

    Unless that "something human" can increase profit, yeah ... discount that hope.

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    • AxtremusA Axtremus

      @jon-nyc said in The impact of AI on jobs:

      I am starting to worry about my son who will graduate from college in 6 years.

      I tell youngsters to consider plumbing school as backup plan. I am thinking it will be much harder for AI to replace plumbers.

      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #28

      @Axtremus said in The impact of AI on jobs:

      @jon-nyc said in The impact of AI on jobs:

      I am starting to worry about my son who will graduate from college in 6 years.

      I tell youngsters to consider plumbing school as backup plan. I am thinking it will be much harder for AI to replace plumbers.

      Are you telling your own kids that?

      My son could survive off his inheritances I suppose. Especially given what AGI will do to the stock market.

      If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

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      • HoraceH Online
        HoraceH Online
        Horace
        wrote on last edited by
        #29

        I bet Ax does not choose that question to break his decades long seal against talking about personal stuff.

        Education is extremely important.

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        • MikM Away
          MikM Away
          Mik
          wrote on last edited by
          #30

          I think my daughter will be fine. AI can develop project plans, but it can't be a butt kicker, which every successful project manager is.

          "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

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          • 89th8 Online
            89th8 Online
            89th
            wrote on last edited by
            #31

            Sorry to break it to you Mik:

            https://www.vice.com/en/article/ever-wish-there-was-a-machine-for-kicking-people-in-the-ass-well/

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            • Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote on last edited by
              #32

              If all the butts belong to robots, what better kicker than a machine?

              I was only joking

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              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #33

                Best comment: Akshually its tensor maths of which vectors are just a special case

                If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

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                • HoraceH Online
                  HoraceH Online
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #34

                  I wrote a description of something I was doing yesterday, to some coworkers. I pasted a paragraph of it into chatgpt, to see what sense it could make of it.

                  image.png

                  It understood it perfectly, gave perfectly reasonable advice. This is not advanced stuff, but the level of this conversation, based on my experience, will lose most people allegedly "skilled in the art", but now anybody can get accurate and clear headed explanations of technical stuff, in presumably most realms of human knowledge.

                  Education is extremely important.

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                  • MikM Away
                    MikM Away
                    Mik
                    wrote on last edited by Mik
                    #35

                    That's how I use it and it excels 90% of the time. It distills the subject down to what you really need to know.

                    "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

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                    • AxtremusA Away
                      AxtremusA Away
                      Axtremus
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #36

                      See, plumbing school FTW!

                      https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ai-cant-install-an-hvac-system-why-gen-z-is-flocking-to-jobs-in-the-trades-171735856.html

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • A Offline
                        A Offline
                        AndyD
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #37

                        Back in 1980 when I read Sociology, we studied some Keynes, Schumacher. Reduced working hours, and 3 day working weeks appeared to be in my future.
                        Oh yeah, and flying cars for all were predicted.

                        It'll happen, eventually.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #38

                          https://www.forbes.com/sites/carolinecastrillon/2025/08/07/microsoft-reveals-the-most-and-least-ai-safe-jobs-where-do-you-rank/

                          Most Vulnerable
                          Interpreters and Translators
                          Historians
                          Passenger Attendants
                          Sales Representatives of Services
                          Writers and Authors
                          Customer Service Representatives
                          CNC Tool Programmers
                          Telephone Operators
                          Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks
                          Broadcast Announcers and Radio DJs

                          Least Vulnerable
                          Phlebotomists
                          Nursing Assistants
                          Hazardous Materials Removal Workers
                          Helpers—Painters, Plasterers, etc.
                          Embalmers
                          Plant and System Operators, All Other
                          Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
                          Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers
                          Ship Engineers
                          Tire Repairers and Changers

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