Second Wave?
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 12:41 last edited by
CFR has been a polluted number to think about forever. IMO it does more harm than good. Anybody who would like to disseminate a CFR should do some legwork to use a reasonable approximation of an IFR instead. Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 13:25 last edited by
I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 13:30 last edited by
I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 13:34 last edited by
Sauerkraut, @Klaus , your wonderfully sauerkraut. Man, I miss real sauerkraut.
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CFR has been a polluted number to think about forever. IMO it does more harm than good. Anybody who would like to disseminate a CFR should do some legwork to use a reasonable approximation of an IFR instead. Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.
wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 14:03 last edited by@Horace said in Second Wave?:
Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.
Yes but an old kitten. Prolly in a nursing home.
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I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.
wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 14:35 last edited by@Klaus said in Second Wave?:
I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.
I hate to bring in national stereotypes, but sometimes it's hard not to state the obvious.
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 15:01 last edited by
I think that more and more younger people are having it now. That definitely has a "impact" on the Case Fatality Rate. (And maybe even teh infection rate also)
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I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 15:42 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in Second Wave?:
I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
I don't think the theory is wrong. The goal has always been to flatten the curve. Any sane person knows we won't eradicate this.
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wrote on 14 Sept 2020, 17:12 last edited by
The curve is flat.
As promised.
Thank you Mr. Trump.
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 03:23 last edited by
Less HCQ
But seriously I think there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it.
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 12:46 last edited by Jolly
Anecdotally speaking, from a very small sliver of information...Most of the positive COVID tests I'm seeing are not the nursing home set. They're 50 and down...
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 14:18 last edited by
I’m getting a test today.
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 14:26 last edited by
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 14:31 last edited by
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 14:32 last edited by
Taking MFR for a test today. She's having a routine preventitive procedure Friday.
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wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 14:33 last edited by
I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.
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I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 15:07 last edited by@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
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@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 15:24 last edited by@taiwan_girl said in Second Wave?:
@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
Thanks TG. Third time's a charm!
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I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.
wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 15:50 last edited by@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.
Horace, I work with COVID patients. The phlebotomist couldn't stick one Sunday, so I had to gown up and go procure the specimens. Twice.
I lie my happy ass off.
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Less HCQ
But seriously I think there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it.
wrote on 15 Sept 2020, 15:57 last edited by@bachophile said in Second Wave?:
there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it
You're a lot closer to this than I am, so perhaps you can fill us in on what's different and what's better?