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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Second Wave?

Second Wave?

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  • KlausK Offline
    KlausK Offline
    Klaus
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.

    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #6

      Sauerkraut, @Klaus , your wonderfully sauerkraut. Man, I miss real sauerkraut.

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • HoraceH Horace

        CFR has been a polluted number to think about forever. IMO it does more harm than good. Anybody who would like to disseminate a CFR should do some legwork to use a reasonable approximation of an IFR instead. Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.

        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #7

        @Horace said in Second Wave?:

        Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.

        Yes but an old kitten. Prolly in a nursing home.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • KlausK Klaus

          I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.

          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor PhibesD Offline
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #8

          @Klaus said in Second Wave?:

          I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.

          I hate to bring in national stereotypes, but sometimes it's hard not to state the obvious.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girl
            wrote on last edited by
            #9

            I think that more and more younger people are having it now. That definitely has a "impact" on the Case Fatality Rate. (And maybe even teh infection rate also)

            1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.

              I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.

              JollyJ Offline
              JollyJ Offline
              Jolly
              wrote on last edited by
              #10

              @LuFins-Dad said in Second Wave?:

              I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.

              I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.

              I don't think the theory is wrong. The goal has always been to flatten the curve. Any sane person knows we won't eradicate this.

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

              1 Reply Last reply
              • CopperC Offline
                CopperC Offline
                Copper
                wrote on last edited by
                #11

                The curve is flat.

                As promised.

                Thank you Mr. Trump.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • bachophileB Offline
                  bachophileB Offline
                  bachophile
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #12

                  Less HCQ

                  But seriously I think there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it.

                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by Jolly
                    #13

                    Anecdotally speaking, from a very small sliver of information...Most of the positive COVID tests I'm seeing are not the nursing home set. They're 50 and down...

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #14

                      I’m getting a test today.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Horace

                        I’m getting a test today.

                        JollyJ Offline
                        JollyJ Offline
                        Jolly
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #15

                        @Horace said in Second Wave?:

                        I’m getting a test today.

                        Feeling a bit poorly?

                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #16

                          I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #17

                            Taking MFR for a test today. She's having a routine preventitive procedure Friday.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #18

                              I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.

                              Education is extremely important.

                              JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Horace

                                I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.

                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girlT Offline
                                taiwan_girl
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #19

                                @Horace said in Second Wave?:

                                I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.

                                Good luck!!!! 🍀

                                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                                  @Horace said in Second Wave?:

                                  I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.

                                  Good luck!!!! 🍀

                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #20

                                  @taiwan_girl said in Second Wave?:

                                  @Horace said in Second Wave?:

                                  I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.

                                  Good luck!!!! 🍀

                                  Thanks TG. Third time's a charm!

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Horace

                                    I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.

                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #21

                                    @Horace said in Second Wave?:

                                    I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.

                                    Horace, I work with COVID patients. The phlebotomist couldn't stick one Sunday, so I had to gown up and go procure the specimens. Twice.

                                    I lie my happy ass off.🤠

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • bachophileB bachophile

                                      Less HCQ

                                      But seriously I think there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it.

                                      George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #22

                                      @bachophile said in Second Wave?:

                                      there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it

                                      You're a lot closer to this than I am, so perhaps you can fill us in on what's different and what's better?

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                      bachophileB 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • George KG George K

                                        @bachophile said in Second Wave?:

                                        there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it

                                        You're a lot closer to this than I am, so perhaps you can fill us in on what's different and what's better?

                                        bachophileB Offline
                                        bachophileB Offline
                                        bachophile
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #23

                                        @George-K said in Second Wave?:

                                        @bachophile said in Second Wave?:

                                        there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it

                                        You're a lot closer to this than I am, so perhaps you can fill us in on what's different and what's better?

                                        Different? Much less panic and therefore much less being strict about things.

                                        Some of the panicky stuff we did, wiping down everything, not leaving the house at all, that’s all gone by the way side.

                                        But in terms of numbers we are 100 times worse. No more endemic areas or hot zones. Now everywhere is a hot zone. The spread is basically nationwide.

                                        Medically, a lot less intubations. Lots of vents sitting in storage unused after there’s was a mad rush to get more and more, remember that?

                                        A lot of better care with dexa and remdesevir. But the beds are filling up fast and that’s going to have an impact

                                        Anyway, lockdown now but it’s not as strict. People can go to work as long as there is no public service rendered. Like restaurants are all closed. But private offices are all open.

                                        What’s the same? Still a royal pain in the ass.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • NunataxN Offline
                                          NunataxN Offline
                                          Nunatax
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #24

                                          In our tiny little country, there’s a big discussion going on between virologists and a “health economist” on whether the current increase of infection rate is due to the increased testing rate or because of a second wave. I have no clue who is right...

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