Second Wave?
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CFR has been a polluted number to think about forever. IMO it does more harm than good. Anybody who would like to disseminate a CFR should do some legwork to use a reasonable approximation of an IFR instead. Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.
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I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
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Sauerkraut, @Klaus , your wonderfully sauerkraut. Man, I miss real sauerkraut.
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CFR has been a polluted number to think about forever. IMO it does more harm than good. Anybody who would like to disseminate a CFR should do some legwork to use a reasonable approximation of an IFR instead. Every time someone talks about CFR, a kitten with no comorbidities dies.
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I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.
@Klaus said in Second Wave?:
I wonder what France, Spain etc. do differently than Germany. The infection rates in these countries are almost at all-time highs again, whereas they are only slightly higher over here.
I hate to bring in national stereotypes, but sometimes it's hard not to state the obvious.
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I think that more and more younger people are having it now. That definitely has a "impact" on the Case Fatality Rate. (And maybe even teh infection rate also)
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I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
@LuFins-Dad said in Second Wave?:
I’ve got a suspicion the asymptomatic cases are through the roof and we just don’t know it.
I am also remembering a theory from back in February/March that the total numbers would ultimately be the same no matter what, the only question was if we could stretch them out and protect the vulnerable.
I don't think the theory is wrong. The goal has always been to flatten the curve. Any sane person knows we won't eradicate this.
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Less HCQ
But seriously I think there has been a learning curve on treatment and we are just better at it.
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I'm not going to tell them I was just on a plane to and from Missouri when they ask about recent travels because screw arbitrary COVID rules. Not that I think that would be disqualifying, but I'm not going to bother with the discussion and potential complications.
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I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
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@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
@taiwan_girl said in Second Wave?:
@Horace said in Second Wave?:
I have a surgery for my thumb on Friday and they require a test prior. This is a new rule as of a month or so ago.
Good luck!!!!
Thanks TG. Third time's a charm!