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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote last edited by
    #1009

    So why aren’t we talking about the Jobs Report? https://thenationaldesk.com/news/americas-news-now/american-born-employment-reaches-record-high-as-foreign-born-jobs-continue-to-decline

    A record number of jobs for American born workers and a significant drop in foreign born jobs.

    Wages are up 3.7% over last year contrasted with 2.4% inflation, so that’s real wage growth.

    https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/

    The Brad

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote last edited by jon-nyc
      #1010

      Real wages have been growing since 2022. Though they’re down in q1 from 4q2024.

      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

      LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Real wages have been growing since 2022. Though they’re down in q1 from 4q2024.

        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote last edited by
        #1011

        @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

        Real wages have been growing since 2022. Though they’re down in q1 from 4q2024.

        And it was fantastic for the illegals…

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
          #1012

          Trump announced a 50% tariff on copper. I think we have maybe 5% of the world’s supply, Chile has like 30%.

          Besides needlessly making construction and power generation more expensive, we’ve seen in the past when copper prices rise, so does crime as people steal/destroy things with high copper content to sell them.

          Nice going, Trump.

          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nycJ Offline
            jon-nyc
            wrote last edited by
            #1013

            It seems so economically pointless it makes me wonder if this is a patronage play that belongs in the corruption thread.

            Thank you for your attention to this matter.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • X Offline
              X Offline
              xenon
              wrote last edited by
              #1014

              Every business plan in corporate America this year just has a line item for "chaos monkey" right now. This is ridiculous.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • 89th8 Offline
                89th8 Offline
                89th
                wrote last edited by
                #1015

                With all the taxes on lumber and copper... get ready for even higher new home build prices!

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by
                  #1016

                  Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote last edited by
                    #1017

                    Trumpflation has landed…

                    https://www.reuters.com/business/us-inflation-expected-rise-june-with-tariff-driven-price-hikes-2025-07-15/

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • X Offline
                      X Offline
                      xenon
                      wrote last edited by
                      #1018

                      Lots of companies have been able to hold out with supply on hand (or supply they stocked up on) - with the hopes that we’d have more clarity before having to raise price.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins Dad
                        wrote last edited by
                        #1019

                        Yamaha price increase announced for August 1… But that’s been a fairly typical timeframe. I don’t mind saying the increase is above inflation…

                        The Brad

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by
                          #1020

                          I was on an investment strategy call with Merrill and they still think the tariffs are mostly a tactical threat and that they still expect decent corporate earnings for Q2, many coming out this week.

                          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                            #1021

                            One funny thing though, they always come up with pithy names for various bear market episodes when they refer to them or compare them across time.

                            Example, the dot-com bust, the Great Financial Crisis, Covid, etc.

                            The name they settled on for the spring bear market and the associated volatility is ‘The Tariff Tantrum’.

                            Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote last edited by
                              #1022

                              https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/15/us/politics/canada-tariffs-mark-carney-trump.html

                              Canada’s Leader Says There’s Little Hope of Avoiding U.S. Tariffs
                              After long insisting that Canada could avoid Trump tariffs through talks, Mark Carney now says that is unlikely for any nation.

                              Maybe the sh!t will hit the fan for real this time. 🤷

                              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                              • 89th8 Offline
                                89th8 Offline
                                89th
                                wrote last edited by
                                #1023

                                So basically time the Trump Tariff Tantrum and make some money but get out of the market before the great dollar collapse of 2035?

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #1024

                                  We’ll see. Their ‘base case’ forecast is always pretty optimistic. They are in the business of getting you to invest your money after all, not put it in your mattress.

                                  Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                  B 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                    We’ll see. Their ‘base case’ forecast is always pretty optimistic. They are in the business of getting you to invest your money after all, not put it in your mattress.

                                    B Offline
                                    B Offline
                                    blondie
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #1025

                                    @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                    We’ll see. Their ‘base case’ forecast is always pretty optimistic. They are in the business of getting you to invest your money after all, not put it in your mattress.

                                    I’m having to attend a little strategy lunch with my finance guy tomorrow. I’m wondering what he’ll propose and how I’l react. My son had his meeting last week, and now a small portion of his portfolio has been infused with Crypto. AI and Bitcoin seem to be topics of Zoom meetings and webinars of late, but I don’t understand this stuff, .. at my stage of life, I hesitate. Yet I’ve too much sitting as cash, and my freeholder stuff isn’t flowing so well now. I’m quite tired of your president’s Tariff Tantum.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                      https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/15/us/politics/canada-tariffs-mark-carney-trump.html

                                      Canada’s Leader Says There’s Little Hope of Avoiding U.S. Tariffs
                                      After long insisting that Canada could avoid Trump tariffs through talks, Mark Carney now says that is unlikely for any nation.

                                      Maybe the sh!t will hit the fan for real this time. 🤷

                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      RenaudaR Offline
                                      Renauda
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #1026

                                      @Axtremus said in Trumpenomics:

                                      https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/15/us/politics/canada-tariffs-mark-carney-trump.html

                                      Canada’s Leader Says There’s Little Hope of Avoiding U.S. Tariffs
                                      After long insisting that Canada could avoid Trump tariffs through talks, Mark Carney now says that is unlikely for any nation.

                                      Maybe the sh!t will hit the fan for real this time. 🤷

                                      Carney is just being realistic about the future trading relationship. No sense looking at it any other way.

                                      Canada will just have to build closer trade and investment relations with the UK, EU, the Asian markets and South America where practicable.

                                      Elbows up!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #1027

                                        By the way, Trump put a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports. That’s where 1/3 of our coffee comes from.

                                        I read that if you grew coffee on every square inch of land in the US that can grow coffee, most of which is in Hawaii, it would keep the Pacific Northwest supplied with coffee for a week.

                                        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                          By the way, Trump put a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports. That’s where 1/3 of our coffee comes from.

                                          I read that if you grew coffee on every square inch of land in the US that can grow coffee, most of which is in Hawaii, it would keep the Pacific Northwest supplied with coffee for a week.

                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #1028

                                          @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                          By the way, Trump put a 50% tariff on Brazilian imports. That’s where 1/3 of our coffee comes from.

                                          I read that if you grew coffee on every square inch of land in the US that can grow coffee, most of which is in Hawaii, it would keep the Pacific Northwest supplied with coffee for a week.

                                          FFS, coffee beans are already wholesaling for 2x-3x what they were 5 years ago. My favorite coffee that I was buying for $12 a bag in 2020 is $18 right now…

                                          The Brad

                                          AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
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