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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • J Jolly
    12 Sept 2024, 21:04

    @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

    I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.

    But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?

    I can.

    TDS is a strong emotion.

    J Offline
    J Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 21:25 last edited by
    #72

    @Jolly said in It’s starting:

    TDS is a strong emotion.

    And a useful diversionary tool.

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

    1 Reply Last reply
    • L Offline
      L Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 16:05 last edited by
      #73

      Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

      alt text

      The Brad

      J 1 Reply Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 18:19
      • J Offline
        J Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:08 last edited by
        #74

        Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        L 1 Reply Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 18:27
        • L LuFins Dad
          17 Sept 2024, 16:05

          Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

          alt text

          J Offline
          J Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:19 last edited by
          #75

          @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

          Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

          alt text

          With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          D 2 Replies Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 19:09
          • J jon-nyc
            17 Sept 2024, 18:08

            Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

            L Offline
            L Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:27 last edited by
            #76

            @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

            Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.

            Yeah, he updated the models 15 minutes after I posted. I think it’s Kamala 50, Trump 47, and a 3% chance of a split?

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Offline
              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:33 last edited by
              #77

              That would put the electoral count in the blue.

              Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              L 1 Reply Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 18:45
              • J jon-nyc
                17 Sept 2024, 18:33

                That would put the electoral count in the blue.

                Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

                L Offline
                L Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:45 last edited by
                #78

                @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                That would put the electoral count in the blue.

                Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

                PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
                margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

                The Brad

                8 1 Reply Last reply 18 Sept 2024, 12:51
                • H Offline
                  H Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:47 last edited by
                  #79

                  That checks out. Trump is marginal, and also an error.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J Offline
                    J Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:07 last edited by
                    #80

                    I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                    IMG_0187.jpeg

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    A 1 Reply Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 21:57
                    • J Jolly
                      17 Sept 2024, 18:19

                      @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                      Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

                      alt text

                      With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                      D Offline
                      D Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:09 last edited by
                      #81

                      @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                      With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                      There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                      D M 2 Replies Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 19:09
                      • D Doctor Phibes
                        17 Sept 2024, 19:09

                        @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                        With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                        There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                        D Offline
                        D Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:09 last edited by
                        #82
                        This post is deleted!
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • D Doctor Phibes
                          17 Sept 2024, 19:09

                          @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                          With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                          There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                          M Offline
                          M Offline
                          Mik
                          wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:13 last edited by
                          #83

                          @Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:

                          @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                          With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                          There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                          You should see Michigan.

                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                          D 1 Reply Last reply 17 Sept 2024, 20:20
                          • M Mik
                            17 Sept 2024, 19:13

                            @Doctor-Phibes said in It’s starting:

                            @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                            With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                            There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.

                            You should see Michigan.

                            D Offline
                            D Offline
                            Doctor Phibes
                            wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 20:20 last edited by
                            #84

                            @Mik said in It’s starting:

                            You should see Michigan.

                            The comparison between Michigan and its neighbour Ontario makes me question whether 'An armed society is a polite society' isn't over-stating things a little.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • J jon-nyc
                              17 Sept 2024, 19:07

                              I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                              IMG_0187.jpeg

                              A Offline
                              A Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 21:57 last edited by
                              #85

                              @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                              I went ahead and subscribed for two months.

                              Nate wins!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • J Jolly
                                17 Sept 2024, 18:19

                                @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                                Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…

                                alt text

                                With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                                D Offline
                                D Offline
                                Doctor Phibes
                                wrote on 18 Sept 2024, 01:50 last edited by
                                #86

                                @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                                With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".

                                Have you ever visited Rhode Island? 😀

                                Refusing to sleep with blood relatives when there's an R in the month doesn't make one an elite.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • L LuFins Dad
                                  17 Sept 2024, 18:45

                                  @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                                  That would put the electoral count in the blue.

                                  Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.

                                  PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
                                  margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

                                  8 Offline
                                  8 Offline
                                  89th
                                  wrote on 18 Sept 2024, 12:51 last edited by
                                  #87

                                  @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

                                  Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row.

                                  That's important to remember. Anytime I see headlines about models showing Kamala winning, I get flashbacks of the other cackling gal in 2016...

                                  d6ad6c02-ae86-41aa-98f3-be2ca40026ea-image.png

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • L Offline
                                    L Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on 18 Sept 2024, 12:59 last edited by
                                    #88

                                    And Joe was between 4-7 points ahead before 2020.

                                    The Brad

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      Jolly
                                      wrote on 18 Sept 2024, 13:02 last edited by Jolly
                                      #89

                                      speaking of Hillary...

                                      On the 2.17 Bongino podcast, he talks about line-of-sight sniper threats and about the three ring Secret Service security zones. He said that it has long been known about the Iranians and their wish to assassinate a President or high-ranking, high-profile, American official. So, while he was in the protection details, they worried about this stuff all the time.

                                      One such worry was a Hillary speaking engagement. Too much glass, too many elevated positions with line-of-sight to the podium. Then one agent had a bright idea...It was winter! The Secret Service bought every can of fake, canned snow they could get their hands on and coated every piece of glass until you couldn't see through it.

                                      Problem solved.

                                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 00:37 last edited by jon-nyc
                                        #90

                                        Looks kinda like a Haitian jaw, clamping down on a tabby.

                                        IMG_0214.png

                                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                        -Cormac McCarthy

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • M Offline
                                          M Offline
                                          Mik
                                          wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 00:41 last edited by
                                          #91

                                          If you look at it the other way it’s a cat eating escargot.

                                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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