The Ukraine war thread
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Russia planning new offensive in new year:
“Little by little I am learning the art of being quite content by doing very little slowly” ~ Lionel Hardcastle
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@Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:
Russia planning new offensive in new year:
I imagine they've learned a lot from their missteps last February.
OTOH, just how good are the mobiks? They've burned through a lot of materiel in 10 months (about 3K tanks, 200 aircraft). I imagine supplies are dwindling.
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This is all well and good. I just wish we'd stop announcing it and giving the location.
"My pronouns are FA/FO." - Mik, 2024
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I see another side to announcing it. It is an open declaration of defiance to Putin’s intimidation tactics against NATO. It also counters Kremlin disinformation regarding covert NATO support to Ukraine. I trust that the Pentagon knows what it is doing.
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Kissinger says we should not crush Russia but should negotiate. He thinks Ukraine should cede territory to Russia. I will consider what he says, but it is near impossible to think Russia should be rewarded for aggression.
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@Mik said in The Ukraine war thread:
t is near impossible to think Russia should be rewarded for aggression.
The reward isn't for the aggression, it's for winning.
Or in the case of a negotiated settlement, the reward is negotiated. Stopping the aggression is worth something.
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At the this point, Russia is only prepared to dictate terms of surrender to Ukraine that amount to nothing less than the unconditional surrender of its territory and sovereignty.
So no, in the foreseeable future it is folly to even consider the Kremlin could sit down and negotiate in good faith a stop to its aggression against Ukraine and, by extension, NATO.
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Somebody has to run out of will, money or bodies at some point.
Always remember, Operation Valkyrie was an act of sedition.
Warning: I post things that interest me. Read and comment at your own discretion. -
Although it has an abundance of will to defend itself, Ukraine is out of money and running out of bodies.
Russia is flush with cash, has plenty of bodies in reserve and is sufficiently deluded to believe in its own infallibility to fight NATO indefinitely.
“Little by little I am learning the art of being quite content by doing very little slowly” ~ Lionel Hardcastle
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@Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:
Ukraine is out of money and running out of bodies.
Several sources claim > 90K Russian dead. If the ⅓ ratio holds, that adds up to 270K casualties.
I've not seen anything about Ukranian casualties. I imagine it's probably similar.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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I can’t imagine Ukrainian casualties being much different.
Casualty estimates for both sides is a cloudy issue that’s for sure. I came across the following this morning breaking down confirmed Russian KIAs:
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One Russian tank unit attacks another over argument. Love this. Maakes you wonder if one day the Russian occupiers may desert and turn Ukrainian. Wouldn't that be something.
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It’s always something.
