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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

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  • RenaudaR Offline
    RenaudaR Offline
    Renauda
    wrote last edited by Renauda
    #1129

    Exactly. And if they were to try to enforce it, that alone would amount to a justifiable casus belli.

    Elbows up!

    1 Reply Last reply
    • MikM Offline
      MikM Offline
      Mik
      wrote last edited by Mik
      #1130

      Maybe Europe is encouraging that for an excuse to appease Trump and get involved.

      "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote last edited by jon-nyc
        #1131

        Trump floats the idea of the US and Iran forming a ‘joint venture’ to collect the tolls together.

        “We’re thinking of doing it as a joint venture,” the president told Karl, who shared Trump’s response on the social platform X. “It’s a way of securing it — also securing it from lots of other people. It’s a beautiful thing.”

        https://thehill.com/policy/international/5821343-trump-us-iran-ceasefire-deal-joint-venture-strait-of-hormuz/

        Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • MikM Offline
          MikM Offline
          Mik
          wrote last edited by
          #1132

          There’s just no idea too inappropriate.

          "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

          1 Reply Last reply
          • RenaudaR Offline
            RenaudaR Offline
            Renauda
            wrote last edited by
            #1133

            Inappropriate and detached from all reality.

            Elbows up!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • A Offline
              A Offline
              AndyD
              wrote last edited by AndyD
              #1134

              Fuck tolls.
              These are international shipping waters.
              I'd rather have a huge area of Iranian land cleared to the east of the waters and made uninhabitable.

              And keep bombing the Iranian officials and army wherever they pop up.

              I feel the same as the day after the Trading Towers fell or the Gazan terrorists invaded Israel.
              Fuck them being in control of world shipping.

              Trump's started this war, he'd better have the guts to finish it.
              Not that the UK or USA actually need much oil from the area, but I feel very strongly about this defence of the free seas.

              jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
              • A AndyD

                Fuck tolls.
                These are international shipping waters.
                I'd rather have a huge area of Iranian land cleared to the east of the waters and made uninhabitable.

                And keep bombing the Iranian officials and army wherever they pop up.

                I feel the same as the day after the Trading Towers fell or the Gazan terrorists invaded Israel.
                Fuck them being in control of world shipping.

                Trump's started this war, he'd better have the guts to finish it.
                Not that the UK or USA actually need much oil from the area, but I feel very strongly about this defence of the free seas.

                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                #1135

                @AndyD said:

                Trump's started this war, he'd better have the guts to finish it.

                I think that’s ultimately the problem. Bibi, for his own reasons, convinced Trump it would be easy and quick. Trump signed up for easy and quick and the pentagons plans for reopening the straight are probably complicated and long.

                Not that the UK or USA actually need much oil from the area, but I feel very strongly about this defence of the free seas.

                “Energy independence” is something of a myth (except in a blockade scenario). It’s not like we get to live in a world of $40 oil when the strait is closed. And the fact that a few American oil companies are raking it in is small consolation to your average Joe paying $5 at the gas pump.

                Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                1 Reply Last reply
                👍
                • Tom-KT Offline
                  Tom-KT Offline
                  Tom-K
                  wrote last edited by
                  #1136

                  We are forgetting that the reason all of this is happening is to keep Iran from becoming a nuclear threat. Now, if that was really going to happen, I haven't a clue. (And no one is even coming close to telling the truth about it.) But if it actually was than this closing of the Strait of Hormuz is just a blip.

                  Ego similis habere bonum et non curat nunquam accipere malum.

                  jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                  • A Offline
                    A Offline
                    AndyD
                    wrote last edited by
                    #1137

                    Yup.
                    If all you need is 4% enriched uranium for power plants, why do the Iranians, while also vowing to kill Americans, enrich their uranium in deep secretive bunkers to 60% and more? While also developing long range missile capabilities.

                    It's a no brainer.
                    Something proactive needed to be done.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • MikM Offline
                      MikM Offline
                      Mik
                      wrote last edited by
                      #1138

                      Should have been done 2001-2008.

                      "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • Tom-KT Tom-K

                        We are forgetting that the reason all of this is happening is to keep Iran from becoming a nuclear threat. Now, if that was really going to happen, I haven't a clue. (And no one is even coming close to telling the truth about it.) But if it actually was than this closing of the Strait of Hormuz is just a blip.

                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #1139

                        @Tom-K said:

                        We are forgetting that the reason all of this is happening is to keep Iran from becoming a nuclear threat. Now, if that was really going to happen, I haven't a clue. (And no one is even coming close to telling the truth about it.) But if it actually was than this closing of the Strait of Hormuz is just a blip.

                        It's not clear we've done much about that other than delay it and make them even more determined. Solving that problem requires true regime change (you have to kill the king, not wound him). Trump clearly thought they'd do that, announced that as his goal even on the first day of the attacks. The problem is Trump doesn't seem to be wiling to pay the price required to do it, at least once he found out it wasn't going to come cheap.

                        Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • Tom-KT Tom-K

                          We are forgetting that the reason all of this is happening is to keep Iran from becoming a nuclear threat. Now, if that was really going to happen, I haven't a clue. (And no one is even coming close to telling the truth about it.) But if it actually was than this closing of the Strait of Hormuz is just a blip.

                          jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                          #1140

                          @Tom-K said:

                          Now, if that was really going to happen, I haven't a clue. (And no one is even coming close to telling the truth about it.)

                          I'm confident it was happening. I think people misunderstand when Trump or Bibi say 'they were 2 weeks away from a bomb'. That doesn't mean they would have had a bomb in mid-march had we not attacked 2/28. It means they have enough enriched uranium at 60% that, whenever they made the decision to do so, they could further enrich it to 90% in two weeks time. (or however many weeks it was). I think that was generally true and had been for some time, and may still be true. Whatever damage the GBU-57 MOPs did last June, it didn't take out all their stockpiles.

                          Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • bachophileB Offline
                            bachophileB Offline
                            bachophile
                            wrote last edited by
                            #1141

                            either way, alot of people here feel we r really fucked.

                            unless he really does manage to talk the iranians into handing over the enriched unranium

                            Tom-KT 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nycJ Offline
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote last edited by
                              #1142

                              Iran is setting conditions to even start negotiations.

                              Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nycJ Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote last edited by
                                #1143

                                Those ‘blocked assets’ are well over $100B. According to him Trump agreed to this as a condition of the cease fire.

                                Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • 89th8 Offline
                                  89th8 Offline
                                  89th
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #1144

                                  Probably Trump trying to make it look like $100B doesn’t phase him.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #1145

                                    Heard an interesting take on the Conflicted podcast by a former Al Qaeda jihadist turned MI6 spy. He said Pakistan was up to mischief in softening the US demands when passing them to Iran, and significantly softening the Iranian demands when passing them to the US.

                                    That would explain the apparent confusion between what the administration says it accepted as the basis for ceasefire negotiations and what the Iranians published (the 10 point list). I just wish the administration would publish the 10 point list it received from the Pakis*.

                                    (*that's for you, Phebes)

                                    Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Offline
                                      MikM Offline
                                      Mik
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #1146

                                      Aw, man, the pakis wouldn't lie, right? RIGHT?

                                      "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nycJ Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #1147

                                        I assume this is a product of Pakistani mischief.

                                        Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • bachophileB bachophile

                                          either way, alot of people here feel we r really fucked.

                                          unless he really does manage to talk the iranians into handing over the enriched unranium

                                          Tom-KT Offline
                                          Tom-KT Offline
                                          Tom-K
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #1148

                                          @bachophile said:

                                          either way, alot of people here feel we r really fucked.

                                          unless he really does manage to talk the iranians into handing over the enriched unranium

                                          If the Iranian nuclear threat isn't ended there is no reason for any of this to have happened. The Houthis are bad actors as well as Hezbollah and all the other things Iran has a hand in but those problems most likely could be handled piecemeal locally. The nuclear bomb could be a major problem for Israel and the world for a long long time if not taken care of.

                                          Ego similis habere bonum et non curat nunquam accipere malum.

                                          1 Reply Last reply

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