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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran Nuclear Program thread

The Iran Nuclear Program thread

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  • J jon-nyc
    20 Jun 2025, 11:14

    Jesus no.

    D Offline
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    Doctor Phibes
    wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 11:31 last edited by
    #363

    @jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

    Jesus no.

    They're actually saying that they were told that a bunker buster is enough to get the job done - the tactical nuke sounds like complete speculation by Fox and The Guardian.

    I was only joking

    1 Reply Last reply
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      jon-nyc
      wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 13:12 last edited by jon-nyc
      #364

      If you’re cold, they’re cold. Bring them inside.

      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

      1 Reply Last reply
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        Mik
        wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 13:28 last edited by
        #365

        To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

        "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

        A 1 Reply Last reply 20 Jun 2025, 13:47
        • M Mik
          20 Jun 2025, 13:28

          To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

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          AndyD
          wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 13:47 last edited by
          #366

          @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

          To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

          That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
          Batant aggression, self defence etc.

          When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

          And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

          J 1 Reply Last reply 20 Jun 2025, 14:20
          • M Mik
            19 Jun 2025, 22:39

            Yeah, that’s a non-starter. Israel wants peace with all. Iran’s is death to everyone but us. There’s no equivalence to be found.

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            kluurs
            wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 14:14 last edited by kluurs
            #367

            @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

            Israel wants peace

            Many (most?) Israeli's do - BUT just as in America, there are some very powerful and influential Israelis who want that PLUS a lot of land and more. Israel, like he US, has some significant parts of its population who have very different (contradictory) objectives.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • A AndyD
              20 Jun 2025, 13:47

              @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

              To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

              That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
              Batant aggression, self defence etc.

              When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

              And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

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              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 14:20 last edited by
              #368

              @AndyD

              As fragile as it might have been at times, there’s a clear unwritten rule since 1945 that you don’t use nukes.

              How long after we did would Putin?

              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

              1 Reply Last reply
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                Mik
                wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 14:27 last edited by
                #369

                Not going to happen until someone has their back against the wall.

                See “offramp”.

                "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                1 Reply Last reply
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                  Mik
                  wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 14:29 last edited by Mik
                  #370

                  I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                  "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                  K 1 Reply Last reply 20 Jun 2025, 14:31
                  • M Mik
                    20 Jun 2025, 14:29

                    I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

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                    kluurs
                    wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 14:31 last edited by
                    #371

                    @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                    I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                    Iran is not the only nation where a group of religious fanatics have a degree of influence out of bounds with that of the majority of the population - part of the reason that Chris Hitchens had such disdain for religion.

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 15:20 last edited by
                      #372

                      Cluster munitions used by Iran.

                      Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                        taiwan_girl
                        wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 15:21 last edited by
                        #373

                        🤕

                        IMG_3099.jpg

                        1 Reply Last reply
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                          Mik
                          wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 15:30 last edited by
                          #374

                          I don't agree with everything this guy says, but it's worth listening to.

                          https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/what-are-iran-s-retaliation-options-if-the-u-s-were-to-strike/vi-AA1H3KAp

                          "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                          1 Reply Last reply
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                            kluurs
                            wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 15:54 last edited by
                            #375

                            Contrarian view

                            Link to video

                            1 Reply Last reply
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                              Mik
                              wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 16:55 last edited by Mik
                              #376

                              I hear what he says, but if you are not intending to enrich weapons grade materials, why do you go to the expense of hiding your facilities half a mile under a mountain where you have to build tunnels and power facilities into it? When your stated goal is death to <whoever we don't like today> and you are sponsoring attacks on that entity is it reasonable to believe you are not intending to develop the weapon?

                              "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                              L 1 Reply Last reply 20 Jun 2025, 17:12
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                                Mik
                                wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 17:06 last edited by
                                #377

                                https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/why-an-attack-on-fordow-could-be-a-strategic-gift-to-iran/ar-AA1H2Tqr?cmp_prftch=2

                                "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • M Mik
                                  20 Jun 2025, 16:55

                                  I hear what he says, but if you are not intending to enrich weapons grade materials, why do you go to the expense of hiding your facilities half a mile under a mountain where you have to build tunnels and power facilities into it? When your stated goal is death to <whoever we don't like today> and you are sponsoring attacks on that entity is it reasonable to believe you are not intending to develop the weapon?

                                  L Offline
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                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 17:12 last edited by
                                  #378

                                  @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                  I hear what he says, but if you are not intending to enrich weapons grade materials, why do you go to the expense of hiding your facilities half a mile under a mountain where you have to build tunnels and power facilities into it? When your stated goal is death to <whoever we don't like today> and you are sponsoring attacks on that entity is it reasonable to believe you are not intending to develop the weapon?

                                  Same arguments regarding Hussein and the WMD inspections in 2004… Though, I still find it extremely hard to believe that there weren’t WMD… The only other explanation that I’ll entertain is that he pretended to have WMD programs to try and have some leverage…

                                  The Brad

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                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 18:25 last edited by
                                    #379

                                    You don’t have to believe Israel or Trump. This is from the IAEA:

                                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
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                                      Mik
                                      wrote on 20 Jun 2025, 18:49 last edited by
                                      #380

                                      There ya go.

                                      For me it's never been about believing either one. I looked at what Iran does, not what it, or anyone else, says.

                                      "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on 21 Jun 2025, 10:08 last edited by
                                        #381

                                        B2s on their way to Diego Garcia.

                                        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                        L 8 2 Replies Last reply 21 Jun 2025, 23:25
                                        • J Offline
                                          J Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on 21 Jun 2025, 22:54 last edited by jon-nyc
                                          #382

                                          I suppose this pair of tweets should adjust our priors a bit. Still, I’ll believe it when I see it.

                                          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

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