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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran Nuclear Program thread

The Iran Nuclear Program thread

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  • MikM Mik

    This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

    HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote last edited by
    #353

    @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

    This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

    From the op-ed:

    And then there’s a wildcard unique to the Iran situation. Even this very dire but familiar scenario relies on the assumption that Israel and America really do know everything about Iran’s nuclear programme and that there wasn’t an emergency, undeclared backup stash of materials and a secret cadre. If there was, and even some of it survives, there will still be a race for the bomb — except the bomb, or bombs, will appear in a fractured, unstable, justifiably paranoid region in a state of civil war. An entirely new nightmare with consequences far beyond Netanyahu and Trump’s terms, or even lifetimes.

    That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

    Education is extremely important.

    RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Horace

      @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

      This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

      https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

      From the op-ed:

      And then there’s a wildcard unique to the Iran situation. Even this very dire but familiar scenario relies on the assumption that Israel and America really do know everything about Iran’s nuclear programme and that there wasn’t an emergency, undeclared backup stash of materials and a secret cadre. If there was, and even some of it survives, there will still be a race for the bomb — except the bomb, or bombs, will appear in a fractured, unstable, justifiably paranoid region in a state of civil war. An entirely new nightmare with consequences far beyond Netanyahu and Trump’s terms, or even lifetimes.

      That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

      RenaudaR Offline
      RenaudaR Offline
      Renauda
      wrote last edited by
      #354

      @Horace

      That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

      It would be what Donald Rumsfeld termed a “known unknown”.

      Nobody in the know likes to conjecture those in public.

      Elbows up!

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nycJ Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote last edited by
        #355

        The Mossad stole 100k documents out of a warehouse that completely documented the program. Problem is, Iran knows that. Some things are hard to change though, especially under-mountain architecture and reactor locations.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by
          #356

          This is interesting to watch, just to see where the heads of this faction of Maga are at. He's proposing a deal where Israel and Iran both give up their nukes.

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Offline
            MikM Offline
            Mik
            wrote last edited by
            #357

            Yeah, that’s a non-starter. Israel wants peace with all. Iran’s is death to everyone but us. There’s no equivalence to be found.

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote last edited by
              #358

              Interesting but probably assumes the IRGC retains power after the assassination.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #359

                Does it mean anything? I don’t know. But here it is.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by
                  #360

                  Trump posted this.

                  IMG_5912.jpeg

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #361

                    This magat is a JD Vance favorite and a frequent TuCa guest.

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nycJ Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote last edited by
                      #362

                      Jesus no.

                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                      -Cormac McCarthy

                      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        Jesus no.

                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote last edited by
                        #363

                        @jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                        Jesus no.

                        They're actually saying that they were told that a bunker buster is enough to get the job done - the tactical nuke sounds like complete speculation by Fox and The Guardian.

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                          #364

                          If you’re cold, they’re cold. Bring them inside.

                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                          -Cormac McCarthy

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote last edited by
                            #365

                            To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            A 1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Mik

                              To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                              A Offline
                              A Offline
                              AndyD
                              wrote last edited by
                              #366

                              @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                              To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                              That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
                              Batant aggression, self defence etc.

                              When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

                              And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

                              jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                              • MikM Mik

                                Yeah, that’s a non-starter. Israel wants peace with all. Iran’s is death to everyone but us. There’s no equivalence to be found.

                                kluursK Online
                                kluursK Online
                                kluurs
                                wrote last edited by kluurs
                                #367

                                @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                Israel wants peace

                                Many (most?) Israeli's do - BUT just as in America, there are some very powerful and influential Israelis who want that PLUS a lot of land and more. Israel, like he US, has some significant parts of its population who have very different (contradictory) objectives.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • A AndyD

                                  @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                  To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                                  That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
                                  Batant aggression, self defence etc.

                                  When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

                                  And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

                                  jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #368

                                  @AndyD

                                  As fragile as it might have been at times, there’s a clear unwritten rule since 1945 that you don’t use nukes.

                                  How long after we did would Putin?

                                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                  -Cormac McCarthy

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • MikM Offline
                                    MikM Offline
                                    Mik
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #369

                                    Not going to happen until someone has their back against the wall.

                                    See “offramp”.

                                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Offline
                                      MikM Offline
                                      Mik
                                      wrote last edited by Mik
                                      #370

                                      I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • MikM Mik

                                        I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                        kluursK Online
                                        kluursK Online
                                        kluurs
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #371

                                        @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                        I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                        Iran is not the only nation where a group of religious fanatics have a degree of influence out of bounds with that of the majority of the population - part of the reason that Chris Hitchens had such disdain for religion.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #372

                                          Cluster munitions used by Iran.

                                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                          -Cormac McCarthy

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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