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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Ukraine war thread

The Ukraine war thread

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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Mik
    wrote on 1 Apr 2022, 21:59 last edited by
    #215

    The crew survived? hell, it blew the whole tail off the thing.

    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

    G 1 Reply Last reply 1 Apr 2022, 22:00
    • M Mik
      1 Apr 2022, 21:59

      The crew survived? hell, it blew the whole tail off the thing.

      G Offline
      G Offline
      George K
      wrote on 1 Apr 2022, 22:00 last edited by
      #216

      @Mik said in The Ukraine war thread:

      The crew survived? hell, it blew the whole tail off the thing.

      They probably ran away saying, "Fuck it."

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • G George K
        1 Apr 2022, 12:13

        Imagine that, you invade a country, and are shocked when they push back.

        G Offline
        G Offline
        George K
        wrote on 1 Apr 2022, 22:18 last edited by
        #217

        Bret Baier: "Did you order the attack on Russian oil depot?"

        Zelensky: "I'm sorry, I don't discuss strategic decisions I make."

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • C Copper
          23 Mar 2022, 15:38

          An attack on Moscow would do wonders for morale.

          See Jimmy Doolittle

          G Offline
          G Offline
          George K
          wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 12:32 last edited by
          #218

          @Copper said in The Ukraine war thread:

          An attack on Moscow would do wonders for morale.

          See Jimmy Doolittle

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • C Offline
            C Offline
            Copper
            wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 13:56 last edited by
            #219

            They are going to Moscow.

            11 hours, with tolls

            685e61c8-1d47-4fec-9156-3f6ec09bb843-image.png

            1 Reply Last reply
            • R Offline
              R Offline
              Renauda
              wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 14:40 last edited by
              #220

              Worth reading:

              https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/russia-ukraine-invasion-military-predictions/629418/?fbclid=IwAR1Rs-ag5rcaaHLxehN_9QeW4v47Lmtp-8FPJ_PxjqgGNg2IvXYYmled158

              Elbows up!

              G 1 Reply Last reply 2 Apr 2022, 15:43
              • M Offline
                M Offline
                Mik
                wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 15:09 last edited by
                #221

                Yep. With twenty recent years of war under our belt, one would think we'd have a better perception of rival armies.

                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                1 Reply Last reply
                • R Renauda
                  2 Apr 2022, 14:40

                  Worth reading:

                  https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/russia-ukraine-invasion-military-predictions/629418/?fbclid=IwAR1Rs-ag5rcaaHLxehN_9QeW4v47Lmtp-8FPJ_PxjqgGNg2IvXYYmled158

                  G Offline
                  G Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 15:43 last edited by
                  #222

                  @Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:

                  Worth reading:

                  https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/russia-ukraine-invasion-military-predictions/629418/?fbclid=IwAR1Rs-ag5rcaaHLxehN_9QeW4v47Lmtp-8FPJ_PxjqgGNg2IvXYYmled158

                  This sort of dovetails with the article that said that Russia was still fighting in World War II style.

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • G Offline
                    G Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 15:49 last edited by
                    #223

                    War crimes.

                    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60949791

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    R G 2 Replies Last reply 3 Apr 2022, 01:16
                    • M Offline
                      M Offline
                      Mik
                      wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 18:02 last edited by Mik 4 Feb 2022, 18:03
                      #224

                      This is an interesting way to look at it. What if Putin did not miscalculate all along, but the West misread his intentions?

                      https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/stephens-what-if-putin-didn-t-miscalculate/ar-AAVMHsh?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=0d41292d515745b38f14675aa48e9f9b

                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                      R 1 Reply Last reply 2 Apr 2022, 22:33
                      • M Mik
                        2 Apr 2022, 18:02

                        This is an interesting way to look at it. What if Putin did not miscalculate all along, but the West misread his intentions?

                        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/stephens-what-if-putin-didn-t-miscalculate/ar-AAVMHsh?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=0d41292d515745b38f14675aa48e9f9b

                        R Offline
                        R Offline
                        Renauda
                        wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 22:33 last edited by Renauda 4 Mar 2022, 01:18
                        #225

                        @Mik

                        Interesting but thin on credible supporting sources. Referring to David Knight Legg as an expert on energy alone undermines his argument.

                        Putin is a KGB hood not a calculating genius to try and pull off a heist worthy of a Bond villain as the oped suggests.

                        Sometimes an imperialist despot is just an imperialist despot. Nothing more.

                        Elbows up!

                        G 1 Reply Last reply 2 Apr 2022, 22:35
                        • R Renauda
                          2 Apr 2022, 22:33

                          @Mik

                          Interesting but thin on credible supporting sources. Referring to David Knight Legg as an expert on energy alone undermines his argument.

                          Putin is a KGB hood not a calculating genius to try and pull off a heist worthy of a Bond villain as the oped suggests.

                          Sometimes an imperialist despot is just an imperialist despot. Nothing more.

                          G Offline
                          G Offline
                          George K
                          wrote on 2 Apr 2022, 22:35 last edited by
                          #226

                          @Renauda yeah. If southeastern Ukraine was his goal all the time, would he have committed all the personnel and materiel around Kiev?

                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                          M 1 Reply Last reply 3 Apr 2022, 01:25
                          • G George K
                            2 Apr 2022, 15:49

                            War crimes.

                            https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60949791

                            R Offline
                            R Offline
                            Renauda
                            wrote on 3 Apr 2022, 01:16 last edited by Renauda 4 Mar 2022, 01:17
                            #227

                            @George-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

                            War crimes.

                            https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60949791

                            Wait! There’s more:

                            https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2022/4/2/almost-300-buried-in-mass-grave-in-bucha-near-kyiv-mayor

                            Elbows up!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • G George K
                              2 Apr 2022, 22:35

                              @Renauda yeah. If southeastern Ukraine was his goal all the time, would he have committed all the personnel and materiel around Kiev?

                              M Offline
                              M Offline
                              Mik
                              wrote on 3 Apr 2022, 01:25 last edited by
                              #228

                              @George-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

                              @Renauda yeah. If southeastern Ukraine was his goal all the time, would he have committed all the personnel and materiel around Kiev?

                              Depend what he wants you to think.

                              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • G George K
                                2 Apr 2022, 15:49

                                War crimes.

                                https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60949791

                                G Offline
                                G Offline
                                George K
                                wrote on 3 Apr 2022, 12:50 last edited by George K 4 Mar 2022, 12:52
                                #229

                                @George-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                War crimes.

                                Watch the entire horrific 1 minute video.

                                Later in the thread there are ghastly pictures of bodies, bound and hooded. And one, put into what looks like a storm drain.

                                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • M Offline
                                  M Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on 3 Apr 2022, 13:01 last edited by
                                  #230

                                  Cementing hatred for generations.

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • G Offline
                                    G Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on 3 Apr 2022, 22:03 last edited by
                                    #231

                                    More war crimes: torture.

                                    And, of course, Russia denies:

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • J Online
                                      J Online
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on 4 Apr 2022, 10:02 last edited by
                                      #232

                                      Wow. Zalensky pills no punches.

                                      And names names - Singling out Merkel and Sarkozy for blocking the path to NATO membership 14 years ago.

                                      Only non-witches get due process.

                                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • K Offline
                                        K Offline
                                        Klaus
                                        wrote on 4 Apr 2022, 12:10 last edited by
                                        #233

                                        Well, he is right about that.

                                        My rants about Merkel are well-documented here 🙂 But most Germans still believe she was a good chancellor. We are still in denial about a large number of issues.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • G Offline
                                          G Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on 4 Apr 2022, 12:25 last edited by George K 4 Apr 2022, 12:26
                                          #234

                                          Is Russia running out of equipment and parts?

                                          =-=-=-=-=-=-=

                                          Is Russia’s military running out of the equipment, spare parts and supplies necessary to maintain their war in Ukraine? Some reports say so, suggesting it’s because the parts are made in Ukrainian factories.

                                          Vladimir Putin is said to be running out of missiles, tanks and aircraft, because the parts they rely on are made in Ukraine.

                                          The engines of Russian military helicopters and key components for warships, cruise missiles and the majority of the nation’s fighter jets are all made in Ukrainian factories, the Telegraph reports.

                                          The factories, which also produce parts for tanks and ground to air missiles, no longer supply Mr Putin’s army.

                                          I’ve got to take this report with several grains of salt, because I assume those same factories must have stopped supplying Russia with spare parts after the seizure of Crimea and invasion of Donbas back in March of 2014. Are we to believe that Russia has failed to find alternate manufacturing sources for key military equipment for eight years? Russia’s invasion has displayed multiple levels of manifest incompetence, but it’s hard to believe they would be that incompetent for that long. (Now, could spare parts not exist due to massive corruption? That seems plausible, but it’s not the kind of thing you can count on your opponent suffering from.)

                                          The army is also understood to be running low on arms following five weeks of sustained bombardment of Ukrainian cities.

                                          This, on the other hand, seems quite plausible, given the well-documented logistical difficulties, and the furious rate at which Russian forces expended munitions during the initial assault.

                                          The T-72 battle tank is one of the Russian army’s main armoured vehicles but, parts for it are understood to be manufactured in Izyum, an eastern Ukrainian city that Mr Putin’s forces have failed to capture.

                                          The T-72 has been around since 1969. I can believe some of the high tech components for the most modern variants are in short supply, but surely they’ve have multiple source for the vast majority of mechanical parts for a long time now. And even if not, they built some 25,000 of the things, so I can’t imagine they don’t have enough mothballed tanks to provide spares, though it’s going to take time to get cannibalized parts out to field repair centers. (I’m assuming Russia has some sort of field repair capabilities, and I know Russian tank recovery vehicles were spotted on trains en-route to the theater before the war began.)

                                          Open-source intelligence estimates suggest that Russia has lost at least 2,000 tanks and armoured vehicles, although true figures are suspected to be higher.

                                          This I just flat out don’t believe. And indeed, when you go to what appears to be their primary source, they’re including a whole lot of trucks in that list, which aren’t counted as “armored vehicles.” The lesson here is “don’t believe anything that sounds too good to be true” and “always check the primary sources.”

                                          Speaking of primary sources, that Oryx blog list does look pretty useful, though the nature of the methodology (adding up all pictures of destroyed equipment) is certainly suspect to manipulation.

                                          Their summary line for Russian equipment losses as of this post “Russia – 2360, of which: destroyed: 1190, damaged: 41, abandoned: 232, captured: 897.”...

                                          And confidently declare “Oh, those are two destroyed 120mm 2B11/2S12 heavy mortars!” That’s some #DavesCarIDService level obsession there…)

                                          Keep in mind that Russia only had some 2,500 tanks assigned to active units at the start of the war (though other estimates are considerably higher. But given well-documented Russian maintenance problems, I can well believe several units have sustained losses in excess of that necessary to impair combat effectiveness.

                                          Keep in mind that the Soviet Union lost 83,500 tanks between 1941 and 1945 in World War II. Of course, that was a much broader theater, using much more widely-produced, low-tech tanks. Hell, two-way radios didn’t become standard Soviet equipment until 1944.

                                          For high tech munitions like smart bombs and guided missiles, I can well believe that Russia is running low on stock that can’t easily be replenished under the current sanctions regime. And we see ample evidence that field resupply has been negatively impacted by severe logistical difficulties. But “T-72s lack spare parts because the original factory was in Ukraine” doesn’t pass the smell test.

                                          =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=

                                          As of this AM, the blog that he cites claims 415 tanks lost.

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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