@jolly said in The Wall: I guess I'm going to have to advocate for hiring one more government employee. They need to hire somebody to stand behind the President and occasionally whisper in his ear, "Remember, you're just a man". I'd settle for once a year, taking him outside the city borders and telling him how crap he is before letting him back in.

@aqua-letifer said in This really pisses me off: Senior Tories are already calling for his head. I think it's just a matter of time now. Which, I mean, fine, but when are we going to talk about the other assholes in attendance? It's not really him, to be honest. It's the entire culture. And who would they replace him with - Jacob Reese-Mogg? What a freaking weirdo that guy is.

@copper said in 33%: @jolly said in 33%: They do. But I would be shocked if Joe could slay the inflation monster in the next 24-28 months. CNN can make the story go away They can try. People notice their pocketbooks. By the time mid-terms roll around, we'll probably be at 15% in the two year period between elections. Couple that with certain items that are a lot more expensive (new cars, anyone) and I don't see how the Dems can keep from drowning in a blood bath. Unless they can pass HR.1, perhaps.

Clever proof. SOLUTION: You might very reasonably worry that one urn will "take over" and leave very little for the other. In my experience, faced with this problem, most people are unwilling to offer $100 in advance for the contents of the lesser urn. In fact, the lesser urn is worth, on average, a quarter of a million dollars. (Of course, that doesn't mean you are willing to take this much risk!) This is because the final contents of (say) Urn A is precisely equally likely to be any whole number of dollars from $1 all the way to $999,999. Thus, the average amount in the lesser urn is about $250,000. How can we see this? There are several proofs, but here's my favorite. Imagine that we shuffle a fresh-from-the-box deck of cards in the following careful manner. We place the first card, say the Ace of Spades, face down on the table. Then we take the second card, maybe the Deuce of Spades, and randomly place it over or under the ace. Now there are three possible slots for the Three of Spades; choose one at random, putting it on top of the current pile, under the current pile, or between the ace and deuce, each with probability 1/3. We continue in this manner; the nth card is inserted in one of n possible slots, each with probability 1/n. The result eventually is a perfectly random permutation of the cards. Now think of the cards that go in above the Ace of Spades as the coins (not counting the first) that go into Urn A, and the ones that go under as coins going into Urn B. The magnetic rule above describes the process perfectly, because if there are currently x−1 cards above the Ace of Spades (thus x slots) and y−1 cards under the Ace of Spades (thus y slots), the probability that the next card goes above the Ace of Spades is x/(x+y). Since, in the final shuffled deck, the Ace of Spades is equally likely to be in any position, the number of slots ending up above it is equally likely to be anything from 1 to the number of cards in our deck, which for our puzzle is 999,999. [Probabilists call the mechanism of this puzzle the Polya urn, after the late George Polya, a Hungarian-born professor at Stanford who famously wrote about problem-solving in mathematics.]

Nice tribute, Jolly.

@George-K Instant Pot Beef Bourguignon (Julia Child Recipe) I didn’t even know she had an instapot. She was so ahead of her time.

That’s deep.

@lufins-dad said in Visual: Vaccine Effect by Population, Cases, Deaths: @89th said in Visual: Vaccine Effect by Population, Cases, Deaths: Would love to see this visual with the recent Omicron months added in. Anecdotally, I know WAY more friends/family who have gotten COVID in the last month. All vaccinated, so they are fine, but still... Anecdotally, I know way more friends and family that have gotten COVID in the last month. Some were vaccinated some weren’t, so all are fine because most cases are mild even before Omicron and even before the vaccine, but still… The first problem the graphic above is that there aren’t any graphics showing obesity, diabetes, etc… The second problem is that the source of the graphics are the CDC which have shown that they are perfectly willing to ignore numbers that aren’t conducive to the plan. Fair enough, but you can't discredit data by pointing to an absence of better data.

Right. Heck, why are we even spending the money for the cameras? Our phones can do the job. They can easily tell when we are exceeding the speed limit. They can just transmit that data to the police.

@mik said in Proud Horse Moment: That’s a big fucking horse. Not really. He is big-barreled, but not tall. About 15 ½ hands.

@brenda said in Please Poop More: @george-k said in Please Poop More: Its a circle of life thing, right? Or the swirly of life as it goes down the toilet. Not in North Korea. No toilets.

@lufins-dad said in $10,000 cab ride: Decades ago I had just started a new job and was basically living hand to mouth. I got my first paycheck and it was drawn on Bank of America. I needed that money just for gas to get home, so I went into the BoA to cash the check. They wouldn’t do it unless I had a Bank of America checking account. Spent 15 minutes arguing with the manager about it. So I opened the account by depositing the check. It took 20 minutes of paperwork. They cleared 20% for cash and brought it over to me. The manager smiled and said “There, that wasn’t that bad…” I smiled and said “Not bad at all… Now who do I see about closing the account?” After they gave me my money, I smiled at the manager and said “There, that wasn’t that bad…” I have never stepped foot in a BoA since. What made you choose to undergo that process at a BoA rather than going to another bank and try your luck there? Was BoA your only option at the time?

You could say something like, "Nice car. I've always wanted..." Background check? And lock up the valuables...

@jolly Judge Carl Nichols QUOTE Nichols was mentioned as a potential judicial nominee in March 2018.[2] On June 7, 2018, President Donald Trump announced his intent to nominate Nichols to serve as a United States District Judge of the United States District Court for the District of Columbia.[4] On June 18, 2018, his nomination was sent to the Senate. President Trump nominated Nichols to the seat vacated by Richard W. Roberts, who took senior status on March 16, 2016.[5] On August 22, 2018, a hearing on his nomination was held before the Senate Judiciary Committee.[6] On October 11, 2018, his nomination was reported out of committee by an 11–10 vote.[7] On January 3, 2019, his nomination was returned to the President under Rule XXXI, Paragraph 6 of the United States Senate. On January 23, 2019, President Trump announced his intent to renominate Nichols for the same federal judgeship.[8] His nomination was sent to the Senate later that day.[9] On February 7, 2019, his nomination was reported out of committee by a 12–10 vote.[10] On May 22, 2019, his nomination was confirmed by a vote of 55–43.[11] He received his judicial commission on June 25, 2019. UNQUOTE In addition, just a couple of days ago, the "U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia on Wednesday upheld a lower court judge’s decision to order Lang’s continued detention" (https://www.timesunion.com/hudsonvalley/news/article/Capital-riot-defendant-denied-appeal-for-release-16773226.php?IPID=Times-Union-HP-CP-Latest-News) So, just maybe, this guy did some really bad things, and multiple judges from both sides of the politics area agree he should be kept in jail.

Ms. Babbit was a US citizen, technically an owner of this house.

@larry said in They ain't making any more land.: In the philippines, it is against the law for a foreigner to own land. Same in Thailand. But even there, a foreigner cannot even own the building on land or cannot even own a condo. You have to purchase a 99 year lease for a condo, and I do not think this is even possible to do with freestanding houses. I think we talked about this previously, but I believe that the largest individual owning farmland in the US is Bill Gates.

https://www.forbes.com/wheels/news/what-your-car-might-say-about-how-you-vote/ Top Models that Over-Index Democratic Liberal/Progressive (no party affiliation) 1 Honda Civic Sedan Tesla Model 3 2 Honda Accord Sedan Honda Civic Sedan 3 Subaru Forester Toyota RAV4 Hybrid 4 Jeep Compass Honda Civic Hatchback 5 Honda HR-V Chevrolet Trax 6 Nissan Sentra Kia Forte Sedan 7 Nissan Altima Sedan Ford F-150 8 Volkswagen Tiguan Mazda3 Sedan 9 Subaru Crosstrek Subaru Outback 10 Tesla Model 3 Honda Insight Source: Strategic Vision NVES Top Models that Over-Index Republican Conservative (no party affiliation) 1 Ram 2500/3500 Ford F-250/350 2 Ford F-150 Ford F-150 3 GMC Sierra 1500 Ford Ranger 4 Chevrolet Silverado 1500 Kia Forte Sedan 5 Ram 1500 Jeep Wrangler Unlimited 6 Ford Explorer Honda Odyssey 7 Ford F-250/350 Chevrolet Silverado 2500/3500 8 Toyota Tundra Mazda CX-9 9 GMC Sierra 2500/3500 Ram 1500 10 Chevrolet Silverado 2500/3500 GMC Yukon Source: Strategic Vision NVES Top Models that Over-Index Independent/No Party Preference 1 Honda Civic Sedan 2 Dodge Charger 3 Nissan Sentra 4 Honda Accord Sedan 5 Honda CR-V 6 Toyota Tacoma 7 Hyundai Kona 8 Subaru Forester 9 Honda HR-V 10 Toyota RAV4 Source: Strategic Vision NVES

The real All-Pro list was published today. https://www.nfl.com/news/2021-all-pro-team-jonathan-taylor-t-j-watt-cooper-kupp-highlight-roster Joe Burrow didn't make it, but TJ was a unanimous pick.