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The New Coffee Room

RenaudaR

Renauda

@Renauda
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  • Gas price check
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @NobodySock said:

    @Renauda said:

    @AndyD

    Will your light crude oil run generators, or oil heating systems? Or does it have to be mixed with heavy crude first.

    No it has to be refined first - although the light crude produced in some Western Siberian fields could run a diesel engine once the parafins are removed.

    Light crudes produced in North America are used primarily for aviation fuel, motor oils and petrochemical production.
    For AC,

    What do we know as to the reason why certain types of oil are found in the ground in different geographies? Is it simply a matter of what kind of dinosaurs died in these locations? I’m sure there’s more to it but what do you know?

    I was a rig hand, Jim, not a petroleum geologist

    General Discussion

  • Kash Patel’s emails hacked by Iranian group
    RenaudaR Renauda

    I have to admit that I struggle to have any sympathy for him.

    BTW, does Patel just look stunned because he has trouble coping with this or does he always look that way?

    He is really not at all photogenic.

    General Discussion

  • New words added to the OED, 1900 edition
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @Doctor-Phibes

    OMG, it is!

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @jon-nyc said:

    I wonder what price of oil is required at equilibrium to destroy 10% of global demand. And 20%, etc.

    Good question. Not sure if anyone knows at this point.

    General Discussion

  • Petraeus on the future of warfare
    RenaudaR Renauda

    I have no reason to doubt that. He’s just as flawed in his own manner as you, me and everyone else.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    lol

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Interesting, I would have thought it a target on day one of this.

    General Discussion

  • Petraeus on the future of warfare
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @Horace said:

    He's a champion social climber, among other attributes. This is not a guy who got by solely on his military strategic acumen.

    And like pretty much every other general and military leader that ever walked the Earth, he has an Alpha male personality.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Vlad Vexler on Trump’s latest post truth meltdowns:

    Link to video

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @89th said:

    Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

    Fairly straightforward although a unanimous decision of the member states offers flexibility:

    Key Limitations and Scope of Article 5
    Geographic Limitations: Per Article 6, the treaty covers territory in Europe or North America, the Mediterranean Sea, or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.

    Outside Territory & Entities: It does not automatically apply to attacks on bases or territories outside the defined geographical area, such as the Falkland Islands conflict.

    No Automatic War Trigger: Article 5 does not mean an immediate automatic military response. Instead, each ally determines "such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area".

    Collective Decision Making: The determination that an event qualifies as a triggering incident is made by the 32 member countries acting together via the North Atlantic Council.

    Not for Domestic Issues: Purely domestic acts of terrorism or internal armed conflict generally do not trigger Article 5, as the incident must have an international dimension.

    Threshold of Attacks: It requires an "armed attack" by a state actor, though recent interpretations include serious, large-scale cyberattacks or hybrid attacks.

    Not for Non-Members: The clause does not extend to non-NATO countries, such as Ukraine, regardless of their proximity to the conflict zone.

    Exceptions and Nuances

    First Use Example: It was invoked for the first time by the United States following the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

    Expanded Scope: NATO leaders have clarified that Article 5 can cover attacks to, from, or within space, and hybrid actions like cyberattacks.

    Spillover Risks: Attacks causing death or destruction across the border of a NATO ally, or causing significant harm to a member, can be interpreted as an armed attack by the council.

    In conclusion, Trump is in way over his head and, like any banal narcissist, is looking to blame others for his ineptitude.

    General Discussion

  • Gas price check
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @AndyD

    Will your light crude oil run generators, or oil heating systems? Or does it have to be mixed with heavy crude first.

    No it has to be refined first - although the light crude produced in some Western Siberian fields could run a diesel engine once the parafins are removed.

    Light crudes produced in North America are used primarily for aviation fuel, motor oils and petrochemical production.

    General Discussion

  • Gas price check
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @mik

    I am sure Alberta crude can elaborate on this fact

    For the most part he’s right about the refineries. As for the imported heavy crudes, they are sold at a discount into the US and then blended with domestically produced light crude to produce gasoline for the US market or re-exported as upgraded medium crude. In the case of synthetic crude produced here we upgrade it so it can be transported by pipeline and the oil companies resell it at a discount to either their parent company in the US - for example, Imperial Oil Canada selling it to its US parent company, Exxon-Mobil - or, like Canadian owned Suncor or Cenovus, to their US subsidiary at a discount. In the end the US refiners are the ones making the big dollars as their feedstock is always discounted.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Whoever it is be rest assured Witkoff can vouch for him.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @jon-nyc said:

    Well it’s clear the administration is negotiating with somebody there. Sounds like the people he’s talking to don’t have suppprt of some or all of the IRGC. If you recall he said he didn’t want to give a name so that the person didn’t get killed.

    It’s really hard to know what’s going on now.

    Maybe the Iranian equivalent to Rudolf Hess?

    Or maybe someone who approached Steve Witkoff through his associate Kirill Dimitriev?

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Iran issues its own maximalist conditions to end the war…..

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn8dldl0jx9t?post=asset%3A95cce47e-33a2-4b62-a70f-e08d18561586#post

    Seems that the Iranians were correct, Trump’s team has been negotiating these past couple of days with itself.

    Looks like there’ll be US boots on the ground sooner rather than later.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    @Mik said:

    I have a feeling no one is really in charge in Iran.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-war-updates-tehran-says-trump-s-claim-us-wants-deal-is-fake-news/ar-AA1ZmtKi

    According to BBC reporting the Iranians have said that right now “the US is negotiating with itself”:
    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn8dldl0jx9t?post=asset%3Ac827718d-a478-4809-aba4-dcf6f4f1dcc5#post

    Not sure who the one telling the fibs is in this game of smoke and mirrors.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Yes, I have heard reports. They say a few windfalls were to be had.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Like I said, I can't make heads or tails of it.

    Maybe it’s just Trump trying to calm con down the markets.

    General Discussion

  • The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Not sure what to make of the chatter coming out of the White House last couple hours. Without saying it outright Trump makes it sound like unconditional surrender or close to it by Tehran has been reached.

    I have my doubts.

    General Discussion

  • Gas price check
    RenaudaR Renauda

    Insane.

    General Discussion
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