A fine op-Ed analysis by a retired CIA counter espionage officer. I do not for a moment think Sipher is off the mark at all:
The inferiority complex
From the Bolshevik revolutionaries to Vladimir Putin, Russia’s leaders have exhibited the mentality of professional conspirators: they assume enemies are everywhere, truth is relative, and survival depends on sowing confusion and fear.
The founders of the Soviet state were, in effect, terrorists operating underground. Lenin and Stalin were cover names used to hide from the Tsarist police. When they seized power, they imported the habits of clandestine revolution into government: obsession with regime security over national security, fear of enemies both internal and external, use of state power as terrorism, and the belief that deception is not just useful but essential.
The bullying masks the inferiority complex; the insistence on imperial glory conceals the fear that without it, the system will collapse…..
Sadly, as we have seen since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, and over the past decade or more, it has worked. Subsequent American Presidents have misjudged Putin’s power, and his willingness to negotiate in good faith.
Former Finnish President Niinisto quoted Henry Kissinger in his New Year’s speech to highlight this failure to deal with the Kremlin; “Whenever avoidance of war is the primary object of a group of powers, the international system has been at the mercy of its most ruthless member.”….
As George Kennan warned in his Long Telegram, Russia’s persistent weakness and insecurity drive it to aggression as a way of shielding itself from Western ideas and values. But aggression built on lies eventually undermines itself.
