rt.live
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wrote on 19 Apr 2020, 22:33 last edited by
"These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading."
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wrote on 19 Apr 2020, 22:44 last edited by
I suspect the dark and light shaded areas are 50% and 95% confidence intervals?
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wrote on 19 Apr 2020, 22:53 last edited by jon-nyc
I need to compare these to the Tibco estimates and then understand the difference in calculations.
Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.
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I need to compare these to the Tibco estimates and then understand the difference in calculations.
Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.
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wrote on 19 Apr 2020, 23:03 last edited by
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:31 last edited by
@brenda you‘re in Minnesota. What do you think of the COVID-19 situation in Minnesota? Do you think the various state-imposed social distancing measures such as school closures, “non-essential” business closures, prohibition of large social gatherings, etc. are too much, just right, or not enough? Any of the state‘s COVID-19 policies you would like to change if you were made supreme leader of Minnesota?
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:33 last edited by Mik
R is on the rise in Ohio and they are demonstrating outside the state house to open it up. Foolish.
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:41 last edited by
It‘s concerning that many states have seen staedy decline of R0 for weeks, then their R0s rise again. You’d think that as more people become better aware of and better educated about COVID-19, that more people will observe social distancing and practice better hygiene and that should keep suppressing R0s.
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 01:56 last edited by
What is the goal?
How do you measure performance against it?
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:10 last edited by
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:11 last edited by
What is the goal?
Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.
How do you measure performance against it?
You measure R0.
That seems to be a goal that could take somewhat longer than flatten the curve.
Do you have any idea how long that might take? My guess is that it could takes years. I assume you would abandon the social separation and stay at home policies long before that.
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"These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading."
wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:18 last edited byOf course there is volatility around the estimates by state but it has consistently trended down to about 1 in the US as whole. So what is the issue?
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wrote on 20 Apr 2020, 02:35 last edited by
@Aqua-Letifer said in rt.live:
What is the goal?
It's not what you think it is or want it to be.
What do I think it is?
What do I want it to be?
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 03:39 last edited by Axtremus
If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way.
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If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way.
wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 10:59 last edited byIf the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 valies trending the wrong way.
I saw that yesterday. It seems like a sudden change, too. Things were looking much more favorable a day or two ago.. I wonder what happened
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 18:15 last edited by
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 19:49 last edited by
I built a Lunar Lander Game like that, written in 6502 assembler on the Commodore 64.
I uploaded it to the Q-Link game site. Q-Link aka Quantum Link. Steve Case became CEO of Quantum Link then it was renamed to AOL.
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wrote on 26 Apr 2020, 19:55 last edited by jon-nyc
He rang the bell at the top of the dot-com era, selling AOL to the idiots at TW who didn’t realize its best days we’re behind it.
