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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
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  3. rt.live

rt.live

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    I suspect the dark and light shaded areas are 50% and 95% confidence intervals?

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    @jon-nyc said in rt.live:

    I suspect the dark and light shaded areas are 50% and 95% confidence intervals?

    I'd guess it is.

    The fascinating charts are when you click on "Last week," "2 weeks ago" etc.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nycJ Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #4

      I need to compare these to the Tibco estimates and then understand the difference in calculations.

      Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        I need to compare these to the Tibco estimates and then understand the difference in calculations.

        Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by George K
        #5

        @jon-nyc said in rt.live:

        Depressing that we had more states in the green last week than now.

        Yeah, I noticed that too.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          Screen Shot 2020-04-19 at 7.01.26 PM.png

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          1 Reply Last reply
          • AxtremusA Offline
            AxtremusA Offline
            Axtremus
            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            @brenda you‘re in Minnesota. What do you think of the COVID-19 situation in Minnesota? Do you think the various state-imposed social distancing measures such as school closures, “non-essential” business closures, prohibition of large social gatherings, etc. are too much, just right, or not enough? Any of the state‘s COVID-19 policies you would like to change if you were made supreme leader of Minnesota?

            1 Reply Last reply
            • MikM Away
              MikM Away
              Mik
              wrote on last edited by Mik
              #8

              R is on the rise in Ohio and they are demonstrating outside the state house to open it up. Foolish.

              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

              1 Reply Last reply
              • AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                It‘s concerning that many states have seen staedy decline of R0 for weeks, then their R0s rise again. You’d think that as more people become better aware of and better educated about COVID-19, that more people will observe social distancing and practice better hygiene and that should keep suppressing R0s.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • CopperC Offline
                  CopperC Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  What is the goal?

                  How do you measure performance against it?

                  AxtremusA Aqua LetiferA 2 Replies Last reply
                  • CopperC Copper

                    What is the goal?

                    How do you measure performance against it?

                    AxtremusA Offline
                    AxtremusA Offline
                    Axtremus
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    @Copper said in rt.live:

                    What is the goal?

                    Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

                    How do you measure performance against it?

                    You measure R0.

                    CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                    • CopperC Copper

                      What is the goal?

                      How do you measure performance against it?

                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                      Aqua LetiferA Offline
                      Aqua Letifer
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      @Copper said in rt.live:

                      What is the goal?

                      It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

                      Please love yourself.

                      CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                      • AxtremusA Axtremus

                        @Copper said in rt.live:

                        What is the goal?

                        Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

                        How do you measure performance against it?

                        You measure R0.

                        CopperC Offline
                        CopperC Offline
                        Copper
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        @Axtremus said in rt.live:

                        @Copper said in rt.live:

                        What is the goal?

                        Ever decreasing R0 until it hits zero.

                        How do you measure performance against it?

                        You measure R0.

                        That seems to be a goal that could take somewhat longer than flatten the curve.

                        Do you have any idea how long that might take? My guess is that it could takes years. I assume you would abandon the social separation and stay at home policies long before that.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • George KG George K

                          https://rt.live

                          "These are up-to-date values for Rt, a key measure of how fast the virus is growing. It’s the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If Rt is above 1.0, the virus will spread quickly. When Rt is below 1.0, the virus will stop spreading."

                          L Offline
                          L Offline
                          Loki
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          Of course there is volatility around the estimates by state but it has consistently trended down to about 1 in the US as whole. So what is the issue?

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Aqua LetiferA Aqua Letifer

                            @Copper said in rt.live:

                            What is the goal?

                            It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

                            CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            @Aqua-Letifer said in rt.live:

                            @Copper said in rt.live:

                            What is the goal?

                            It's not what you think it is or want it to be.

                            What do I think it is?

                            What do I want it to be?

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                              #16

                              If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way. 😞

                              George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                              • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 values trending the wrong way. 😞

                                George KG Offline
                                George KG Offline
                                George K
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #17

                                @Axtremus said in rt.live:

                                If the various R0 values presented by https://rt.live/ are to be believed, it looks like most states have their R0 valies trending the wrong way. 😞

                                I saw that yesterday. It seems like a sudden change, too. Things were looking much more favorable a day or two ago.. I wonder what happened

                                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nycJ Offline
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #18

                                  Only non-witches get due process.

                                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • CopperC Offline
                                    CopperC Offline
                                    Copper
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #19

                                    I built a Lunar Lander Game like that, written in 6502 assembler on the Commodore 64.

                                    I uploaded it to the Q-Link game site. Q-Link aka Quantum Link. Steve Case became CEO of Quantum Link then it was renamed to AOL.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nycJ Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                      #20

                                      He rang the bell at the top of the dot-com era, selling AOL to the idiots at TW who didn’t realize its best days we’re behind it.

                                      Only non-witches get due process.

                                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • CopperC Offline
                                        CopperC Offline
                                        Copper
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #21

                                        Switching AOL from a proprietary network to the internet seems like such an obvious thing to do from our current time. I remember it as kind of a bold move back then.

                                        Of course it helped lead to the end of AOL dominance, still it let the company die a slower death.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nycJ Offline
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                          #22

                                          It did, and I remember how big a deal it was for them at the time.

                                          The clowns at TW didn’t have a mental model of how AOL fit with ‘the internet’ and they bought a dying property thinking they were investing in the future.

                                          I remember people were pissed at Steve Case after it fell apart. But he was a genius. He sold high.

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                          1 Reply Last reply
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