What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?
-
Pending evidence of fraud, yeah, he won.
-
Yea. I figure two years tops
But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.
But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.
-
The name on the placard doesn’t change much of anything.
The bigger question is how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...
-
@LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
how much can be accomplished through Executive Orders? That’s the battle of the next two years...
And we can thank Bush and Obama for that.
-
@bachophile said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
Yea. I figure two years tops
But on the other hand, what are the odds that trump tries again in 2024. I could see him trying to be shadow president for the next four years. And then come back in glory.
But OTOH, I doubt the republicans would let him anywhere near it.
In four years, he'll be even older than Biden is now. We could have two presidents not survive their term.
God, imagine what DJT would be like if he started going senile.
-
Based on life expectancy calculators I'd say its north of 85%.
He has a 75% chance of living to 86 which would get him through two terms.
-
Uncle Joe is 77 now, living in a nation with male life expectancy of 78.5 years.
But that's before you take into account Uncle Joe's socioeconomic status.
If you look at US male in the top quartile by economic income, a category in which Uncle Joe easily qualifies, the life expectancy there is over 87 years.
Uncle Joe will likely outlives his first term.Heck, Jimmy Carter is 96 and he is still around.
-
We learned that we are truly a divided country. We learned that a progressive agenda won’t fly. That is all that matters.
The fact that Trump came so close given 4 years of carpet bombing tells you the GOP is still very very relevant.
The Senate holds and picks up seats in 2 years.
-
Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
-
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.
-
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
-
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
-
@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.
-
@LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
Feed, water and turn.