What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:23 last edited by
Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:24 last edited by@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
Yes, that's a better method. Good for Uncle Joe.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:29 last edited by
I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:31 last edited by
The interesting thing will be how Biden treats Harris. She is exceedingly ambitious, so I suspect he will relegate her to funerals, etc. A long, long arms length.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:35 last edited by
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
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I think chances are he will make it.
But 2024 is the year of Nikki Haley, unless Harris gets in and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could. 2024 could well be Haley-Harris, as Biden will not run for a second term.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:44 last edited by@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
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Dude, you don't use life expectancy at birth to calculate the life expectancy of a 77 year old.
You look at tables that show survival conditional on having already lived to 77.
That's what I did. The actual expectancy (given the demographic data it asked for) put it at 92.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:48 last edited by@jon-nyc yes the life expectancy is long, but being alive doesn’t translate into being fit enough to handle the most demanding job on the planet.
I’m amazed that he kept up a full scale campaign.
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@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 16:55 last edited by@jon-nyc said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
@Mik said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
and removes the appetite for a woman, which I think she could.
Maybe yours. My appetite for women had proved unquenchable.
Perhaps. But remember - romance starts with a heart and a ring but ends with a club and a spade.
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The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 17:45 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in What're the odds that Biden will finish his first term?:
The bigger issue isn’t physical health, but mental. I could see him stepping down around midterms.
Feed, water and turn.
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wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 18:47 last edited by
He'll get decent healthcare.
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 15:03 last edited by
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 15:05 last edited by
Anybody want to chip in to get Joe a 4 year supply of Prevagen?
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 15:11 last edited by
according to th 22nd amendment, if Harris succeeds Biden during this term, and she is prez for two years, she can only be elected for one more term. If she succeeds him in the third year, she can be prez theoretically for up to ten years. Interesting.
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 15:17 last edited by
I think Biden's mother & father were about 93 & 87 when they died, so realistically I'd add a year of two for a healthy son...
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 21:28 last edited by
Doesn't matter how long you live, if you think you are a turnip.
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wrote on 6 Nov 2020, 22:37 last edited by
I hear one of his first priorities is to make peace with the Confederacy, and then beat the USSR to the moon.