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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    They have different cost/benefit analyses. Trump wants a deal above (almost) all. Israel wants to neuter its enemies above (almost) all.

    HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote last edited by
    #1309

    @jon-nyc said:

    They have different cost/benefit analyses.

    Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

    Education is extremely important.

    RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Horace

      Trump may have a reasonable point.

      W Offline
      W Offline
      Wim
      wrote last edited by
      #1310

      @Horace If there's a deal between the US and Iran, chances are high Netanyahu will have to face jail.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • HoraceH Horace

        @jon-nyc said:

        They have different cost/benefit analyses.

        Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

        RenaudaR Offline
        RenaudaR Offline
        Renauda
        wrote last edited by
        #1311

        @Horace said:

        @jon-nyc said:

        They have different cost/benefit analyses.

        Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

        So what is your hunch on the matter?

        Elbows up!

        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
        • RenaudaR Renauda

          @Horace said:

          @jon-nyc said:

          They have different cost/benefit analyses.

          Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

          So what is your hunch on the matter?

          HoraceH Offline
          HoraceH Offline
          Horace
          wrote last edited by
          #1312

          @Renauda said:

          @Horace said:

          @jon-nyc said:

          They have different cost/benefit analyses.

          Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

          So what is your hunch on the matter?

          I reject the stuff about Israel having dirt on Trump and forcing him to do stuff. That's a very popular theory, online at least. "Because there's no other possible reason". That's always a red flag when it appears in someone's chain of logic. There's rarely "no other possible reason".

          I just think the current admin (and previous ones) considers Israel to be an American outpost in the middle east. But if Israel goes their own way, I suspect those ties can be severed, even by this administration. To say nothing of future admins. Seems almost inevitable that this is the last fiercely pro-Israel American administration. The accusations of anti-semitism in an effort to silence opposition to Israel support, are as played out as any other accusation of systemic racism.

          Education is extremely important.

          RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Horace

            @Renauda said:

            @Horace said:

            @jon-nyc said:

            They have different cost/benefit analyses.

            Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

            So what is your hunch on the matter?

            I reject the stuff about Israel having dirt on Trump and forcing him to do stuff. That's a very popular theory, online at least. "Because there's no other possible reason". That's always a red flag when it appears in someone's chain of logic. There's rarely "no other possible reason".

            I just think the current admin (and previous ones) considers Israel to be an American outpost in the middle east. But if Israel goes their own way, I suspect those ties can be severed, even by this administration. To say nothing of future admins. Seems almost inevitable that this is the last fiercely pro-Israel American administration. The accusations of anti-semitism in an effort to silence opposition to Israel support, are as played out as any other accusation of systemic racism.

            RenaudaR Offline
            RenaudaR Offline
            Renauda
            wrote last edited by
            #1313

            @Horace said:

            @Renauda said:

            @Horace said:

            @jon-nyc said:

            They have different cost/benefit analyses.

            Yeah that's the crux of what the opposition to the war wants to lay bare. People are suspicious that we don't actually have different goals.

            So what is your hunch on the matter?

            I reject the stuff about Israel having dirt on Trump and forcing him to do stuff. That's a very popular theory, online at least. "Because there's no other possible reason". That's always a red flag when it appears in someone's chain of logic. There's rarely "no other possible reason".

            I too doubt Netanyahu has much of anything on Trump other than some dubious money deals that went down long before he took up elected office. Probably involves mobster Russian Jews and their ill gotten gains arising from the demise of the USSR and the anarchy of the Yeltsin era.

            I just think the current admin (and previous ones) considers Israel to be an American outpost in the middle east. But if Israel goes their own way, I suspect those ties can be severed, even by this administration. To say nothing of future admins. Seems almost inevitable that this is the last fiercely pro-Israel American administration. The accusations of anti-semitism in an effort to silence opposition to Israel support, are as played out as any other accusation of systemic racism.

            You have mentioned all that before. I am more interested in your personal
            hunch regarding the distracting dog’s breakfast of choice that is now Iran and the Persian Gulf.

            Elbows up!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote last edited by
              #1314

              No strong opinion about Trump's motivations. The fact that Rubio said right after the start that Israel said it was going with or without the US, and that played a role, seems feasible. Even if he did walk that back at some point. Not sure how or why he would have said that if there's wasn't some truth to it.

              Clearly Trump likes the feeling that he's a strong man capable of exerting his will on the world by way of military force. So that played a role too.

              It's probably important not to imagine reasoning that seems complicated or nuanced, because Trump doesn't do complicated or nuanced.

              Education is extremely important.

              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #1315

                ISW summaries of both the Iran and Ukraine wars are worth following.

                Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Horace

                  No strong opinion about Trump's motivations. The fact that Rubio said right after the start that Israel said it was going with or without the US, and that played a role, seems feasible. Even if he did walk that back at some point. Not sure how or why he would have said that if there's wasn't some truth to it.

                  Clearly Trump likes the feeling that he's a strong man capable of exerting his will on the world by way of military force. So that played a role too.

                  It's probably important not to imagine reasoning that seems complicated or nuanced, because Trump doesn't do complicated or nuanced.

                  RenaudaR Offline
                  RenaudaR Offline
                  Renauda
                  wrote last edited by
                  #1316

                  @Horace

                  Clearly Trump likes the feeling that he's a strong man capable of exerting his will on the world by way of military force. So that played a role too.

                  Parse that one amongst history’s rubbish bin of demagogues and tyrants.

                  Elbows up!

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                    #1317

                    Interesting. But could give him someone to blame if, as it looks now, we take the L.

                    Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • MikM Offline
                      MikM Offline
                      Mik
                      wrote last edited by
                      #1318

                      https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/everyone-assumes-america-can-just-bomb-iran-again-whenever-it-wants-it-can-t/ar-AA24VIiG?cvpid=891ce15cf02b4ebedf103f279d185f76

                      "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." β€” Thomas Sowell

                      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Mik

                        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/everyone-assumes-america-can-just-bomb-iran-again-whenever-it-wants-it-can-t/ar-AA24VIiG?cvpid=891ce15cf02b4ebedf103f279d185f76

                        AxtremusA Offline
                        AxtremusA Offline
                        Axtremus
                        wrote last edited by
                        #1319

                        @Mik said:

                        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/everyone-assumes-america-can-just-bomb-iran-again-whenever-it-wants-it-can-t/ar-AA24VIiG?cvpid=891ce15cf02b4ebedf103f279d185f76

                        There goes the "Best post in a long time on TNCR." 🀷

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • A Offline
                          A Offline
                          AndyD
                          wrote last edited by
                          #1320

                          πŸ˜„ I'm pretty certain the West's military-industrial complex is up to the job of replacing whatever is used quicker than any of us imagine; and also of prioritising production, e.g. of useful new arms such as long range drones.

                          1 Reply Last reply

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