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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran Nuclear Program thread

The Iran Nuclear Program thread

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  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

    So it’s been 48 hours since the night that was supposed to be remembered for centuries….

    HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote last edited by
    #352

    @LuFins-Dad said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

    So it’s been 48 hours since the night that was supposed to be remembered for centuries….

    715715c6-aa8a-40ea-9de1-9b844a9448ef-image.png

    Education is extremely important.

    1 Reply Last reply
    😊
    • MikM Mik

      This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

      https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

      HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote last edited by
      #353

      @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

      This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

      https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

      From the op-ed:

      And then there’s a wildcard unique to the Iran situation. Even this very dire but familiar scenario relies on the assumption that Israel and America really do know everything about Iran’s nuclear programme and that there wasn’t an emergency, undeclared backup stash of materials and a secret cadre. If there was, and even some of it survives, there will still be a race for the bomb — except the bomb, or bombs, will appear in a fractured, unstable, justifiably paranoid region in a state of civil war. An entirely new nightmare with consequences far beyond Netanyahu and Trump’s terms, or even lifetimes.

      That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

      Education is extremely important.

      RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
      • HoraceH Horace

        @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

        This is a really interesting op-ed from an Israeli journalist, obviously not a fan of Netanyahu. But he presents some worthwhile observations and possibilities.

        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/netanyahu-s-iran-endgame-is-edging-closer/ar-AA1H1be5

        From the op-ed:

        And then there’s a wildcard unique to the Iran situation. Even this very dire but familiar scenario relies on the assumption that Israel and America really do know everything about Iran’s nuclear programme and that there wasn’t an emergency, undeclared backup stash of materials and a secret cadre. If there was, and even some of it survives, there will still be a race for the bomb — except the bomb, or bombs, will appear in a fractured, unstable, justifiably paranoid region in a state of civil war. An entirely new nightmare with consequences far beyond Netanyahu and Trump’s terms, or even lifetimes.

        That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

        RenaudaR Offline
        RenaudaR Offline
        Renauda
        wrote last edited by
        #354

        @Horace

        That seems obvious, but I agree it's not said out loud much.

        It would be what Donald Rumsfeld termed a “known unknown”.

        Nobody in the know likes to conjecture those in public.

        Elbows up!

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by
          #355

          The Mossad stole 100k documents out of a warehouse that completely documented the program. Problem is, Iran knows that. Some things are hard to change though, especially under-mountain architecture and reactor locations.

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote last edited by
            #356

            This is interesting to watch, just to see where the heads of this faction of Maga are at. He's proposing a deal where Israel and Iran both give up their nukes.

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

            1 Reply Last reply
            • MikM Away
              MikM Away
              Mik
              wrote last edited by
              #357

              Yeah, that’s a non-starter. Israel wants peace with all. Iran’s is death to everyone but us. There’s no equivalence to be found.

              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

              kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #358

                Interesting but probably assumes the IRGC retains power after the assassination.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by
                  #359

                  Does it mean anything? I don’t know. But here it is.

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #360

                    Trump posted this.

                    IMG_5912.jpeg

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote last edited by
                      #361

                      This magat is a JD Vance favorite and a frequent TuCa guest.

                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                      -Cormac McCarthy

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #362

                        Jesus no.

                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                        -Cormac McCarthy

                        Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          Jesus no.

                          Doctor PhibesD Online
                          Doctor PhibesD Online
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote last edited by
                          #363

                          @jon-nyc said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                          Jesus no.

                          They're actually saying that they were told that a bunker buster is enough to get the job done - the tactical nuke sounds like complete speculation by Fox and The Guardian.

                          I was only joking

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nycJ Online
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                            #364

                            If you’re cold, they’re cold. Bring them inside.

                            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                            -Cormac McCarthy

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Away
                              MikM Away
                              Mik
                              wrote last edited by
                              #365

                              To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                              A 1 Reply Last reply
                              • MikM Mik

                                To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                                A Offline
                                A Offline
                                AndyD
                                wrote last edited by
                                #366

                                @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                                That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
                                Batant aggression, self defence etc.

                                When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

                                And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

                                jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                • MikM Mik

                                  Yeah, that’s a non-starter. Israel wants peace with all. Iran’s is death to everyone but us. There’s no equivalence to be found.

                                  kluursK Offline
                                  kluursK Offline
                                  kluurs
                                  wrote last edited by kluurs
                                  #367

                                  @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                  Israel wants peace

                                  Many (most?) Israeli's do - BUT just as in America, there are some very powerful and influential Israelis who want that PLUS a lot of land and more. Israel, like he US, has some significant parts of its population who have very different (contradictory) objectives.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • A AndyD

                                    @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                    To use a nuke to prevent nukes would be the height of hypocrisy.

                                    That's an interesting statement. It must surely depend on intent?
                                    Batant aggression, self defence etc.

                                    When a person intends to kill you, has said so, written their intention for all to see, and is fastening a blade to a broom handle in order to kill you, is it wrong for you to use your spear to defend yourself preemptively?

                                    And in our case we would only be destroying their spear making capabilities. In the hope that they could eventually change. Maybe spend the billions on agriculture instead of spears.

                                    jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #368

                                    @AndyD

                                    As fragile as it might have been at times, there’s a clear unwritten rule since 1945 that you don’t use nukes.

                                    How long after we did would Putin?

                                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                    -Cormac McCarthy

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Away
                                      MikM Away
                                      Mik
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #369

                                      Not going to happen until someone has their back against the wall.

                                      See “offramp”.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • MikM Away
                                        MikM Away
                                        Mik
                                        wrote last edited by Mik
                                        #370

                                        I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                        kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • MikM Mik

                                          I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                          kluursK Offline
                                          kluursK Offline
                                          kluurs
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #371

                                          @Mik said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:

                                          I suspect the Iranian people as a whole have lost their fervor for spreading Islamic revolution now that they see their utter vulnerabilities. If they ever really had it. My impression is those who signed on to that did it for personal power, not ideology.

                                          Iran is not the only nation where a group of religious fanatics have a degree of influence out of bounds with that of the majority of the population - part of the reason that Chris Hitchens had such disdain for religion.

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