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  3. Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

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  • 8 Offline
    8 Offline
    89th
    wrote on 2 Sept 2020, 15:30 last edited by
    #13

    @LuFins-Dad But to be clear, these are betting odds, not actual polls. (One might argue the former is a better gauge, lol)

    G 1 Reply Last reply 2 Sept 2020, 16:25
    • 8 89th
      2 Sept 2020, 15:30

      @LuFins-Dad But to be clear, these are betting odds, not actual polls. (One might argue the former is a better gauge, lol)

      G Offline
      G Offline
      George K
      wrote on 2 Sept 2020, 16:25 last edited by
      #14

      @89th said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

      these are betting odds, not actual polls

      Screen Shot 2020-09-02 at 11.24.48 AM.png

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • D Online
        D Online
        Doctor Phibes
        wrote on 2 Sept 2020, 16:34 last edited by
        #15

        So does this just imply a lot of people are betting on Trump to win, so the bookies are adjusting the odds to match?

        Or maybe it implies that people with a gambling addiction are more likely to vote for Trump?

        I was only joking

        1 Reply Last reply
        • J Online
          J Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 01:44 last edited by
          #16

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          T 1 Reply Last reply 4 Oct 2020, 02:44
          • J jon-nyc
            4 Oct 2020, 01:44

            T Offline
            T Offline
            taiwan_girl
            wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 02:44 last edited by
            #17

            @jon-nyc said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

            Maybe just because they are giving really really good odds!!!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Online
              J Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 02:45 last edited by
              #18

              The odds are endogenous.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              T 1 Reply Last reply 4 Oct 2020, 02:52
              • J jon-nyc
                4 Oct 2020, 02:45

                The odds are endogenous.

                T Offline
                T Offline
                taiwan_girl
                wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 02:52 last edited by
                #19

                @jon-nyc said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                The odds are endogenous.

                Okay, I had to look up that word, and still dont understand 55555

                endogenous adjective
                en·​dog·​e·​nous | \ en-ˈdä-jə-nəs
                Definition of endogenous
                1 : growing or produced by growth from deep tissue

                • endogenous plant roots

                2a : caused by factors inside the organism or system

                • suffered from endogenous depression
                  endogenous business cycles

                b : produced or synthesized within the organism or system

                • an endogenous hormone
                1 Reply Last reply
                • J Online
                  J Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 02:53 last edited by jon-nyc 10 Apr 2020, 02:54
                  #20

                  Those probabilities are inferred from the betting.

                  Only non-witches get due process.

                  • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                  T 1 Reply Last reply 4 Oct 2020, 02:55
                  • J jon-nyc
                    4 Oct 2020, 02:53

                    Those probabilities are inferred from the betting.

                    T Offline
                    T Offline
                    taiwan_girl
                    wrote on 4 Oct 2020, 02:55 last edited by
                    #21

                    @jon-nyc Got it. Thanks!!!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • J Online
                      J Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 10 Oct 2020, 22:55 last edited by
                      #22

                      5 weeks later, Biden 2-1. Seems unsustainable?

                      7B38E833-EBA7-4C8C-A4F3-7DF108C4833E.png

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                        Aqua LetiferA Offline
                        Aqua Letifer
                        wrote on 10 Oct 2020, 23:05 last edited by
                        #23

                        Is it possible to bet on weekly betting odds?

                        Please love yourself.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • J Online
                          J Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on 10 Oct 2020, 23:07 last edited by jon-nyc 10 Oct 2020, 23:08
                          #24

                          You can bet on the trend indirectly but it’ll cost you twice the spread.

                          Just take a position now and the opposite after the odds improve. Assuming they do.

                          Only non-witches get due process.

                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on 10 Oct 2020, 23:08 last edited by
                            #25

                            So $100 on Trump would pay what? Not that I like his odds, but I am curious.

                            The Brad

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • 8 Offline
                              8 Offline
                              89th
                              wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 02:25 last edited by
                              #26

                              Isn't it illegal to bet on elections? Read that somewhere. If not, I would bet a crap ton on Biden to win it, even if the odds don't pay much now. It's a guarantee, IMO.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • J Online
                                J Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 02:29 last edited by
                                #27

                                I think the betting sites are all offshore.

                                But I haven’t paid attention in a long while.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • KlausK Offline
                                  KlausK Offline
                                  Klaus
                                  wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 13:10 last edited by
                                  #28

                                  I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                  T LuFins DadL 8 3 Replies Last reply 13 Oct 2020, 13:41
                                  • KlausK Klaus
                                    13 Oct 2020, 13:10

                                    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                    T Offline
                                    T Offline
                                    taiwan_girl
                                    wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 13:41 last edited by
                                    #29

                                    @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                    I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                    I think it depend on if the Republics are the losing party in this election. If they win or if it is close, then probably not.

                                    If it is a big loss, then probably yes.

                                    KlausK 1 Reply Last reply 13 Oct 2020, 14:20
                                    • KlausK Klaus
                                      13 Oct 2020, 13:10

                                      I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 13:55 last edited by
                                      #30

                                      @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                      I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                      What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                                      The Brad

                                      KlausK 1 Reply Last reply 13 Oct 2020, 14:49
                                      • T taiwan_girl
                                        13 Oct 2020, 13:41

                                        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                        I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                        I think it depend on if the Republics are the losing party in this election. If they win or if it is close, then probably not.

                                        If it is a big loss, then probably yes.

                                        KlausK Offline
                                        KlausK Offline
                                        Klaus
                                        wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 14:20 last edited by
                                        #31

                                        @taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                        @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                        I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                        I think it depend on if the Republics are the losing party in this election. If they win or if it is close, then probably not.

                                        Yes, obviously. I'm only talking about the situation when Trump looses, which looks likely at this point.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad
                                          13 Oct 2020, 13:55

                                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                          What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                                          KlausK Offline
                                          KlausK Offline
                                          Klaus
                                          wrote on 13 Oct 2020, 14:49 last edited by
                                          #32

                                          @LuFins-Dad said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                          @Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

                                          I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

                                          What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

                                          The notion that truth and consistency don't matter. The "government by twitter" policy. The notion that allies are redundant and can be treated like shit. The "I like you if and only if you say nice things about me" policy. The blatant contempt for the pillars and basic rules of constitutional democracies. The blatant contempt for science when it conflicts with his worldview. And, while we are at it, the blatant contempt for true conservatism in the sense of Scruton et al. How's that for a start?

                                          JollyJ T 2 Replies Last reply 13 Oct 2020, 15:50
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