Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds

[Horace]

I wonder how this is parsed by those who enjoy giggling at the absurdity of Trump running against the riots, i.e. running against a thing that is happening in the country while he's president. I suppose those people simply can't comprehend why anybody might consider Trump and the right in general the answer to the riots rather than the cause. It's like TDS has parasitically taken control of their minds and is causing their mouths to make TDS noises exclusively, rather than thoughtful human sounds.

[89th]

@LuFins-Dad But to be clear, these are betting odds, not actual polls. (One might argue the former is a better gauge, lol)

[George K]

@89th said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

these are betting odds, not actual polls

[Doctor Phibes]

So does this just imply a lot of people are betting on Trump to win, so the bookies are adjusting the odds to match?

Or maybe it implies that people with a gambling addiction are more likely to vote for Trump?

[jon-nyc]

[taiwan_girl]

[jon-nyc]

The odds are endogenous.

[taiwan_girl]

@jon-nyc said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

The odds are endogenous.

Okay, I had to look up that word, and still dont understand 55555

endogenous adjective
en·​dog·​e·​nous | \ en-ˈdä-jə-nəs
Definition of endogenous
1 : growing or produced by growth from deep tissue

• endogenous plant roots

2a : caused by factors inside the organism or system

• suffered from endogenous depression
  endogenous business cycles

b : produced or synthesized within the organism or system

• an endogenous hormone

[jon-nyc]

Those probabilities are inferred from the betting.

[taiwan_girl]

@jon-nyc Got it. Thanks!!!

[jon-nyc]

5 weeks later, Biden 2-1. Seems unsustainable?

[Aqua Letifer]

Is it possible to bet on weekly betting odds?

[jon-nyc]

You can bet on the trend indirectly but it’ll cost you twice the spread.

Just take a position now and the opposite after the odds improve. Assuming they do.

[LuFins Dad]

So $100 on Trump would pay what? Not that I like his odds, but I am curious.

[89th]

Isn't it illegal to bet on elections? Read that somewhere. If not, I would bet a crap ton on Biden to win it, even if the odds don't pay much now. It's a guarantee, IMO.

[jon-nyc]

I think the betting sites are all offshore.

But I haven’t paid attention in a long while.

[Klaus]

I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

[taiwan_girl]

@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

I think it depend on if the Republics are the losing party in this election. If they win or if it is close, then probably not.

If it is a big loss, then probably yes.

[LuFins Dad]

@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

What exactly do you mean by De-Trumpification? What Trump policies does the GOP need to get away from?

[Klaus]

@taiwan_girl said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

@Klaus said in Looks like a 10 point swing in betting odds:

I wonder whether the GOP will have the will and strength for a thorough De-Trumpification of the party within four years.

I think it depend on if the Republics are the losing party in this election. If they win or if it is close, then probably not.

Yes, obviously. I'm only talking about the situation when Trump looses, which looks likely at this point.