It’s starting
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 15:41 last edited by
Ayup. Good week for Kamala. Will be interesting to see how much it affects the polls next week.
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 15:45 last edited by
The first poll post-debate showed Kamala got the win, but Trump improved his position by .5% https://nypost.com/2024/09/11/us-news/kamala-harris-opens-up-narrow-lead-over-donald-trump-post-philadelphia-debate/
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 16:06 last edited by
-
lol
Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 17:22 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
lol
Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.
Maybe now that Trump will be sentenced for his felony conviction a few weeks after the election? If he was sent to prison in late September, I bet Vance's odds would've gone up.
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 18:56 last edited by
If Trump wins, what is his sentence?
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 19:24 last edited by
It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.
-
It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 19:29 last edited by@Horace said in It’s starting:
It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.
Moot question in this particular case - this is a state charge.
-
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 19:30 last edited by
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service? -
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 21:04 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?I can.
TDS is a strong emotion.
-
@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
I can’t imagine his sentence would ever include jail time.
But maybe the judge could craft a suicide order under the guise of community service?I can.
TDS is a strong emotion.
wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 21:25 last edited by -
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 16:05 last edited by
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
-
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:08 last edited by
Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.
-
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:19 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
-
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:27 last edited by
@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
Where’s that from? Nate has Harris ahead in PA, WI, MI, and NV.
Yeah, he updated the models 15 minutes after I posted. I think it’s Kamala 50, Trump 47, and a 3% chance of a split?
-
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:33 last edited by
That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
-
That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:45 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
That would put the electoral count in the blue.
Though I think his model assumes some latent level of redward shift over time so maybe not. When he first started posting projections favoring Trump he hinted that if the polls stay the same the model becomes more blue friendly.
PA is basically a coin toss according to the polls, and all the battlegrounds are within the
margin of error. Trump beat the margin of error two elections in a row. -
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 18:47 last edited by
That checks out. Trump is marginal, and also an error.
-
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:07 last edited by
I went ahead and subscribed for two months.
-
@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:
Just imagine how bad it would have been if Donald had performed well in the debate…
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:09 last edited by@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
-
@Jolly said in It’s starting:
With the exception of four states, the very definition of "coastal elites".
There's a lot of coast in Illinois, just no elites.
wrote on 17 Sept 2024, 19:09 last edited byThis post is deleted!
