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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • L Offline
    L Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 13:51 last edited by
    #49

    Silver’s latest model has Trump at 63.8%. Here’s his electoral map:

    alt text

    The Brad

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 8 Offline
      8 Offline
      89th
      wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 16:13 last edited by
      #50

      Wow, yeah I'm probably wrong. Unfortunately if it's close, it'll feed the conspiracy/election deniers.... would rather have a landslide (even more than Biden's landslide) victory for one side or another.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • L Offline
        L Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 17:23 last edited by LuFins Dad 9 Oct 2024, 17:24
        #51

        Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

        alt text

        The Brad

        H 1 Reply Last reply 10 Sept 2024, 17:51
        • L LuFins Dad
          10 Sept 2024, 17:23

          Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

          alt text

          H Offline
          H Offline
          Horace
          wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 17:51 last edited by Horace 9 Oct 2024, 17:52
          #52

          @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

          Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

          alt text

          Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

          Also, I note that Silver himself calls this model a "prediction" of the election results.

          Education is extremely important.

          J 1 Reply Last reply 10 Sept 2024, 20:45
          • H Horace
            10 Sept 2024, 17:51

            @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

            Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

            alt text

            Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

            Also, I note that Silver himself calls this model a "prediction" of the election results.

            J Offline
            J Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 20:45 last edited by
            #53

            @Horace said in It’s starting:

            Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

            She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

            Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            J L 2 Replies Last reply 10 Sept 2024, 21:23
            • J Jolly
              10 Sept 2024, 20:45

              @Horace said in It’s starting:

              Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

              She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

              Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

              J Offline
              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 21:23 last edited by
              #54

              @Jolly said in It’s starting:

              I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

              Look at their publicity graphic.

              IMG_0011.jpeg

              Just kidding that’s from the Harris campaign.

              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • J Jolly
                10 Sept 2024, 20:45

                @Horace said in It’s starting:

                Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

                She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

                Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

                L Offline
                L Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 21:48 last edited by
                #55

                @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                @Horace said in It’s starting:

                Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

                She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

                Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

                70% of the population distrust the media. Ostensibly, a heavy media bias towards Kamala would help Trump.

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • J Offline
                  J Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on 10 Sept 2024, 23:13 last edited by
                  #56

                  They may distrust them, but older people vote and the MSM is still their main source of info.

                  Shucks, look how a geezer like Jon leans on the NYT! 😜

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J Offline
                    J Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 13:00 last edited by
                    #57

                    Betting markets flipped.

                    IMG_0045.png

                    https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/09/11/harris-surges-past-trump-in-election-betting-markets-after-presidential-debate/

                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • D Offline
                      D Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 13:14 last edited by
                      #58

                      I'm going to be a freaking gazillionaire when Michelle is elected.

                      I was only joking

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • J Offline
                        J Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 13:26 last edited by jon-nyc 9 Dec 2024, 13:27
                        #59

                        lol

                        Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                        Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                        8 1 Reply Last reply 12 Sept 2024, 17:22
                        • J Offline
                          J Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 14:30 last edited by
                          #60

                          Kinda expected that.

                          I think you see them tighten back up, if she continues to stay in her basement.

                          BTW, notice the behavior of the two candidates? After the debate, Trump left for the spin room and talked awhile. Kamala-lama-ding-dong went directly to her limo and left.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          G 1 Reply Last reply 19 Sept 2024, 12:46
                          • J Offline
                            J Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 14:51 last edited by
                            #61

                            The daily show link shows a montage of him claiming polls say he won 92-7 or something.

                            Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • D Offline
                              D Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 15:28 last edited by
                              #62

                              If you listen to him, Trump has never lost anything in his entire life.

                              Considering how awesome he is, it's a little hard to understand why he always looks so bloody miserable.

                              He's fatter bigger than Jesus!

                              I was only joking

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • L Offline
                                L Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 15:41 last edited by
                                #63

                                Ayup. Good week for Kamala. Will be interesting to see how much it affects the polls next week.

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 15:45 last edited by
                                  #64

                                  The first poll post-debate showed Kamala got the win, but Trump improved his position by .5% https://nypost.com/2024/09/11/us-news/kamala-harris-opens-up-narrow-lead-over-donald-trump-post-philadelphia-debate/

                                  The Brad

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 16:06 last edited by
                                    #65

                                    https://nodebb.the-new-coffee-room.club/post/298943

                                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • J jon-nyc
                                      12 Sept 2024, 13:26

                                      lol

                                      Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                                      8 Offline
                                      8 Offline
                                      89th
                                      wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 17:22 last edited by
                                      #66

                                      @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                                      lol

                                      Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                                      Maybe now that Trump will be sentenced for his felony conviction a few weeks after the election? If he was sent to prison in late September, I bet Vance's odds would've gone up.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • J Offline
                                        J Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 18:56 last edited by
                                        #67

                                        If Trump wins, what is his sentence?

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • H Offline
                                          H Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on 12 Sept 2024, 19:24 last edited by
                                          #68

                                          It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.

                                          Education is extremely important.

                                          J 1 Reply Last reply 12 Sept 2024, 19:29
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