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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. It’s starting

It’s starting

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on last edited by
    #49

    Silver’s latest model has Trump at 63.8%. Here’s his electoral map:

    alt text

    The Brad

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote on last edited by
      #50

      Wow, yeah I'm probably wrong. Unfortunately if it's close, it'll feed the conspiracy/election deniers.... would rather have a landslide (even more than Biden's landslide) victory for one side or another.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on last edited by LuFins Dad
        #51

        Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

        alt text

        The Brad

        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

          Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

          alt text

          HoraceH Offline
          HoraceH Offline
          Horace
          wrote on last edited by Horace
          #52

          @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

          Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

          alt text

          Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

          Also, I note that Silver himself calls this model a "prediction" of the election results.

          Education is extremely important.

          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Horace

            @LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:

            Trump’s lead is as big as it’s been against Kamala. Tonight, he has the high bar of not being a complete dick. She has the much higher bar of showing she actually has policies and plans people would like.

            alt text

            Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

            Also, I note that Silver himself calls this model a "prediction" of the election results.

            JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #53

            @Horace said in It’s starting:

            Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

            She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

            Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            jon-nycJ LuFins DadL 2 Replies Last reply
            • JollyJ Jolly

              @Horace said in It’s starting:

              Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

              She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

              Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #54

              @Jolly said in It’s starting:

              I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

              Look at their publicity graphic.

              IMG_0011.jpeg

              Just kidding that’s from the Harris campaign.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                @Horace said in It’s starting:

                Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

                She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

                Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #55

                @Jolly said in It’s starting:

                @Horace said in It’s starting:

                Trump is inching closer to seeming human, at least based on the interview I saw recently with Fridman. But he will no doubt fail to pass simple tests of self-control in the debate, and Kamala will wink to the audience and project joy when he does. I have no doubt she has spent quality time with mirrors and body language consultants to perfect whatever it is she will be nonverbally communicating when Trump acts like Trump.

                She's been working with the same debate coach Hillary worked with. The guy dresses like Trump and tries to debate in his style. They've also brought some Hollywood people to do some consulting... She 's gonna bait him like a bear.

                Plus, the MSM spin for her will be terrific. Shucks, I think ABC has already declared her the winner...

                70% of the population distrust the media. Ostensibly, a heavy media bias towards Kamala would help Trump.

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #56

                  They may distrust them, but older people vote and the MSM is still their main source of info.

                  Shucks, look how a geezer like Jon leans on the NYT! 😜

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #57

                    Betting markets flipped.

                    IMG_0045.png

                    https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/09/11/harris-surges-past-trump-in-election-betting-markets-after-presidential-debate/

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #58

                      I'm going to be a freaking gazillionaire when Michelle is elected.

                      I was only joking

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                        #59

                        lol

                        Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #60

                          Kinda expected that.

                          I think you see them tighten back up, if she continues to stay in her basement.

                          BTW, notice the behavior of the two candidates? After the debate, Trump left for the spin room and talked awhile. Kamala-lama-ding-dong went directly to her limo and left.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #61

                            The daily show link shows a montage of him claiming polls say he won 92-7 or something.

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #62

                              If you listen to him, Trump has never lost anything in his entire life.

                              Considering how awesome he is, it's a little hard to understand why he always looks so bloody miserable.

                              He's fatter bigger than Jesus!

                              I was only joking

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #63

                                Ayup. Good week for Kamala. Will be interesting to see how much it affects the polls next week.

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #64

                                  The first poll post-debate showed Kamala got the win, but Trump improved his position by .5% https://nypost.com/2024/09/11/us-news/kamala-harris-opens-up-narrow-lead-over-donald-trump-post-philadelphia-debate/

                                  The Brad

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #65

                                    https://nodebb.the-new-coffee-room.club/post/298943

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      lol

                                      Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                                      89th8 Offline
                                      89th8 Offline
                                      89th
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #66

                                      @jon-nyc said in It’s starting:

                                      lol

                                      Odd that Vance isn’t listed. One of the UK markets puts him a distant third, ahead of Michelle and the other names you see here.

                                      Maybe now that Trump will be sentenced for his felony conviction a few weeks after the election? If he was sent to prison in late September, I bet Vance's odds would've gone up.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #67

                                        If Trump wins, what is his sentence?

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • HoraceH Offline
                                          HoraceH Offline
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #68

                                          It's an unestablished precedent, whether a president can pardon himself. I believe Roberts mentioned that the court has "luckily" never faced a need to make that decision.

                                          Education is extremely important.

                                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
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