It’s starting
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:04 last edited by
Strategery? Trump and Vance have had a few blunders, so maybe it's a wise strategy to let the enemy defeat itself?
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:10 last edited by
It's less to do with the opposition and more to do with her. They don't want her making any blunders. They are checking and calling all the bets and we'll see how the hands compare in November.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:36 last edited by
Agree with 89 and Horace. When the Democrats best campaigner is President Trump, why change a strategy that works?
And if the polling trends more in favor of VP Harris, that "forces" President Trump to talk more, which, based on past history, will result in more stupid verbal talking.
He is his own worst enemy.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:54 last edited by
A populist might say "good for her". Speak directly to the people where they're at - social media. Letting elite journalists mediate your messaging to voters is so 2005.
-
A populist might say "good for her". Speak directly to the people where they're at - social media. Letting elite journalists mediate your messaging to voters is so 2005.
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:58 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
A populist might say "good for her". Speak directly to the people where they're at - social media. Letting elite journalists mediate your messaging to voters is so 2005.
Kamala is speaking directly via social media? What's she saying? Got links?
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:59 last edited by
Yeah they have quite a social media presence. I see them on X and FB, paid ads. I don't follow campaigns.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 13:59 last edited by
As a bonus, she can enjoy another box of wine!
-
Yeah they have quite a social media presence. I see them on X and FB, paid ads. I don't follow campaigns.
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 14:03 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
Yeah they have quite a social media presence. I see them on X and FB, paid ads. I don't follow campaigns.
Oh, paid online canvassing ads. I thought you meant Kamala communicating directly, not her marketing team.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 14:08 last edited by jon-nyc
She is usually speaking on the ads. Yeah scripted. Just like press interview responses.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 14:10 last edited by
She is the least defined candidate ever, and her team is content to keep it that way.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 16:03 last edited by
Yup, she's the NotDon-NotJoe candidate.
Ugh there is a better nickname in there but I'm too tired
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 16:17 last edited by Horace
'I Was Born Into A Middle Class Family,' Explains Wife When Husband Asks Why The Car Is On Fire
-
Yup, she's the NotDon-NotJoe candidate.
Ugh there is a better nickname in there but I'm too tired
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 17:32 last edited by@89th said in It’s starting:
Yup, she's the NotDon-NotJoe candidate.
Ugh there is a better nickname in there but I'm too tired
The “I promise not to turn 80 in the White House” candidate.
A policy position I can support.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 17:46 last edited by
Actually, she's a media creation. Her campaign is fueled by Big Money and she is buying an enormous amount of advertising. It's crafted, polished and ubiquitous on the airwaves.
She's running Biden's Basement Strategy and catering to the LIV, particularly the gibmedats and the college educated suburban women.
I've watched Trump do a townhall, a one-hour Hannity interview and the Gutfeld! show. In all of them, he's still Trump, but he churns out ideas, both good and bad. And he makes observations...Last night he talked about the Evangelical vote and the 2nd Amendment vote, and why he's puzzled by lower voter turnout in those groups than expected.
So, while Trump does come out with some goofy stuff, that brain is spinning and thinking pretty well for a guy his age, especially as juxtaposed with Harris.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 20:30 last edited by jon-nyc
By what margin did Trump win the debate again? 92 to 7 he said?
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 20:31 last edited by
When does he start asking for another debate?
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 20:42 last edited by
So based on past poll performances, Trump’s up +3
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 20:42 last edited by jon-nyc
It's not a poll, nor a simple average. it's Nate Silver's model. And he updates it every election season with lessons from the previous election.
-
It's not a poll, nor a simple average. it's Nate Silver's model. And he updates it every election season with lessons from the previous election.
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 21:27 last edited by@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
It's not a poll, nor a simple average. it's Nate Silver's model. And he updates it every election season with lessons from the previous election.
Yeah, yeah. I give Nate a lot of credit for giving Trump a 28% chance in 2016. His model did a lot worse in 2020. He had Trump at 10%, but I think we can all agree that the swing states were far tighter than the model thought likely. I tend to think a 50/50 split still leans Trump’s way.
-
wrote on 19 Sept 2024, 21:34 last edited by
Check Rasmussen...