Trends
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wrote on 21 Oct 2022, 17:29 last edited by
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wrote on 21 Oct 2022, 17:43 last edited by
Someone should do a poll regarding whether Americans prefer Dem policy platforms or Republican policy platforms. The tribe that prefers Republican policies (even if you have to infer it, as they do not like to say it out loud), but are terrified of siding with the Republicans for the social and status ramifications, is large and common. I dare say it’s the mainstream viewpoint among triple digit IQ lefties.
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wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 00:16 last edited by
44…
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wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 09:50 last edited by
Hmmm...Could account for some folks being a might testy about politics the last week.
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wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 18:04 last edited by
45...
81 for the House.There's something odd, though. The models still have the Dems maintaining control of the Senate 55 out of 100 times, but they also show the Republicans winning control of both houses to be more likely than Dems winning the Senate and Republicans winning the House.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
WHO WILL CONTROL CONGRESS?
Republicans win both chambers
45 in 100
Republicans win the Senate
Democrats win the House
<1 in 100
Democrats win the Senate
Republicans win the House
36 in 100
Democrats win both chambers
19 in 100 -
wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 18:55 last edited by
Undecideds are breaking towards GOP, I suppose.
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wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 19:20 last edited by
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wrote on 22 Oct 2022, 21:56 last edited by
If you're putting up money, 62% as of right now...
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wrote on 23 Oct 2022, 16:10 last edited by
I’m chuckling because there seems to be an editorial difference of opinion at FiveThirtyEight. The number is still at 45-55 as there aren’t any polls coming through today, but the headline has changed three times from “Democrats are *Slightly * favored to win the Senate” to “It’s a Dead Heat for the Senate, then back to “Democrats are Slightly…” and now back to “Dead Heat”…
My guess is that somebody wants to keep giving the moral support to their side and Silver keeps overriding them and reminding them that the numbers are the numbers…
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wrote on 24 Oct 2022, 12:24 last edited by
LOL
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wrote on 24 Oct 2022, 21:49 last edited by
Aaaaaand it’s back to a Dead Heat
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wrote on 26 Oct 2022, 01:56 last edited by
46, if anybody is still interested.
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46, if anybody is still interested.
wrote on 26 Oct 2022, 02:02 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
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wrote on 26 Oct 2022, 15:27 last edited by
Pelosi: I ‘cannot believe anybody would vote for’ GOP in midterms
I know how she feels, in the other direction
https://nypost.com/2022/10/25/pelosi-says-she-cannot-believe-anyone-would-vote-republican/
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wrote on 26 Oct 2022, 15:37 last edited by Horace
Such a sad admission, to not be able to understand other human beings. One would expect the party of compassion to be able to do so easily, as their core competency. But as always, when someone proudly claims to not be able to understand other people, it’s not because they’re stupid or unsympathetic. It’s because they have an excess of virtue.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
wrote on 27 Oct 2022, 21:18 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
It’s still trending… 48.
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wrote on 28 Oct 2022, 15:12 last edited by
New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
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New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
wrote on 28 Oct 2022, 15:44 last edited by -
wrote on 28 Oct 2022, 15:46 last edited by
why are they italicizing those words? meant to remove doubt as to whether they're editorialized? Maybe the italics is meant to convey that they are defined labels for certain probability ranges.
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wrote on 28 Oct 2022, 17:03 last edited by
@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.
Trends…
https://www.axios.com/2022/10/25/new-hampshire-senate-republicans-bolduc
Look at the last 4 polls for NH- https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/