Trends
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45...
81 for the House.There's something odd, though. The models still have the Dems maintaining control of the Senate 55 out of 100 times, but they also show the Republicans winning control of both houses to be more likely than Dems winning the Senate and Republicans winning the House.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
WHO WILL CONTROL CONGRESS?
Republicans win both chambers
45 in 100
Republicans win the Senate
Democrats win the House
<1 in 100
Democrats win the Senate
Republicans win the House
36 in 100
Democrats win both chambers
19 in 100 -
Undecideds are breaking towards GOP, I suppose.
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If you're putting up money, 62% as of right now...
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I’m chuckling because there seems to be an editorial difference of opinion at FiveThirtyEight. The number is still at 45-55 as there aren’t any polls coming through today, but the headline has changed three times from “Democrats are *Slightly * favored to win the Senate” to “It’s a Dead Heat for the Senate, then back to “Democrats are Slightly…” and now back to “Dead Heat”…
My guess is that somebody wants to keep giving the moral support to their side and Silver keeps overriding them and reminding them that the numbers are the numbers…
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LOL
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Aaaaaand it’s back to a Dead Heat
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46, if anybody is still interested.
@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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Pelosi: I ‘cannot believe anybody would vote for’ GOP in midterms
I know how she feels, in the other direction
https://nypost.com/2022/10/25/pelosi-says-she-cannot-believe-anyone-would-vote-republican/
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Such a sad admission, to not be able to understand other human beings. One would expect the party of compassion to be able to do so easily, as their core competency. But as always, when someone proudly claims to not be able to understand other people, it’s not because they’re stupid or unsympathetic. It’s because they have an excess of virtue.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
It’s still trending… 48.
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New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
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New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory.
Trends…
https://www.axios.com/2022/10/25/new-hampshire-senate-republicans-bolduc
Look at the last 4 polls for NH- https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
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This post is deleted!
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You can play with the model here by picking the winners of some of the more contested states. If Budd wins in NC (where he is strongly favored), tge model favors Republicans 59-41. If Budd and Vance both win, it jumps to 67-33. These are races that Rams are projected to win…https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-flip-senate-house/
