Trends
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@Doctor-Phibes said in Trends:
I would have expected the Republicans to win, based on the current climate.
Everybody tells me it makes a huge difference and is enormously important, but I honestly haven't seen much evidence for that over the last 20 years.
Does it matter who wins the Superbowl? People get very excited about that too, but it doesn't actually make any difference to their lives, either.
That's the beauty of how this government was designed. It's not supposed to make a huge difference, just regulate what must be regulated, defend what must be defended and then let the citizens take care of themselves. It's when we try to make government solve all problems for all people that we get into trouble.
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Someone should do a poll regarding whether Americans prefer Dem policy platforms or Republican policy platforms. The tribe that prefers Republican policies (even if you have to infer it, as they do not like to say it out loud), but are terrified of siding with the Republicans for the social and status ramifications, is large and common. I dare say it’s the mainstream viewpoint among triple digit IQ lefties.
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44…
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45...
81 for the House.There's something odd, though. The models still have the Dems maintaining control of the Senate 55 out of 100 times, but they also show the Republicans winning control of both houses to be more likely than Dems winning the Senate and Republicans winning the House.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
WHO WILL CONTROL CONGRESS?
Republicans win both chambers
45 in 100
Republicans win the Senate
Democrats win the House
<1 in 100
Democrats win the Senate
Republicans win the House
36 in 100
Democrats win both chambers
19 in 100 -
Undecideds are breaking towards GOP, I suppose.
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If you're putting up money, 62% as of right now...
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I’m chuckling because there seems to be an editorial difference of opinion at FiveThirtyEight. The number is still at 45-55 as there aren’t any polls coming through today, but the headline has changed three times from “Democrats are *Slightly * favored to win the Senate” to “It’s a Dead Heat for the Senate, then back to “Democrats are Slightly…” and now back to “Dead Heat”…
My guess is that somebody wants to keep giving the moral support to their side and Silver keeps overriding them and reminding them that the numbers are the numbers…
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LOL
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Aaaaaand it’s back to a Dead Heat
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46, if anybody is still interested.
@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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Pelosi: I ‘cannot believe anybody would vote for’ GOP in midterms
I know how she feels, in the other direction
https://nypost.com/2022/10/25/pelosi-says-she-cannot-believe-anyone-would-vote-republican/
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Such a sad admission, to not be able to understand other human beings. One would expect the party of compassion to be able to do so easily, as their core competency. But as always, when someone proudly claims to not be able to understand other people, it’s not because they’re stupid or unsympathetic. It’s because they have an excess of virtue.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
@LuFins-Dad said in Trends:
46, if anybody is still interested.
Well the title of the thread is “Trends.” Let’s see how that shakes out in 14 days.
It’s still trending… 48.
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New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
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New Hampshire is now in toss-up territory. 54 is a legitimate number for the Rs…
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
