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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The only thing surprising about this….

The only thing surprising about this….

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote on last edited by
    #32

    Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

    Education is extremely important.

    MikM 1 Reply Last reply
    • Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor PhibesD Offline
      Doctor Phibes
      wrote on last edited by
      #33

      Look at the global economy, and then look at the US economy.

      You can argue Biden is responsible for the difference. Saying he created the entire global mess is giving the distinguished old chap a little too much credit.

      I was only joking

      1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #34

        @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

        I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

        Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

        Can you?

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        LuFins DadL JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
        • HoraceH Horace

          Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

          MikM Offline
          MikM Offline
          Mik
          wrote on last edited by
          #35

          @Horace said in The only thing surprising about this….:

          Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

          The GOP seems to have lost the path too.

          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

            I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

            Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

            Can you?

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #36

            @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

            @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

            I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

            Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

            Can you?

            Just the existence of the leases and exploratory permits help drive the costs down as other oil producing companies respond. And the fracking policies also affects oil futures as well as Natural Gas.

            I’m surprised more people aren’t discussing refinery issues, though. That’s a part of this…

            The Brad

            jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

              @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

              I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

              Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

              Can you?

              Just the existence of the leases and exploratory permits help drive the costs down as other oil producing companies respond. And the fracking policies also affects oil futures as well as Natural Gas.

              I’m surprised more people aren’t discussing refinery issues, though. That’s a part of this…

              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
              #37

              @LuFins-Dad Leases are still operable and being signed and renewed. The courts stopped his moratorium before it went into effect.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              1 Reply Last reply
              • George KG Offline
                George KG Offline
                George K
                wrote on last edited by
                #38

                I don't even come close to pretending to understand the intricacies of the economic forces that affect inflation, etc.

                I'm not alone, thank goodness.

                alt text

                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                  I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                  Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                  Can you?

                  JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #39

                  @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                  @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                  I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                  Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                  Can you?

                  You may know finance better than I, but much of any economy is built on public perception and politics. If people are confident, they act differently, they plan differently and they spend differently.

                  Mr. Biden rapidly lost the confidence of the majority of the American people, particularly the small business people. Without Main Street, there is no Wall Street.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #40

                    That’s the equivalent of saying Biden’s mean tweets caused inflation.

                    And the quadrupling of the money supply was just incidental?

                    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                    -Cormac McCarthy

                    JollyJ George KG 2 Replies Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      That’s the equivalent of saying Biden’s mean tweets caused inflation.

                      And the quadrupling of the money supply was just incidental?

                      JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #41

                      @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      That’s the equivalent of saying Biden’s mean tweets caused inflation.

                      And the quadrupling of the money supply was just incidental?

                      No. But no financial trend is an island. It can be helped or harried, depending on perception and politics.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        That’s the equivalent of saying Biden’s mean tweets caused inflation.

                        And the quadrupling of the money supply was just incidental?

                        George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #42

                        @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                        That’s the equivalent of saying Biden’s mean tweets caused inflation.

                        And the quadrupling of the money supply was just incidental?

                        Of course not.

                        But he said what he said, "POTUS is responsible."

                        So... who's been POTUS for the last 14 months?

                        I'm not saying it's accurate or true, just pointing out rhetoric campaigning vs reality. This is what people will remember, with, of course, ads from the opposition.

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                          #43

                          He said “the man caused” the inflation with his policies. And that it was *unarguably” the case.

                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                          -Cormac McCarthy

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #44

                            You can argue with a fencepost if you wish.

                            I think the vast majority if the country blames Biden. If you wish to channel your inner Ax around the 20% Far Left deniers, be my guest.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                            jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                            • taiwan_girlT Offline
                              taiwan_girlT Offline
                              taiwan_girl
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #45

                              I am going to step in with my dead horse! 555

                              The president gets too much credit for the economy when it is going good and too much blame for the economy when it is going bad.

                              As @Doctor-Phibes said, compare what is happening around the world (inflation, etc) and compare to the US.

                              As I mentioned in another thread, Thailand experienced its highest inflation in February (pre Ukraine War) since 2008. Psst - people here are not blaming it on President Biden. To many world factors at work.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #46

                                You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                KlausK Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  Crypto sure has.

                                  KlausK Offline
                                  KlausK Offline
                                  Klaus
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #47

                                  @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                  Crypto sure has.

                                  Maybe I was particularly stupid in my selection of crypto currencies, but my crypto portfolio is down 30% or so.

                                  LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • JollyJ Jolly

                                    You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                                    KlausK Offline
                                    KlausK Offline
                                    Klaus
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #48

                                    @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                    You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                                    You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

                                    As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

                                    JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Mik

                                      Inflation was coming regardless, if it was not already there. I do think his policies made it worse. The recovery act in 2021 was unnecessarily large and may not have been necessary at all. There was a political side to it that became more important than its actual effect. I think his energy policies were intended to make gas prices rise and he got his wish.

                                      89th8 Offline
                                      89th8 Offline
                                      89th
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #49

                                      @Mik said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                      Inflation was coming regardless, if it was not already there.

                                      Yup, it was a snowball already rolling down hill when Biden took office. He hasn't helped slow it down, but it also didn't start it.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                        #50

                                        Funny that M1 explosion started around April 2020. Inflation got really pronounced in September 2021.

                                        Back in 1960, Milton Friedman (“inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon”) studied a few dozen cycles in the US and found a 16 month lag on average between monetary shocks and inflation. But then Biden probably had him write that.

                                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                        -Cormac McCarthy

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Jolly

                                          You can argue with a fencepost if you wish.

                                          I think the vast majority if the country blames Biden. If you wish to channel your inner Ax around the 20% Far Left deniers, be my guest.

                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #51

                                          @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                          You can argue with a fencepost if you wish.

                                          Let’s face it, I am. Your conclusion is emotionally driven, not based on data or reasoning. So attempts to dislodge it through data and reasoning are of course going to be fruitless.

                                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                          -Cormac McCarthy

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