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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Issues with the IHME model.

Issues with the IHME model.

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  • George KG George K

    IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #21

    @George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

    IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

    We'll hit that number in May.

    Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

    George KG jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

      @George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

      IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

      We'll hit that number in May.

      George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #22

      @jon-nyc yup.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Offline
        MikM Offline
        Mik
        wrote on last edited by
        #23

        Models are just that models, based on assumptions that may or may not be correct. And in this case we are flying very, very blind.

        "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

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        • George KG Offline
          George KG Offline
          George K
          wrote on last edited by
          #24

          Updated again. 135K...

          https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america!Screen Shot 2020-05-05 at 8.01.30 PM.png

          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
          • 89th8 Offline
            89th8 Offline
            89th
            wrote on last edited by
            #25

            Brings it back to the 100-250k range

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              @George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

              IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

              We'll hit that number in May.

              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by
              #26

              @jon-nyc said in Issues with the IHME model.:

              @George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

              IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

              We'll hit that number in May.

              May 7th, to be exact.

              Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • George KG George K

                Updated again. 135K...

                https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america!Screen Shot 2020-05-05 at 8.01.30 PM.png

                George KG Offline
                George KG Offline
                George K
                wrote on last edited by
                #27

                @George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

                Updated again. 147K...

                https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #28

                  I suspect we’ll hit that by the first week of June.

                  Unless seasonality saves us.

                  Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                  1 Reply Last reply

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