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Issues with the IHME model.

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28 Posts 7 Posters 602 Views

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Loki

wrote on last edited by

#16

IHME has been updated.
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L Loki

IHME has been updated.
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#17

@Loki said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME has been updated.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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G George K

@Loki said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME has been updated.
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Loki

wrote on last edited by

#18

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

@Loki said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME has been updated.

Florida should not be ignored just because it is inconvenient politically. Who cares if the GOP was “asleep the wheel” and didn’t apply the social distancing as coronavirus as spreading rapidly.There is real information in a different result that we can learn from.
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#19

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
J 1 Reply Last reply
J Online
J Online
jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#20

I think we’ll only see that low a number if there’s significant seasonality in transmission.
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
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G George K

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.
J Online
J Online
jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#21

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
G J 2 Replies Last reply
J jon-nyc

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#22

@jon-nyc yup.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
1 Reply Last reply
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M Offline
Mik

wrote on last edited by

#23

Models are just that models, based on assumptions that may or may not be correct. And in this case we are flying very, very blind.
"You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#24

Updated again. 135K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america!Screen Shot 2020-05-05 at 8.01.30 PM.png
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
G 1 Reply Last reply
8 Offline
8 Offline
89th

wrote on last edited by

#25

Brings it back to the 100-250k range
1 Reply Last reply
J jon-nyc

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
J Online
J Online
jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#26

@jon-nyc said in Issues with the IHME model.:

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.

May 7th, to be exact.
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
1 Reply Last reply
G George K

Updated again. 135K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america!Screen Shot 2020-05-05 at 8.01.30 PM.png
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#27

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

Updated again. 147K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
1 Reply Last reply
J Online
J Online
jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#28

I suspect we’ll hit that by the first week of June.

Unless seasonality saves us.
Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
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